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Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

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  • Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

    It's not quite yet time to head for the hills, but start preparing for it right now
    By Scott Burns
    February 5, 2009

    By now, having watched your house fall in value, your 401(k) plan slide toward nothingness, your job security wane, your benefits fade, the complete failure of business management, the disastrous failure of regulatory control, the finger-pointing of the political parties, and the revelation of an epic $50 billion fraud, none of us could be blamed if we wanted to move to Montana and shun human beings.

    So here's the big question. What can we do to feel safe again?

    Should we push the politicians for fundamental reform?

    No way. They simply aren't qualified to provide it. Neither party has shown any willingness to stop promising benefits that have to be paid for by our children and grandchildren. Their Ponzi schemes, more politely known as Social Security and Medicare, are far larger than the alleged fraud of Bernard Madoff.

    It won't be easy, but here are some basic steps.

    Go for cash. We can't pressure the politicians if we're as debt-strapped as they've made the country. We need to do whatever it takes to eliminate the menace of credit card debt. We should make it a goal to pay all of our bills in full monthly and build enough equity in our homes that we can self-finance most outsize expenses. That means the end of a debt-driven consumer society.

    Our belt-tightening (read: lower standard of living) may last as long as five years.

    The lending industry won't like this. We may owe them money, but we don't owe them any consideration.

    Be prepared. Most of us suffer from a misplaced trust that the world is a place of civility and continuity. It isn't. We need to keep a cash reserve large enough that we don't worry at every economic hiccup. As a practical matter, even if your cash reserve earns zero interest, it can produce an outsize return in smart, day-to-day purchases of used and bankruptcy sale goods.

    Train yourself in self-reliance. Most Americans would be endangered if they lost their income for a month, their electricity for a week, or their access to a supermarket or gas station for a few days. We rediscover this in every major snowstorm or hurricane. We simply don't think about being able to sustain ourselves in our homes in the event of utility failures or worse.

    If you don't know where to start, let me suggest "Just in Case: How to Be Self-Sufficient When the Unexpected Happens" (Storey Publishing, $17). Written by Kathy Harrison, the book covers the basics of emergency preparedness for staying at home, or having to leave home quickly, in an easy 230 pages.

    Jack A. Spigarelli's "Crisis Preparedness Handbook: A Comprehensive Guide to Home Storage and Physical Survival" (Cross-Current Publishing, $20), goes further. It includes a brief section on firearms and ammunition.

    *********

    The Boston Globe is owned by the New York Times company.

  • #2
    Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

    Wow, was that something resembling good economic advice in a major newspaper?? It is certainly nice to see, if a little late.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

      Scott Burns is a card-carrying FIRE economy member, "buy and hold" evangelism all the way. He must be really scared. Things will unravel fast if that attitude spreads. Google him - a few weeks ago he was all patting heads, saying "it'll pass"..

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

        Originally posted by babbittd View Post
        Should we push the politicians for fundamental reform?

        No way. They simply aren't qualified to provide it. Neither party has shown any willingness to stop promising benefits that have to be paid for by our children and grandchildren. Their Ponzi schemes, more politely known as Social Security and Medicare, are far larger than the alleged fraud of Bernard Madoff.
        Not to mention what they also steal outright through Corruption.

        We are all now held hostage by the Corrupt Politicians. It is through them that the SOLUTIONS must come so we are told. Willem Buiter confirms the columnist:

        This morality tale has important consequences for a government’s ability to conduct effective countercyclical policy. For a fiscal stimulus (current tax cut or public spending increase) to boost demand, it is necessary that the markets and the public at large believe that sooner or later, measures will be taken to reverse the tax cut or spending increase in present value terms. If markets and the public at large no longer believe that the authorities will assure fiscal sustainability by raising future taxes or cutting future public expenditure by the necessary amounts, they will conclude that the government plans either to permanently monetise the increased amounts of public debt resulting from the fiscal stimulus, or that it will default on its debt obligations. Permanent monetisation of the kind of government deficits anticipated for the next few years in the US and the UK would, sooner or later be highly inflationary. This would raise long-term nominal interest rates and probably give risk to inflation risk premia on public and private debt instruments as well. Default would build default risk premia into sovereign interest rates, and act as a break on demand.
        http://blogs.ft.com/maverecon/2009/0...e-uk/#more-428

        However, Buiter does not go far enough either. At the nexus of our Financial and Other Collapses is Corruption. Yes, Corruption affects the markets which must lend to us but it also affects the power of what we borrow to spend. A Congressional Corrupt Buck does not have a very good Multiplier. And, as we head downhill, the Corruption does not slow down, it accelerates. The Corrupters and Corruptees begin to see the Game will end and realize there is only so much time to steal more. Just ask Hank Paulson; he and his got theirs as the Roof fell in on their sector of the Corrupt Scam.

        Of course, I think all American Municipalities, Counties, States and Federal Institutions could all find suitable entrants for the Corruption Sweepstakes. Imagine the panic setting in as the reality dawns: The Corruption Industry may start deflating.

        Soon, Economists may even begin talking about, measuring and analysing Corruption as the major economic factor. It's been a long time coming.

        (Interesting too that the writer is from Boston, home of a massive FBI scandal involving murders:

        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_J._Bulger

        and the infamous Corrupt Infrastructure Poster Boy, BIG DIG.
        The Big Dig has been the most expensive highway project in the U.S.[5] Although the project was estimated at $2.8 billion in 1985 (in 1982 dollars, US$6.0 billion adjusted for inflation as of 2006[update]),[6] over $14.6 billion ($8.08 billion in 1982 dollars)[6] had been spent in federal and state tax dollars as of 2006[update].[7] A July 17, 2008 article in The Boston Globe stated, "In all, the project will cost an additional $7 billion in interest, bringing the total to a staggering $22 billion, according to a Globe review of hundreds of pages of state documents. It will not be paid off until 2038."[8]
        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Dig_(Boston,_Massachusetts)

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

          Originally posted by krakknisse View Post
          Scott Burns is a card-carrying FIRE economy member, "buy and hold" evangelism all the way. He must be really scared. Things will unravel fast if that attitude spreads. Google him - a few weeks ago he was all patting heads, saying "it'll pass"..
          I thought Hudson put it better in perspective

          After (1) threatening for eight years that the prospect of a trillion-dollar deficit spread over a generation or so is sufficient reason to stiff Social Security recipients and abolish debts to the nation’s retirees, and (2) after the Bush administration provided $8 trillion over the past three months in cash-for-trash swaps of good Treasury bonds for Wall Street junk derivatives, the Obama Administration is now speaking of (3) some $2 to $4 trillion more to be given in just the next week or so.

          http://www.counterpunch.org/hudson01302009.html

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          • #6
            Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

            I don't understand how people have not been living like these suggestions. I have never lived on debt, even when my first after college job in 91 paid $250 a week. What is wrong with people. I've learned in the "crisis" that it is rude to make fun of debtors. EVERYONE is in debt.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

              Wrong to make fun????
              Ha Revel in my friend, laugh openly, flash cash, offer to do REPO work!

              I did in the early 90's, GOD i enjoyed myself.....i didn't repo one crap car...........ALL where BMW/MERC/Porsche Etc.............NO POOR BLUE COLLOR Fords!

              Let them eat shit!
              Mike

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

                Yes, mentioning Debt is taboo. I am a forty-something guy dating women around my age. When I say that I am not in debt, I don't like debt, and I am looking for a woman who feels the sameway you should see their faces. It is like telling them I have an exotic disease or I am a relgious freak. The addiction to debt is frightening.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

                  Originally posted by Mega View Post
                  Wrong to make fun????
                  Ha Revel in my friend, laugh openly, flash cash, offer to do REPO work!

                  I did in the early 90's, GOD i enjoyed myself.....i didn't repo one crap car...........ALL where BMW/MERC/Porsche Etc.............NO POOR BLUE COLLOR Fords!

                  Let them eat shit!
                  Mike
                  Haha, I second this Mega! Why feel bad for people who didn't have the sense to live within their means?

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

                    Originally posted by sunskyfan View Post
                    Yes, mentioning Debt is taboo. I am a forty-something guy dating women around my age. When I say that I am not in debt, I don't like debt, and I am looking for a woman who feels the sameway you should see their faces. It is like telling them I have an exotic disease or I am a relgious freak. The addiction to debt is frightening.
                    Nobody would be surprised at the reaction you described if it happened in NY, LA or Miami. But Albuquerque???

                    They are the ones with the "disease", which seems to have infected the entire nation, and much of the rest of the so-called "developed" world.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

                      I have no car payments. No mortgage. No credit cards. I dropped out of the race for who can have the highest debt in 1999.
                      Instead of $22k a year I now make $10,400 in cash and on the job perks. I am in what is called "the working poor class". I do not consider myself poor. I am free. At any time of the day or night I can pick up and move. I can switch jobs. If I wanted to I could abandon civilized life and hit the woods.
                      All with no worries. I have found that being free of debt and a misplaced obligation to a corporate entity gives one a freedom of movment and choices that the average citizen would find frightening.

                      Old freinds and some family members fail to understand why I choose to live a simple life. Many people can not comprehend the idea of pay as you go. If you took away their credit card they would be lost. Remove the yoke of debt and they scream in fear.
                      I think it is much like the average criminal. Once they get a taste of a structured life and routine dictated by a "father/parent" (the prison system) figure the perceived security becomes addictive. They then will do anything to remain in or return to this sheltered existence.

                      In other words, like the Pink Floyd song, they have been welcomed to the machine. Once part of the machine they grow confortably numb, and are willing sheep who would be lost and afraid if the sheering suddenly stopped.
                      Last edited by johnw106; February 08, 2009, 12:02 PM.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

                        Originally posted by krakknisse View Post
                        Scott Burns is a card-carrying FIRE economy member, "buy and hold" evangelism all the way. He must be really scared. Things will unravel fast if that attitude spreads.
                        This is what I was getting at with the title of the thread.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

                          John, there are many ways to measure "wealth"..........I don't make a fortune either, but i run my own engineering company & it great because I RUN IT!

                          Mike

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                          • #14
                            Re: Stunning is the word to describe the appearance of this column in the Boston Globe

                            Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
                            Nobody would be surprised at the reaction you described if it happened in NY, LA or Miami. But Albuquerque???

                            They are the ones with the "disease", which seems to have infected the entire nation, and much of the rest of the so-called "developed" world.
                            Mate I'm 50 odd and out there in single land...hehe well 60 in a couple of weeks. Aus is populated with women 50 odd...now divorced...when married lived to the max on Credit cards, big house, BMW cars, BMW motor bikes, etc...now have NOTHING! Absolutley nothing!
                            I'm sure not taking one one!!! My wife and I worked too damned hard for what we have to hand half of it to some parasite under the new laws here.

                            Just the same it is a disaster. You have to wonder what will become of them...

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