Re: GOLD getting KILLED!
good luke call... nov. 2007
not so good luke call mar. 2008...
thing is, you make this comment 'ej does not buy any of this' on a thread where ej calls for a 'first bounce'...
Debt Deflation Bear Market: First Bounce
you ignore the whole point of the thread... no new bull market but a bear market rally.
since then?
looks like a bounce so far... or the start of a bull market?
at what point do we determine ej's 'first bounce' theory correct and your 'new bull market' theory wrong?
how about this... if the S&P isn't back over 2000 by end of 2009 OR the S&P breaks below mar. 2008 lows, we call the bull market theory wrong and the first bounce theory right. ok?
Originally posted by WDCRob
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Nah. Dollar's gonna gap up and catch all the wrong-way charlies' on a bad bet. You'll all be bunkered down for inflation but deflation's gonna deliver an almighty wallop instead. Treasuries will soar. :rolleyes:
Barton Bggs thinks we've seen important lows in the markets. FWIW here's the interview.
I'm also getting this read from a guy I follow - Robert McHugh of Mainline Investors. He thinks we've already past the confirmation of a "complex multimonth rally", although he is intensely bearish for the sequel to that. Biggs is more cautious, suggesting a short sharp rally has yet to play out. Of course EJ does not buy any of this but then EJ does not have anything remotely resembling a trader about him (to the credit of his sober "sit tight and do little or nothing" investing style).
I'm also getting this read from a guy I follow - Robert McHugh of Mainline Investors. He thinks we've already past the confirmation of a "complex multimonth rally", although he is intensely bearish for the sequel to that. Biggs is more cautious, suggesting a short sharp rally has yet to play out. Of course EJ does not buy any of this but then EJ does not have anything remotely resembling a trader about him (to the credit of his sober "sit tight and do little or nothing" investing style).
Debt Deflation Bear Market: First Bounce
you ignore the whole point of the thread... no new bull market but a bear market rally.
since then?
looks like a bounce so far... or the start of a bull market?
at what point do we determine ej's 'first bounce' theory correct and your 'new bull market' theory wrong?
bull market Definition: A prolonged period in which investment prices rise faster than their historical average. Bull markets can happen as a result of an economic recovery, an economic boom, or investor psychology. The longest and most famous bull market is the one that began in the early 1990s in which the U.S. equity markets grew at their fastest pace ever. opposite of bear market.
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