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Bloomberg: Thiel betting on 30 year bonds and deflation

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  • Bloomberg: Thiel betting on 30 year bonds and deflation

    Wow


    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...TKA&refer=home

    Three Wagers

    One is that the price of 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds will rise as the U.S. economy slows and deflation sets in. Another is that the dollar will strengthen against the euro as investors scale back investments in emerging markets funded by borrowing dollars. And the third is that energy stocks will keep climbing along with the price of crude as world oil production reaches its zenith.

  • #2
    Re: Bloomberg: Thiel betting on 30 year bonds and deflation

    The url is to a long article, but one of the more interesting pieces I have read in a while. Recommend reading it. Whether Thiel is right or not, his track record would suggest that his opinions are worthy of consideration.
    Jim 69 y/o

    "...Texans...the lowest form of white man there is." Robert Duvall, as Al Sieber, in "Geronimo." (see "Location" for examples.)

    Dedicated to the idea that all people deserve a chance for a healthy productive life. B&M Gates Fdn.

    Good judgement comes from experience; experience comes from bad judgement. Unknown.

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    • #3
      Re: Bloomberg: Thiel betting on 30 year bonds and deflation

      Thiel: Our view is that volatility has been suppressed across all global markets as a result of the flow of petrodollars into the world economy. Basically, there was a $1 trillion dollar tax increase on oil, and while that's bad for consumers, it's actually been very good for financial markets because the money has basically been this regressive tax that's been reinvested in financial markets: gold, real estate, tech stocks, emerging markets and equities.

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