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The great fairy tales are written in a way to make the unbelievable reality. J.K. Rowling certainly made a large fortune with her best selling Harry Potter series doing just that. The villains are always true psychopath’s intent on ruling the world and this Iranian War fairy tale certainly has plenty of villains in its cast of characters. I guess if you can believe in witches, flying broomsticks, magic wands, casting spells and secret potions you can believe in the upcoming Iranian War fantasy.
The realities of an Iranian War are such that you know from the outset it will never take place, but that never stops a great fairy tale from being told and for many to believe in it. For those caught up in the fantasy wishing it to be true, maybe we should review the very basic principle of why witches can’t fly. Even the psychopath won’t take an action when he knows that the outcome will lead to his downfall and the psychopaths that are trumpeting this upcoming war certainly realize they have no chance of success.
The list of reasons there will be no war is a long one, so I will only touch upon a few of them to prove this point. Preceding the Iraq War there was $50 billion of foreign investment d0llars waiting to be invested. This money had not yet been spent so there were only opportunity costs that were lost when the war took place. Preceding the Iranian fantasy we find that China and India have committed $200 billion towards Iran’s oil and natural gas industry, much of these investment d0llars having already been spent. These two Iranian oil and gas customers have large armies, navies, air forces and nuclear weapons to defend their investment. Most importantly what these two countries have is between them over a trillion d0llars of US and British oligarch investments that have been made in their two countries. If war breaks out, at the stroke of a pen these investments will be nationalized by China and India. India was just told that Michael Dell of Dell Computer was hiring 5,000 people in India; Bill Gates was just in India getting ready to invest $4 billion, IC foundries are being set up in India and if these investments get nationalized it’s the Oligarchs not India who become the losers. This I can assure you will not be allowed to happen and the only way this doesn’t happen is there is no war.
Russia another large nuclear armed country has a lot to lose in any Iranian conflict as well. Currently Russia is building a nuclear power plant in Iran with contracts in place to build 20 more. In 1981 Israel launched a surprise attack on Iraq’s Osiraq nuclear facility; this is a matter of recorded history. Certainly there were guarantees made by Russia that this type of attack couldn’t occur and Russia placed surface to air missile systems in place to protect this investment. Before the Iraq War foreign contractors left the country, today we find that Russian contractors working on Iran’s nuclear power plants are still in the country.
Recently we even had Georgia a country in the coalition of the coerced that just signed a natural gas deal with Iran. Why would this deal occur if there was going to be a war? Certainly stable natural gas supplies during winter are something that needs to be counted on. Pakistan as well stands to lose billions if their natural gas pipeline is not allowed to go forward as well. France and Japan rely heavily upon Iranian crude and I’m sure they don’t have the reserves to handle any long term interruption of supply. Chirac has already implied that any disruption to Frances strategic supplies will be answered with nuclear weapons. Certainly any attack on Iran will lead to a long term disruption of supply; the Strait of Hormuz would be too easy for the Iranians to close down.
Preceding the Iraq War the build-up of military sales going on in the US was huge. Today against a much larger foe there is no US build-up of military sales going on. According to the GDP report for the fourth quarter of 2005, actual defense spending in the US declined by 13%. The believers of the Iranian War fantasy will cry out this is just a ruse, but when looking at the actual numbers from defense contractors in the US there is no visible activity going on to justify the war fantasy. No matter what military action the US would take against Iran, munitions will be used and need to be replaced. Assets such as planes, ships and helicopters will be lost and I’m sure the US would already have an idea of how many and orders six months ago would have been made for their replacement. No such actions by the US have been taken.
Preceding the Iraq War we know that Iraq was subject to 10 years of sanctions and virtually had no military defense capabilities. Iran has not been subject to such sanctions and is guaranteed to put up a good fight. Iran has missiles capable of hitting Jerusalem and Tel Avi; Iraq certainly had no such deterrent. Iran can hit Saudi oil fields as well as shut down the Strait of Hormuz that would prevent about 60% of the world’s oil exports from taking place. Iran unlike Iraq is more than capable of defending itself.
Preceding the Iraq War, Saddam found himself with no allies. Preceding this Iranian War fantasy Ahmadinejad finds himself with countless allies. Venezuela could easily stop the flow of 15% of US oil imports if this fantasy is to occur. More importantly South America still finds itself with hundreds of billions of US and European investments that the new nationalists of South America would love to nationalize. I would think to a large degree Iran can count on China, India, Russia, Brazil, Pakistan, South Africa, Venezuela, Argentina, Chile, France and much of the Arab world to play some role in fighting off US/UK/Israeli aggression. Against such a foe the psychotic villains that are playing the bad guys will not venture to fight. Remember according to the fantasy world of Harry Potter these villains only attack little boys and girls.
If there is going to be no war than what are the intentions of the US/UK/Israeli aggressors? I can assure you there is trillions of d0llars worth of reasons for this little fantasy to be playing out. All one has to do is look back to the Dot.com bubble implosion to see how those in the know can pull-out trillions of d0llars worth of wealth. Remember that Sir Templeton and Charles Swaab had no money invested in the NASDAQ bubble when that bubble popped. Likewise with the commodity bubble that has been created, bringing us almost $70 oil, almost $600 gold, record copper prices, none of the insiders are buyers right now and all of them are sellers. Certainly in a war these commodities will skyrocket and any idiot knows that’s what would occur. One only needs to ask oneself why the commodity insiders aren’t buying to know what is about to occur. There are trillions of d0llars about to be pulled from the commodity market that is guaranteed.
I wrote this almost a year ago, I see no reason for this position to change.
The realities of an Iranian War are such that you know from the outset it will never take place, but that never stops a great fairy tale from being told and for many to believe in it. For those caught up in the fantasy wishing it to be true, maybe we should review the very basic principle of why witches can’t fly. Even the psychopath won’t take an action when he knows that the outcome will lead to his downfall and the psychopaths that are trumpeting this upcoming war certainly realize they have no chance of success.
The list of reasons there will be no war is a long one, so I will only touch upon a few of them to prove this point. Preceding the Iraq War there was $50 billion of foreign investment d0llars waiting to be invested. This money had not yet been spent so there were only opportunity costs that were lost when the war took place. Preceding the Iranian fantasy we find that China and India have committed $200 billion towards Iran’s oil and natural gas industry, much of these investment d0llars having already been spent. These two Iranian oil and gas customers have large armies, navies, air forces and nuclear weapons to defend their investment. Most importantly what these two countries have is between them over a trillion d0llars of US and British oligarch investments that have been made in their two countries. If war breaks out, at the stroke of a pen these investments will be nationalized by China and India. India was just told that Michael Dell of Dell Computer was hiring 5,000 people in India; Bill Gates was just in India getting ready to invest $4 billion, IC foundries are being set up in India and if these investments get nationalized it’s the Oligarchs not India who become the losers. This I can assure you will not be allowed to happen and the only way this doesn’t happen is there is no war.
Russia another large nuclear armed country has a lot to lose in any Iranian conflict as well. Currently Russia is building a nuclear power plant in Iran with contracts in place to build 20 more. In 1981 Israel launched a surprise attack on Iraq’s Osiraq nuclear facility; this is a matter of recorded history. Certainly there were guarantees made by Russia that this type of attack couldn’t occur and Russia placed surface to air missile systems in place to protect this investment. Before the Iraq War foreign contractors left the country, today we find that Russian contractors working on Iran’s nuclear power plants are still in the country.
Recently we even had Georgia a country in the coalition of the coerced that just signed a natural gas deal with Iran. Why would this deal occur if there was going to be a war? Certainly stable natural gas supplies during winter are something that needs to be counted on. Pakistan as well stands to lose billions if their natural gas pipeline is not allowed to go forward as well. France and Japan rely heavily upon Iranian crude and I’m sure they don’t have the reserves to handle any long term interruption of supply. Chirac has already implied that any disruption to Frances strategic supplies will be answered with nuclear weapons. Certainly any attack on Iran will lead to a long term disruption of supply; the Strait of Hormuz would be too easy for the Iranians to close down.
Preceding the Iraq War the build-up of military sales going on in the US was huge. Today against a much larger foe there is no US build-up of military sales going on. According to the GDP report for the fourth quarter of 2005, actual defense spending in the US declined by 13%. The believers of the Iranian War fantasy will cry out this is just a ruse, but when looking at the actual numbers from defense contractors in the US there is no visible activity going on to justify the war fantasy. No matter what military action the US would take against Iran, munitions will be used and need to be replaced. Assets such as planes, ships and helicopters will be lost and I’m sure the US would already have an idea of how many and orders six months ago would have been made for their replacement. No such actions by the US have been taken.
Preceding the Iraq War we know that Iraq was subject to 10 years of sanctions and virtually had no military defense capabilities. Iran has not been subject to such sanctions and is guaranteed to put up a good fight. Iran has missiles capable of hitting Jerusalem and Tel Avi; Iraq certainly had no such deterrent. Iran can hit Saudi oil fields as well as shut down the Strait of Hormuz that would prevent about 60% of the world’s oil exports from taking place. Iran unlike Iraq is more than capable of defending itself.
Preceding the Iraq War, Saddam found himself with no allies. Preceding this Iranian War fantasy Ahmadinejad finds himself with countless allies. Venezuela could easily stop the flow of 15% of US oil imports if this fantasy is to occur. More importantly South America still finds itself with hundreds of billions of US and European investments that the new nationalists of South America would love to nationalize. I would think to a large degree Iran can count on China, India, Russia, Brazil, Pakistan, South Africa, Venezuela, Argentina, Chile, France and much of the Arab world to play some role in fighting off US/UK/Israeli aggression. Against such a foe the psychotic villains that are playing the bad guys will not venture to fight. Remember according to the fantasy world of Harry Potter these villains only attack little boys and girls.
If there is going to be no war than what are the intentions of the US/UK/Israeli aggressors? I can assure you there is trillions of d0llars worth of reasons for this little fantasy to be playing out. All one has to do is look back to the Dot.com bubble implosion to see how those in the know can pull-out trillions of d0llars worth of wealth. Remember that Sir Templeton and Charles Swaab had no money invested in the NASDAQ bubble when that bubble popped. Likewise with the commodity bubble that has been created, bringing us almost $70 oil, almost $600 gold, record copper prices, none of the insiders are buyers right now and all of them are sellers. Certainly in a war these commodities will skyrocket and any idiot knows that’s what would occur. One only needs to ask oneself why the commodity insiders aren’t buying to know what is about to occur. There are trillions of d0llars about to be pulled from the commodity market that is guaranteed.
I wrote this almost a year ago, I see no reason for this position to change.
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