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Peak oilers from the 1970s were predicting peak oil in the late 90s.
I find little evidence of almost anyone attributing high petroleum prices in the late 70s to peak oil arguments from the late 1970s, and good evidence that those who made that "prediction" (long after the prices rose) were a rarity. From the best of my recollection, even the Club of Rome did not claim the late 70s episode as depletion/peak -they were predicting depletion at 2020 or later (edit: my memory is confirmed in the last link below).
From what I can remember & what I can find the general concensus in the late 70s was that "there's plenty of petroleum, BUT its price is being artificially inflated by greedy arabs and the insane ayatolla".
the last alleged episode of "peak oil" (people attributing high price to depletion) was
1. extremely very short lived
2. the peak oilers mostly came AFTER the prices had risen enormously (in the current episode, the peak oilers were at work well before the prices started rising - I suppose in Hubbert's case, 60 years before the current price rise)
3. and the view was rare. There was NO group of experienced scientists, geologists and investment bankers writing books and articles about it. There was no group of CEOs out telling the world that oil discoveries were becoming smaller, more difficult and harder to produce economically.
http://www.oildepletion.com/
>>>
At the time my findings were innovative, and contradicted the generalized idea that fossil reserves were plentiful. It was an era when we suffered a terrible oil crisis (1978). Jimmy Carter was President, and the "crazy" Ayatollah of Iran was looked at as the only culprit for all that pain.
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That "peak oil" experience has no parallel to the current one.
Forget about matching on 4 points - I can't find one point that matches up.
Claiming that the current peak oil phenomenon has happened before does not look kosher to me.
http://www.energybulletin.net/19773.html
http://72.14.205.104/search?q=cache:...lnk&cd=1&gl=ca
FMS?
I find little evidence of almost anyone attributing high petroleum prices in the late 70s to peak oil arguments from the late 1970s, and good evidence that those who made that "prediction" (long after the prices rose) were a rarity. From the best of my recollection, even the Club of Rome did not claim the late 70s episode as depletion/peak -they were predicting depletion at 2020 or later (edit: my memory is confirmed in the last link below).
From what I can remember & what I can find the general concensus in the late 70s was that "there's plenty of petroleum, BUT its price is being artificially inflated by greedy arabs and the insane ayatolla".
the last alleged episode of "peak oil" (people attributing high price to depletion) was
1. extremely very short lived
2. the peak oilers mostly came AFTER the prices had risen enormously (in the current episode, the peak oilers were at work well before the prices started rising - I suppose in Hubbert's case, 60 years before the current price rise)
3. and the view was rare. There was NO group of experienced scientists, geologists and investment bankers writing books and articles about it. There was no group of CEOs out telling the world that oil discoveries were becoming smaller, more difficult and harder to produce economically.
http://www.oildepletion.com/
>>>
At the time my findings were innovative, and contradicted the generalized idea that fossil reserves were plentiful. It was an era when we suffered a terrible oil crisis (1978). Jimmy Carter was President, and the "crazy" Ayatollah of Iran was looked at as the only culprit for all that pain.
<<<<<<<
That "peak oil" experience has no parallel to the current one.
Forget about matching on 4 points - I can't find one point that matches up.
Claiming that the current peak oil phenomenon has happened before does not look kosher to me.
http://www.energybulletin.net/19773.html
http://72.14.205.104/search?q=cache:...lnk&cd=1&gl=ca
FMS?
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