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Could someone explain to me why the US needed 80% of world savings

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  • Could someone explain to me why the US needed 80% of world savings

    Therefore, once we have ruled out the tale according to which US T-Bonds would be so safe and demanded that the whole world would be willing to buy them, even with a negative service, the only remaining explanation is that the Fed has been secretely buying (or having someone else buying) US T-Bonds for months.

    In fact such a move is perfectly logical in a context of global insolvency. The US used to need to attract 80 percent of global savings to pay their deficits when the global economy was flourishing and their deficits were a lot smaller. Today that these deficits have increased by 400 percent at least (if not 1,000 percent by the end of 2009) (5) while the planet has lost (and is still losing) thousands of billion-worth of financial assets (6), Washington’s daily problem has become: how to borrow 500 percent of global savings in 2009 (we suppose here that available global savings are stable when in fact asset devaluation is probably higher than savings growth because of the crisis)?

    Of course this is mission impossible, condemning the Dollar as mainstay currency (7), unless trying to cheat and disguise the money printing scheme into a global savings investment scheme; and/or, as anticipated already by LEAP/E2020, unless triggering a « world war of State bonds” that will compel the states involved to increase substantially the rates proposed for their bonds and to engage in a merciless process of overbidding to finance their deficits.

    http://www.leap2020.eu/Towards-a-wor...ngs_a3291.html
    How do they come up with this number?

  • #2
    Re: Could someone explain to me why the US needed 80% of world savings

    I haven't looked at this closely, but at a guess it is the savings rate of other nations multiplied by net per capita income.

    What a lot of people forget is that the US economy is so large in relative terms that deficits in the US wind up being larger than entire GDPs of most other nations.

    A similar situation existed in 1929: at one point almost all of the cash in the entire world was flowing into the US to be lent out as margin debt. Why not when you could get 6%, 8%, or even more interest - a hell of a lot in a gold era world.

    When that flow reversed...Great Depression.

    The only reason we're not repeating this is that with fiat dollars we can skip the ugly middle process of deflation and go straight to inflation. No need for the excuse of WW II to revalue gold.

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    • #3
      Re: Could someone explain to me why the US needed 80% of world savings

      Originally posted by D-Mack View Post
      How do they come up with this number?
      from... Road to Ruin: Final stretch

      The mother of all accidents waiting to happen




      Source: IMF

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      • #4
        Re: Could someone explain to me why the US needed 80% of world savings

        Originally posted by c1ue View Post
        What a lot of people forget is that the US economy is so large in relative terms that deficits in the US wind up being larger than entire GDPs of most other nations.
        The sums have gotten quite large, now Ben Shalom Bernanke can crank out more in a minute than the world in a year. It's good to remember that.


        Originally posted by metalman View Post
        from... Road to Ruin: Final stretch

        The mother of all accidents waiting to happen
        Looks like it

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