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'America's Wallet' Deutsch's study on Consumer Impact of the Economic Crisis

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  • 'America's Wallet' Deutsch's study on Consumer Impact of the Economic Crisis

    Note that this is a press release not an article, and that Deutsch is an advertising agency. Unfortunately it looks as if only one newspaper and/or wire service picked up on it. I'd like to see sentiment of the death of EJ's 'monthly payment consumer' spread far and wide.

    http://news.prnewswire.com/DisplayRe...4984350&EDATE=

    For the two month study, Deutsch conducted focus groups and in-home interviews and spoke to more than 175 people in New York, Detroit, St. Louis, Dallas, Chicago and Los Angeles and even attended a multi-generational family reunion for two days in Duck, North Carolina.

    Key Findings

    Results of this study and are being used to guide Deutsch clients through uncharted times and help them position their businesses for success in the short and long-term. "Some of the findings were quite surprising, yet all provide an invaluable peek into current consumer mindset," said Jeffrey Blish, Partner/Director of Account Planning, Deutsch Los Angeles.

    Tidal shift from Conspicuous Consumption to Conscious Consumption - Consumers are spending less, but more importantly, they are spending smarter. After years of spending freely, they are paying closer attention, checking receipts, clipping coupons and questioning every purchase.

    It's Bigger Than the Economy - Conscious, conservative behavior is the result of three converging trends: economy, environment and health. These "new grooves" of behavior will not go away when the economy turns, but will instead become habitual.

    Huge Collective 'Sigh of Relief' - As bad as things are, consumers feel an odd sense of relief that the consumerism binge is over and that a positive outcome from this crisis will be more personal responsibility. Some consumers even expressed mild optimism that this will ultimately be good for our country.

    Spending Up to a Point - The first expense cut will be eating out, followed by vacations, clothing and big ticket items. After years of luxury being democratized, luxury will become exclusive again.

    Irrational Exuberance to Exuberant Rationality - Consumers are strategizing purchases like never before. Wal-Mart, Costco, Sam's Club and coupons are de rigueur, and consumers are taking it a step further by doubling up and timing coupons and rebates, trading coupons with friends and, in general, learning how to game the system to gain any advantage possible.

    New Rules of Consumption present an opportunity for marketers to capitalize on the shift to new mantras:

    From Value to Lasting Value - Products must last; experiences must be memorable
    From "Why Not?" to "Why?" - Rational purchasing replaces impulse buying
    From "Try" to "Tried and True" - Consumers won't risk dollars on the unknown
    From "Me" to "We" - Less focus on consuming, more focus on community and family; people are sharing everything from DVDs to meals and coupons
    Last edited by Slimprofits; March 18, 2009, 09:03 AM.

  • #2
    Re: 'America's Wallet' Deutsch's study on Consumer Impact of the Economic Crisis

    As nice as these values sound, they are not what keeps the monetary system going, and the powers that be will make every attempt to avoid them becasue they know this leads to depression. Every attempt at more war spending will probably be made, got to counteract that new russian threat.

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    • #3
      Re: 'America's Wallet' Deutsch's study on Consumer Impact of the Economic Crisis

      Clouds and silver linings eh? I could buy that. ;)

      The part about relief at letting go of consumerism I can relate to. I am not consumerist by nature, but noticed several years ago that it had started to creep into one of the loves of my life: outdoor pursuits. I hike, trail run, flyfish, and hunt. And if ever there were activities that lend themselves to gear sluts these are among them.

      I noticed that the more crap I was buying the less fun I was having using it. So I went old school and left the gadgetry to others.

      Remember Cliff Huxtable (Bill Cosby) and the graveyard for appliances? Remember his wife forbidding him from ever buying another appliance. To me ~that~ is the metaphor for a generation: an otherwise sensible man who just cannot control his obsession with shiny new gadgets.

      Will

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      • #4
        Re: 'America's Wallet' Deutsch's study on Consumer Impact of the Economic Crisis

        http://www.gallup.com/poll/116833/Se...rly-March.aspx

        Last week, the stock market rallied not only in response to some good news concerning the nation's banks but also as economic observers interpreted February's less-than-expected decline in retail sales as a sign that the fall in consumer spending may be bottoming out. For example, Lawrence H. Summers, director of the National Economic Council, noted on Friday that "consumer spending in the U.S. … appears … to have stabilized." However, Gallup's early March readings on self-reported consumer spending suggests it may be a little too early to celebrate an end to the decline in consumer spending. Importantly, upper-income consumers, as well as those with lower and middle incomes, continue to pull back on their spending.

        The sharp drop in upper-income spending since the financial crisis took hold in mid-September has significant implications for the U.S. economy. Upper-income consumer spending has a disproportionate impact on overall retail sales because those with higher incomes spend proportionately more than their lower- and middle-income counterparts. These upper-income consumers are also more likely to make major purchases -- some of which would not be included in Gallup's consumer spending measure, such as the purchase of homes or motor vehicles.

        In this regard, the uptick in upper-income consumer spending from an average of $110 in January of this year to $121 in February was a hopeful sign that may have been reflected in February retail sales. On the other hand, the decline in upper-income spending to $101 during the first 14 days of March is just the reverse -- a potential sign that retail sales could deteriorate even further this month.




        From $97/day to $57/day in just 15 months....



        The boost in spending last summer was probably due to the annual uptick in summer driving and a national average of $4.00+ / gallon.
        Last edited by Slimprofits; March 18, 2009, 10:02 AM.

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        • #5
          Re: 'America's Wallet' Deutsch's study on Consumer Impact of the Economic Crisis

          I've moved about 40 times in the last fifteen years so the inclination to pile up a bunch of stuff has never existed...

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          • #6
            Re: 'America's Wallet' Deutsch's study on Consumer Impact of the Economic Crisis

            Time Magazine April 27, 2009 issue: The New Frugality

            http://www.time.com/time/specials/pa...891477,00.html



            The article features 17 mini-stories such as this one:

            The Unemployed Couple

            Barbara, 46, and Kevin Lowe, 52, Grand Rapids, Mich.

            The cell phones were canceled; so were all subscriptions and outside entertainment. We didn't go skiing this winter, and we won't be golfing over the summer. No more wine. We used our severance and some savings to pay off Kevin's 2008 Saturn and pay down the house. We debated whether to cancel the local newspaper, but in the end kept it for the Sunday coupons. We now eat every single item in the house until it's gone. If that means we have curly pasta and penne and spaghetti all mixed up, so be it. I have 101 ways to use half-eaten boxes of pasta. We're much more careful shopping — no more running in to get one or two things. We wait until we have a big list, and then buy only what's on that list — and at the local grocery warehouse, not the food boutique.

            You'd be amazed at how you don't even know where your money goes. It took us a couple of months to get a firm handle on our expenses. There are some things you only pay a few times a year and you forget them, and then they crop up and you don't have $40 for the water bill or veterinarian. I distributed flyers around the neighborhood offering babysitting and elder-care services. I can take care of an infant for a few hours as well as any high school girl. I'm tired of waiting for someone else to offer me a job.

            It's hard to invite people for dinner, so we don't accept many invitations. We went to the art show on the day tickets were discounted, and told friends we'd brown-bag our lunches. One of them said we could go to a cheap restaurant, but I can't. I'm not sure they really understand how it is. I know I didn't until it happened to me.

            We are still confident something is going to come up. We have discovered we can live on a very small amount of money, but we need to find something with health insurance before our COBRA expires. We take turns having meltdowns.

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            • #7
              Re: 'America's Wallet' Deutsch's study on Consumer Impact of the Economic Crisis

              from AlixPartners, "a global business advisory firm":

              Americans Say ‘New Normal’ Spending Levels to be 86% of Pre-Recession Levels, According to New AlixPartners Survey

              The ramifications for companies of all kinds, globally, could be astounding: Americans say that even post-recession, their spending levels will be—and remain—14% lower than pre-recession levels. That would translate into a 10% drop in GDP (with Baby Boomers accounting for 35% of total dollars saved), and will necessitate businesses of all kinds to modify both their short- and long-term growth expectations and cost structures.

              “The companies that prevail in this future economy will be those that today take proactive action to prepare, action even more dramatic than many have contemplated thus far,” said AlixPartners chief executive officer Fred Crawford.


              http://www.alixpartners.com/en/porta...l%20Survey.pdf

              a survey of 5,000 Americans...

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