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Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

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  • Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

    Why the Dollar Is So Strong and Other Mysteries


    -- Posted Monday, 16 February 2009 |

    The USA Empire is the first debt based empire in the history of the world. Previous empires, like the British Empire and the Roman Empire were based on colonization, political and military domination. The unique power of the USA Empire is that once the subordinate power has been ensnared in the US dollar trap, the USA Empire gains immense control over the subordinate without having to resort to military threat. Moreover, no other power in the world is able to usurp the power of the USA Empire in these situations. It does not matter whether the subordinate power owns US dollar denominated debt instruments or has loans outstanding that are denominated in US dollars. Let's look at the current situation with the EU as an example:

    It has recently come to light that EU banks have many trillions of US dollar denominated toxic assets on their books. These are (fraudulently originated) structured finance products from New York and London. Of course the US banking system is full of these toxic assets as well. The key here is that since the toxin is dollar denominated, only dollars can fix the problem and only the USA Empire can create dollars for no cost. The solution to this problem has been for the USA Empire to create dollars and for the EU to create euros and for the two entities to do a currency swap. Of course the USA Empire can set the conditions on this swap deal, and you may rest assured that those conditions are set so as to uphold the strength of the US dollar.


    For instance, if the US Empire only creates 90% of the required dollars to fill the toxic hole, then the EU must go out and buy dollars on the open market to fill the rest. Alternatively, the exchange rate between the two currencies may be explicitly controlled by the exchange rate determined as part of the swap agreement (note that the swap occurs at some exchange rate, and there is no reason to believe that the USA Empire needs to abide by the exchange rate set on the FOREX marketplace). After the currency swap is completed, the EU has a revived balance sheet (but no US dollars) and the USA Empire has a boatload of euros, which represent ongoing control over EU affairs.

    Prior to the last year, the USA Empire controlled subordinate powers by loaning them more dollars than they could ever repay, and then by presiding over the ensuing bankruptcy, claiming natural resources and other goodies. I am giving this mode of debt based empire a name, debt empire via bankruptcy, and it is well described in the following book: Confessions of an Economic Hit Man. The scenario described above is a new dynamic, which I will call, debt empire via asset implosion.

    Frankly, I wonder whether the USA Empire is swapping gold for US dollars in secret with the EU powers right now. There is reason to believe that the USA Empire gold has been encumbered (over the last 15 years) in gold swaps and that the remaining EU gold might in fact be encumbered USA Empire gold. This encumbrance could be reduced or eliminated if US dollars (to keep the EU financial system alive) are being swapped in exchange for gold. Note that the USA Empire has reported constant gold holding for 35 years. Could it be that at the end of this, the USA Empire will have all of its gold and what is left of the EU gold will be gone, swapped for US dollars in a desperate trade?

    by Vincent Bressler

    -- Posted Monday, 16 February 2009

    ____________________________

    A Different View on the US Dollar and Where We Are Headed

    -- Posted Friday, 20 February 2009 |

    For several months there has been a tendency by Jim Sinclair and others to dismiss the US dollar rally as technical short covering. Now there is a tendency to dismiss the fall of the Swiss franc as dirty tricks among large hedge funds. These are interpretations that trivialize the reality that is unfolding. What we are witnessing is financial warfare, and the USA Empire has several distinct advantages over every other player: 1) The US dollar is the world reserve currency 2) US debts are denominated in US dollars 3) The US Fed and US Treasury act as one and are part of the USA Empire 5) The US Empire has a lot of experience manipulating markets and the SEC, SPIC, rating agencies and NYMEX/COMEX are members 6) Don't forget about the US military.

    Back to the war:

    Over the last several years Switzerland has sold half of its gold reserves. Ask yourself why in the world they would do that. Swiss bank privilege and privacy that have existed for hundreds of years are being dismantled before our eyes. The Swiss franc could have served as a refuge from the US dollar (or an alternative to gold). Now that possibility is being thrown into doubt. The USA Empire could have dismantled Switzerland any time over the last 30 years. This is happening now because 1) the USA Empire can not allow any viable alternatives to the US dollar (or gold) at this time, 2) because the chaos all around us is providing cover. Likewise, the European monetary union is being destroyed. I discussed the dynamics of this in a recent article [Bressler].


    Jim Willie notes that Putin struts into Davos and the Chinese delegation follows suit. He notes that Russia and China enter into bilateral trade agreements that bypass New York, same with Russia and Europe, and we are told that a new monetary system is coming to fruition [Willie]. I submit that this is wishful thinking by those who have their own agenda. Clearly the USA Empire does not want there to be any viable fiat currency alternative to the US dollar (or gold). There will be no escape, save one, and that will be gold. Just look at the gold holdings for various central banks [Russell]. What this tells me is that the US dollar will benefit more than any other currency if gold explodes. My contention is that the USA Empire will take away the German gold if they can, and the rest of the Swiss gold a well. Read this article for more details: [Bressler].

    The only way out of the unfolding mess is to devalue the dollar against gold, probably by a factor of 10 or more, and then breathe confidence back into the system by linking the dollar to gold. I don't believe that an alliance of other countries can pull this off with the USA Empire fighting to dominate the next world order.

    Vincent Bressler - February 19, 2009














  • #2
    Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

    Things are never what they seem on the surface no?
    I have always had a gut feeling that most of what we are observing is a war against the Euro:
    http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9022.html

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.



      Yup Lukester, things are becoming obvious for more and more people. We were talking about the M1 multiplier a few weeks back. Do you remember that part with the money that doesn't exist being created by the Fed, lent to banks and deposited back by those banks as reserves with the Fed ? The FFR being basically the same with the interest paid on deposits, all this money exploding on the Fed balance sheet is an illusion for now (or actually it is more like the Shroedinger's Cat)

      Read this one and have fun:
      http://jengafinance.blogspot.com/200...e-of-lies.html

      And some quotes from that blogger taken from another forum:

      Circle **** Money can never create inflation since it doesn't really exist. The lending back simply completes the accounting fiction. Since the money doesn't really exist it can't be used for anything - certainly no Treasuries are being bought with it. Fed holding of Treasury obligations are DOWN $239 billion YoY and down $120 million for the week. They're not buying Treasuries, much less printing money to do it. My point is that much of the balance sheet "expansion" is an illusion - it doesn't exist except as an accounting entry and can't be used for anything. In effect, the loan was never made and realistically, I've created as much money as the Fed's Circle **** operations have.
      [...]
      It goes back to the nature of money. Paper is not money and neither is gold. What IS money is people's willingness to exchange the fruits of their labor for paper or gold. Money really exists solely in the Jungian collective unconscious. When the assumptions that cause something to become money come unmoored, the money ceases to exist. In a way that few people would understand, the description of the current crisis as "existential" is really a double entendre. On a more practical level, Doug Noland would say that "moneyness" has been withdrawn from a class of credit or assets.

      If they have little power, it doesn't matter how smart they are. Their lies have a consistent pattern to them. They use them to try to make the Fed appear more powerful than it really is. IMO, the Circle **** operations are just more of the same MO. This plays strongly into the Potent Directors Fallacy since the majority of people WISH to believe that "someone" is in charge. To those of us watching closely, the deception was threadbare long ago and we are close to a still small but critical mass of people noticing.
      [...]
      If you wish to dogmatically believe that the Fed will destroy the dollar and themselves in the process without any evidence that they have done or are doing so, that is your privilege. The "benefits" of such an action would include massive capital flight, bank runs and hyper-inflation. What is the incentive to trigger that? To believe that an organization will destroy the sole source of its power because it wants to crash the economy and the banking system is a non-starter. I worry about the gun accidentally going off while they are waving it around threatening to shoot themselves. I don't worry about them pulling the trigger on purpose.

      Yes, they are playing games and doing some seriously stupid things. But none of them approach the existential stupidity of actually printing money to inflate the economy. The banks go poof if the Fed breaks out of the debt-money paradigm and switches to brute force currency inflation. Foreign creditors and investors pull all their money. What is the upside? What is the motive?

      They get to do that exactly ONCE and they die or at least completely cripple themselves doing it. Once again, why would they? Please try to answer in concrete terms, not some abstraction like "they need to create inflation." That is a statement of preference, not a reason for suicide.
      Oh, and by the way, in the quotes from Vincent Bressler, you posted here there is a small detail missing. The dollar is a debt system. The Federal Reserve Notes are actually fractions/shares of US government/treasury debt. If, by some miracle, the US government pays all its debts to the Fed then there will be no dollars.

      Therefore, if you want to create a huge amount of dollars (to push it down the throats of ROW) you would have to create a huge ......
      US debt ;)

      It is THAT simple!

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

        Lukester, I am afraid this guy is too smart for his own good. He overcomplicates things while ignoring simple explanations.

        Originally posted by Lukester View Post
        Why the Dollar Is So Strong and Other Mysteries

        The USA Empire is the first debt based empire in the history of the world. Previous empires, like the British Empire and the Roman Empire were based on colonization, political and military domination.
        So is the US. Its financial domination would disappear, if not for its geopolitical and military advantages.

        The unique power of the USA Empire is that once the subordinate power has been ensnared in the US dollar trap, the USA Empire gains immense control over the subordinate without having to resort to military threat. Moreover, no other power in the world is able to usurp the power of the USA Empire in these situations. It does not matter whether the subordinate power owns US dollar denominated debt instruments or has loans outstanding that are denominated in US dollars.

        Let's look at the current situation with the EU as an example:

        It has recently come to light that EU banks have many trillions of US dollar denominated toxic assets on their books. These are (fraudulently originated) structured finance products from New York and London. Of course the banking system is full of these toxic assets as well. The key here is that since the toxin is dollar denominated, only dollars can fix the problem and only the USA Empire can create dollars for no cost. The solution to this problem has been for the USA Empire to create dollars and for the EU to create euros and for the two entities to do a currency swap. Of course the USA Empire can set the conditions on this swap deal, and you may rest assured that those conditions are set so as to uphold the strength of the US dollar.
        Nobody forced the poor victims to accept American violation of the Bretton-Woods agreement. They could demand compliance, or, alternatively, organize their own monetary union anchored to gold like the Bretton-Woods. Why did not they do it? Very simple: A. They are not strong enough to piss off the US and still survive next to Russia. B. They hate the *really* free financial system (gold) just as much, as the US.

        Do you think they could organize their own system without hated gold based on prudent Central Banks? They are trying now with Euro, but it does not look good, and American toxic assets is not their biggest problem. Their biggest problems are the PIGS and the Eastern Europe. Their banks are leveraged just as much (or more), than banks in the US, and will be "saved" by the taxpayers.

        This includes even "smart" and neutral Swedes that, supposedly, learned their lessons during their last banking crisis. They invested tons of money in the economic bubble in the Baltics. Why is it less fraudulent, than American toxic assets?

        Most of our creditors (Europe, Persian Gulf states, Japan, Korea etc.) can only feel safe in the presence of a strong US military power. Without it all their assets (be it $US or gold) are worthless, and their prosperity is doomed. Kuwait learned it in 1991. Nobody else wants a repeated lesson. I am sure our ruling elite likes this situation. Not that they want an open war, but some global cooling in relations with Russia and some Iran-related fear mongering will definitely help.

        Besides, what is it that the US is doing wrong with its financial system? Nothing. Our creditors themselves would do (and Japan did) absolutely the same.

        Any instability in the world, be it financial or military crisis, will lead to a stronger dollar. Only return of prosperity will reverse dollar appreciation.
        медведь

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

          So it's in the best interest of the US to create instability if it's not there to make folks dependent upon us? Interesting idea. Stability in the world is detrimental to the US.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

            The euro is a political extension to the dollar, which is itself a political currency maintained by purchases of dollar denominated assets, including the toxic ones, by cooperative US trade partners. Complex conspiracy theories are tempting, but the more simple and obvious explanations are usually the ones that turn out to be true.
            Ed.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

              The other problem with Bressler's theory is that - outside of the UK - the major problems are not just the toxic MBS crap that European banks bought, but the massive Swiss franc, euro, and other European currency loans made to Eastern Europe.

              $1.7T is the present estimate - way larger than the GDPs of all the Eastern European nations combined, and a significant fraction of the GDPs of Switzerland, Sweden, Italy, and Austria.

              In my view this is the situation Germany is wrestling with.

              Germany would probably intervene to assist those nations hurt by purely a US dollar MBS/CDO situation, even coupled with real estate meltdowns in Spain and what not.

              But Germany has zero interest in bailing out its greedy neighbors in the EU for these highly speculative loans in Eastern Europe.

              And who's going to bail out Switzerland? Sweden? Denmark?

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

                Originally posted by $#* View Post
                "This game has no effect in reality, so what is the purpose of the Circular Money(TM) deception? It is yet another con game by the Fed to convince people that dead banks aren't really dead because Ben Bernanke says so. As long as a critical mass of people continue to buy the party line, the zombie banks will continue to lurch about spastically. We have long contended that the Federal Reserve is a very weak entity in reality and it's greatest power is that people THINK it is powerful. They announce things intended to influence the behavior of those under this illusion. They threaten to "print" in order to stoke fear of inflation and get people to act accordingly - they seem to be hoping to restart financial speculation by scaring people into draining their savings or taking on debt."

                If that is the goal of their evil master plan they are failing in a spectacular fashion!

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

                  Originally posted by vanvaley1 View Post
                  So it's in the best interest of the US to create instability if it's not there to make folks dependent upon us? Interesting idea. Stability in the world is detrimental to the US.
                  Not, really. It is detrimental to the $US, but US was doing OK even with a weak $. We did not cause this instability on purpose, just abused the existing stable condition.
                  медведь

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

                    I like Medved's realism and I agree with his entire summary. Like a cupful of bitter vinegar, it is scraping around in the bottom of the barrel, close to the truth for this reader. And I agree with iTulip's stance that the simple and obvious explanations are usually the correct ones. For some people this insight is an automatic instinct. Medved I think differs from iTulip in percieving these props to the USD as persisting until "peace and prosperity return". Sounds about right. iTulip (I think, and among other things) is saying that hyperinflation can perfectly easily occur internally to the US from Treasury interventions in the US internal money aggregates alone going forward. Hard to argue with that either. We may be treated to hyperinflation in the US WITH a surprisingly firm USD abroad, in which case we need Thailandnotes here to quote us some more Alice in Wonderland.

                    $#* you are a very smart, economically literate (and witty) guy, but I note you don't yet have many people converted to this thesis. Maybe Digidiver is sympathetic to it? I think it gives far to much credit for wily intelligence to the US government, for one thing - in fact assigning anything remotely like "wily intelligence" to this government's recent history should more likely cause us to laugh with bitter mirth at their bungling than to take their efforts seriously.

                    Originally posted by FRED View Post
                    The euro is a political extension to the dollar, which is itself a political currency maintained by purchases of dollar denominated assets, including the toxic ones, by cooperative US trade partners. Complex conspiracy theories are tempting, but the more simple and obvious explanations are usually the ones that turn out to be true.
                    Originally posted by medved View Post
                    ... He overcomplicates things while ignoring simple explanations ... [US] financial domination would disappear, if not for its geopolitical and military advantages ... Why did not they do it? [ Euroland - going along with Nixon's fiat USD conversion ] Very simple: B. They hate the *really* free financial system (gold) just as much, as the US. ...

                    Most of our creditors (Europe, Persian Gulf states, Japan, Korea etc.) can only feel safe in the presence of a strong US military power. Without it all their assets (be it $US or gold) are worthless ... Kuwait learned it in 1991. ... Nobody else wants a repeated lesson. ...

                    Any instability in the world, be it financial or military crisis, will lead to a stronger dollar. Only return of prosperity will reverse dollar appreciation.
                    Last edited by Contemptuous; February 22, 2009, 05:27 PM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

                      Originally posted by medved View Post
                      So is the US. Its financial domination would disappear, if not for its geopolitical and military advantages.

                      ***

                      Most of our creditors (Europe, Persian Gulf states, Japan, Korea etc.) can only feel safe in the presence of a strong US military power. Without it all their assets (be it $US or gold) are worthless, and their prosperity is doomed. Kuwait learned it in 1991. Nobody else wants a repeated lesson. I am sure our ruling elite likes this situation. Not that they want an open war, but some global cooling in relations with Russia and some Iran-related fear mongering will definitely help.
                      You've got that right, Medved. (And are you really a Russian bear?) I've always thought all this talk of a new Bretton Woods or alternative reserve currency groupings overlooks this fact: many critical actors in the global economy will not accept alternatives to the USD system as long as they perceive the need for security from the U.S. military.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

                        Originally posted by Prazak View Post
                        You've got that right, Medved. (And are you really a Russian bear?) I've always thought all this talk of a new Bretton Woods or alternative reserve currency groupings overlooks this fact: many critical actors in the global economy will not accept alternatives to the USD system as long as they perceive the need for security from the U.S. military.
                        Which makes one wonder what the effects might be of things like Russia smacking Georgia around with no US response and getting US bases kicked out of central Asia, China popping a submarine up in the middle of a US carrier group undetected during US naval exercises, Pakistan losing control of the Swat valley, Afghanistan devolving into Taliban hands, the changing status of Ukraine, Iranian satellite launches, etc.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

                          Originally posted by Prazak View Post
                          You've got that right, Medved. (And are you really a Russian bear?) I've always thought all this talk of a new Bretton Woods or alternative reserve currency groupings overlooks this fact: many critical actors in the global economy will not accept alternatives to the USD system as long as they perceive the need for security from the U.S. military.
                          Which is pretty much the friendly Arab kingdoms, Japan, Britain, Taiwan, South Korea, maybe Australia, and that's it.


                          It'd be nice if we could get a roundtable together of a group of people and we could decide who's coming out the best out of this. I can't tell you how many different theories I've read: the U.S. will fall, the U.S. will prosper as everyone else falls; Russia's pretty, Russia's doomed; Europe will collapse by the Mediterranean states, Europe will collapse by the eastern states; the Arabs will be destroyed by low oil prices, etc. etc. etc. It all just clumps together and no one theory makes any more or less sense than the last one.
                          Last edited by rj1; February 22, 2009, 09:23 PM.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

                            ""Maybe Digidiver is sympathetic to it? I think it gives far to much credit for wily intelligence to the US government, for one thing - in fact assigning anything remotely like "wily intelligence" to this government's recent history should more likely cause us to laugh with bitter mirth at their bungling than to take their efforts seriously.""

                            Actually it's my only "hope" that things aren't as completly f*cked as it appears. That maybe, just maybe there really is a plan... Hey it's my fantasy let me have it!! :rolleyes:

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Found a clone of $#* out there in pundit-land. Or maybe Vince Bressler's clone is over here.

                              Originally posted by rj1 View Post
                              Which is pretty much the friendly Arab kingdoms, Japan, Britain, Taiwan, South Korea, maybe Australia, and that's it.

                              That's not all, but it's more than enough.

                              Comment

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