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Re: the Bernanke Yield Curve
I like that one from what I understand of it, but can you explain the legend/key for clarity's sake?
I like that one from what I understand of it, but can you explain the legend/key for clarity's sake?
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"It's not the end of the world, but you can see it from here." - Deus Ex HR -
Re: the Bernanke Yield Curve
That was not intended as a serious piece of economics.Originally posted by NCR85 View Post
The legend refers to the term of the Treasury bills:
DTB3 = 3 month treasury
DGS5 = 5 year
DGS10 = 10 year
DGS30 = 30 year
so for instance
DGS10 - DTS3 means; subtract the 3 month treasury yield from the 10 year treasury.Comment
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Re: Daily Graphs & Charts
Originally posted by NCR85 View PostGlobal trade has been looking very weak in the last few months:
In the most recent data, however, there is a slight upsweep:
http://www.businessinsider.com/signs...ebound-2012-11
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Re: Daily Graphs & Charts
http://www.businessinsider.com/deuts...o-meter-2013-1
Deutsche Bank hawk-o-meter."It's not the end of the world, but you can see it from here." - Deus Ex HRComment
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Re: Daily Graphs & Charts
Unclear what the definition of Hawk and Dove are. Is simply critical of current policy Dovish, without alt-context?Comment
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Re: Daily Graphs & Charts
Probably highly subjective. I don't really know the details.
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MICH is the University of Michigan inflation expectations measure.
Another one of those graphs that needs the S&P500 to abruptly tank in order to revert to the mean. Being an S&P500 bull is like trying to tip-toe through a minefield of charts like these.
I also like that it diverges from it's long-run mean right around 1994... Just like a certain other chart we've been looking at on this site."It's not the end of the world, but you can see it from here." - Deus Ex HRComment
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Re: Daily Graphs & Charts
It looks like it has been stuck on "sell" for years.Originally posted by NCR85 View PostComment
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Re: Daily Graphs & Charts
I don't think the message is "sell", more like that whatever rise is currently going on is not a sustainable trend and will be rolled back at a later point. On that note it's been right throughout the 2000s bubble era.Originally posted by globaleconomicollaps View Post"It's not the end of the world, but you can see it from here." - Deus Ex HRComment
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Re: Daily Graphs & Charts
Figure 1. US crude oil prices (based on average prices paid by US refiners for all grades of oil based on EIA data) converted to 2012$ using CPI-Urban data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Figure 2. US Energy Prices as % of Wages and as of GDP. Ratio to GDP provided by EIAShort Term Economic Outlook – Figure 27, converted to Wage Base by author, using same wages as described for Figure 3.
Figure 5. Growth in World GDP, energy consumption, and oil consumption. GDP growth is based on USDA International Macroeconomic Data. Oil consumption and energy consumption growth are based on BP’s 2012 Statistical Review of World Energy.
Figure 6. World crude oil production (including condensate) based primarily on US Energy Information Administration data, with trend lines fitted by the author.
Some graphs from http://ourfiniteworld.com/2013/01/17...are-a-problem/"It's not the end of the world, but you can see it from here." - Deus Ex HRComment
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"It's not the end of the world, but you can see it from here." - Deus Ex HRComment
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