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US begs GCC for aid (from debka)

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  • US begs GCC for aid (from debka)

    A secret American delegation was sent by US President Barack Obama this week to solicit Saudi Arabian and other Gulf rulers for hundreds of billions of petro-dollars for investment in US and global economic stimulus plans, DEBKAfile's exclusive Gulf sources report. They came away empty-handed.
    The chilly welcome received by the delegation, which met finance ministers and the heads of banks in Riyadh and the five emirates, was generated by wide disapproval of the US president's policy of engagement with Iran. Two other US missions had just been and gone, headed by defense secretary Robert Gates and special adviser to the US secretary of state for South Asia and Gulf affairs, Dennis Ross. Both failed to allay Gulf anger and trepidation over this policy.
    Our Gulf sources report that the third delegation, which unlike the first two was unannounced, argued that since US economic recovery was not expected to turn the corner before 2011, Gulf investors still had a unique opportunity to partner the US in helping the world economy out of its doldrums. The general message was that if they Gulf rulers fail to invest in US and international markets at this point, they would miss out on the rewards of the recovery.
    Not all the data presented to the Gulf officials matched the figures published in Washington and other western countries. They were informed on the quiet that Federal Reserve Governor Ben Benanke had been "premature" in his optimistic forecast of "slightly positive" growth in the second half of this year, particularly in the fields of banking and construction, and a recovery that will "strengthen" next year - even though US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Wednesday, May 6, it was "a good, independent, credible forecast."
    The Gulf states were urged to help the global economic back on its feet because, according to US data, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) would by the year 2018 rank as the world's fifth-largest economy after the US, China, Japan and the EU. “As major players in the world economy, you cannot stand on the sidelines,” they were told.
    President Obama's discreet approach figured in general terms at the GCC meeting of heads of state and finance ministers meeting in Riyadh Wednesday, May 6, which was convened to establish a regional central bank. But no decisions were taken.
    According to our sources, the negative vibes between the Gulf and Washington over the Obama administration's policy of favoring Tehran have made these Arab rulers doubly wary of responding to the US president's appeal for a Gulf stake in US and global economic recovery
    GOOD news: US has become icier with Syria and Iran recently, and so hopefully Obama got the memo!

  • #2
    Re: US begs GCC for aid (from debka)

    I am highly sceptical that there is much truth in this Debka report...seems there's an ulterior motive or another agenda behind it.

    The GCC States have maintained ongoing relations with Tehran all through the period since the Revolution when relations between Iran and the USA soured. They certainly fear the long term consequences of a dominant Shia state in the Gulf, and they also have a variety of disputes and points of friction with Tehran [the UAEs contention that Iran claims part of its offshore territory, the ongoing claim by Iran that Bahrain is part of its historical nation, etc.] but neither Iran nor the GCC States are going to war with each other over any of these.

    Perhaps the GCC worries that a USA with closer ties to Tehran may "sell them out" some day...but from my vantage point there is no substance to the view that the GCC is reluctant to invest internationally...in fact the truth is quite the opposite.

    Finally, it could be that the GCC is just wary of US officials peddling "deal of a lifetime" investment opportunities, the way Hank and the Gang peddled Citi et al to them. :p. This time maybe they want to make their own investment decisions?

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    • #3
      Re: US begs GCC for aid (from debka)

      Spare a dime for some super-senior tranche CDO's?

      I appreciate the insight, GRG: I need to have some understanding of the situation regarding the US' financiers, since that ultimately drives capital flow.

      The hemorraging deflation has been staunched by Massive Fed Intervention, and it's worked. The only PROBLEMS are unemployment and nascent protectionism globally...:eek:

      Traditionally, this is resolved with war!

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: US begs GCC for aid (from debka)

        Originally posted by phirang View Post
        Spare a dime for some super-senior tranche CDO's?

        I appreciate the insight, GRG: I need to have some understanding of the situation regarding the US' financiers, since that ultimately drives capital flow.

        The hemorraging deflation has been staunched by Massive Fed Intervention, and it's worked. The only PROBLEMS are unemployment and nascent protectionism globally...:eek:

        Traditionally, this is resolved with war!
        I'm heading back to the GCC [via the USA and UK] week after next. Will post any insights from my meetings that seem relevant.

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