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Emerging Market Bubbles: Peru

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  • Emerging Market Bubbles: Peru

    Part I:
    My wife has owned, for some time now, a small lot near the beach just outside of Lima Peru. Since we weren't planning on doing anything with it, we decided to sell it. When her sister asked around to find the value, it turns out it's worth about 50% more than it was worth 3 years ago. After more investigating, it seems there's a horrendous residential and commercial building boom going on in the Lima area and prices are rising fast.

    Part II:
    My wife's niece is a top marketing official in one of the largest textile companies in Peru. She says business is starting to pick up from the crash of last year and it's being led by exports. She said she was at a meeting with her Peruvian clients ( the wealthy of Peru) and was told investment capital is flowing into Peru from around the world as people who don't want to hold dollars look for places to put their money. It also seems, the wealthy of Peru are not so interested in investing in Peru, or anywhere else, they're buying gold. Having experienced a classic hyperinflation in the 1980's, they may have learned a lesson or two.

    I'm trying to figure out what this all means. It sure seems like they're following in the footsteps of the U.S. with an asset inflated bubble, although it doesn't appear it's something they are trying to do. I'm wondering if Peru is a pretty typical emerging market country, and if it is, what's going to happen around the world when these bubbles start bursting?

  • #2
    Re: Emerging Market Bubbles: Peru

    You have land near ASIA? or further north Mancora Beach?

    Peru rocks! Was heading down south in January but delayed until April.

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    • #3
      Re: Emerging Market Bubbles: Peru

      do people buy real estate in Peru on credit? Are there low money down/no money down deals?

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      • #4
        Re: Emerging Market Bubbles: Peru

        Originally posted by grapejelly View Post
        do people buy real estate in Peru on credit? Are there low money down/no money down deals?
        I was wondering the same thing. I asked someone and they said, typically only the wealthy can get credit, but in the last couple of years people who normally would never be able to buy a house have suddenly gotten credit. It's nothing like we had, but this story sounds way to familiar. What's really ironic is that the president they had during the late 80's hyperinflation made a comeback and got elected again a couple of years ago.

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        • #5
          Re: Emerging Market Bubbles: Peru

          Originally posted by Crazyfingers View Post
          You have land near ASIA? or further north Mancora Beach?

          Peru rocks! Was heading down south in January but delayed until April.
          Our niece has land in ASIA. We visited a year or so ago, the kids love the place, but I'm past that age. Driving down the Pan Am highway dodging donkey carts, moto-taxis, and people, was not my idea of a good time. One of my biggest complaints about Peru is that they party way too hard. For a 3rd world country, those people have way too much fun!

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