Wall Street: Crime of the Century

[bart]

Re: Wall Street: Crime of the Century

According to your chart, the yellow has gone flat -- which to me is the ounces of gold traded -- the green appears to be the dollar volume -- the purple the transfers

the purple and green track together while the yellow has gone flat --

What I see is that the amount of physical gold changing hands is flat while the number of transactions and the dollar volume has increased. if you take the ratio of the green line to purple, and the yellow to the purple, what do you see?

Is the volume on the left y axis daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly or annual?

My mistake - you're reading the legend correctly.

I should have put brain further into gear before typing since the ratio that you see is due to an increase in gold leasing, which is frequently used for manipulation/control purposes as GATA has noted.

The data is available monthly.

[raja]

Re: Wall Street: Crime of the Century

My point was slightly different -- six months of stress testing -- no subjective shadow trades -- and the model works like charm -- one week of trading - it works -- then whammo it stops working! Why?

My feeling about this is that it was a coincidence . . . and the result of too short a testing period or periods.

I'll bet that if you continue to test your model with real and shadow trades over time, you will find that it works equally well in both cases.

[Rajiv]

Re: Wall Street: Crime of the Century

Did that~ works perfectly in shadow trades -- doesn't work in real trades

[raja]

Re: Wall Street: Crime of the Century

Did that~ works perfectly in shadow trades -- doesn't work in real trades

How long was your period of shadow trades and how long was your period of real trades?
Without scrolling back through your posts, I believe I recall you saying your real trade period was very brief.

Anything can happen in a short period of time, or even with the experience of one investor. To find out if there is some hidden mechanism, one would have to do the comparison for a period of weeks . . . a probably with a number of investors.

Also, I would look at what made you decide to switch from shadow to real trades at a certain point in time. Perhaps there was some psychological trigger their that led to decide to go real that somehow correlated with the behavior of the markets.

[Rajiv]

Re: Wall Street: Crime of the Century

The real trading was done over a 8 month period -- sufficient for me to prove to myself that there was a big difference between the shadow trading and the real trading that could not be explained by the small volumes of trading that was being done by me.

I would have to go a lot more into what I was doing, to really explain it -- and I don't think I am willing to do that here.

[raja]

Re: Wall Street: Crime of the Century

The real trading was done over a 8 month period -- sufficient for me to prove to myself that there was a big difference between the shadow trading and the real trading that could not be explained by the small volumes of trading that was being done by me.

I would have to go a lot more into what I was doing, to really explain it -- and I don't think I am willing to do that here.

I agree, 8 months is a fairly long amount of time . . . not conclusive . . . but suggestive.