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The Crisis and the Policy Response - Remarks by Bernanke at the London School of Economics - 1/13/09

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  • The Crisis and the Policy Response - Remarks by Bernanke at the London School of Economics - 1/13/09

    The Stamp Memorial Lecture

    Policy Responses to the Financial Crisis

    A transcript of Dr Ben Bernanke's speech is now available to download.

    Download: Policy Responses to the Financial Crisis (pdf)

    Details of the Daily headlines Ben Bernanke coverage.

    Bernanake talks about what they've done so far, his exit strategy, swears up and down there will be no inflation and some prodding for the next administation.

    an excerpt:

    The incoming Administration and the Congress are currently discussing a substantial fiscal package that, if enacted, could provide a significant boost to economic activity. In my view, however, fiscal actions are unlikely to promote a lasting recovery unless they are accompanied by strong measures to further stabilize and strengthen the financial system. History demonstrates conclusively that a modern economy cannot grow if its financial system is not operating effectively.

    However, with the worsening of the economy’s growth prospects, continued credit losses and asset markdowns may maintain for a time the pressure on the capital and balance sheet capacities of financial institutions. Consequently, more capital injections and guarantees may become necessary to ensure stability and the normalization of credit markets. A continuing barrier to private investment in financial institutions is the large quantity of troubled, hard-to-value assets that remain on institutions’ balance sheets. The presence of these assets significantly increases uncertainty about the underlying value of these institutions and may inhibit both new private investment and new lending. Should the Treasury decide to supplement injections of capital by removing troubled assets from institutions’ balance sheets, as was initially proposed for the U.S. financial rescue plan, several approaches might be considered. Public purchases of troubled assets are one possibility. Another is to provide asset guarantees, under which the government would agree to absorb, presumably in exchange for warrants or some other form of compensation, part of the prospective losses on specified portfolios of troubled assets held by banks. Yet another approach would be to set up and capitalize so-called bad banks, which would purchase assets from financial institutions in exchange for cash and equity in the bad bank.

    The public in many countries is understandably concerned by the commitment of substantial government resources to aid the financial industry when other industries receive little or no assistance. This disparate treatment, unappealing as it is, appears unavoidable. Our economic system is critically dependent on the free flow of credit, and the consequences for the broader economy of financial instability are thus powerful and quickly felt. Indeed, the destructive effects of financial instability on jobs and growth are already evident worldwide. Responsible policymakers must therefore do what they can to communicate to their constituencies why financial stabilization is essential for economic recovery and is therefore in the broader public interest.

    [..]

    Particularly pressing is the need to address the problem of financial institutions that are deemed “too big to fail.” It is unacceptable that large firms that the government is now compelled to support to preserve financial stability were among the greatest risktakers during the boom period. The existence of too-big-to-fail firms also violates the presumption of a level playing field among financial institutions. In the future, financial firms of any type whose failure would pose a systemic risk must accept especially close regulatory scrutiny of their risk-taking. Also urgently needed in the United States is a new set of procedures for resolving failing nonbank institutions deemed systemically critical, analogous to the rules and powers that currently exist for resolving banks under the so-called systemic risk exception.

  • #2
    Re: The Crisis and the Policy Response - Remarks by Bernanke at the London School of Economics - 1/1

    In the United States, a number of important steps have already been taken to
    promote financial stability, including the Treasury’s injection of about $250 billion of
    capital into banking organizations, a substantial expansion of guarantees for bank
    liabilities by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Fed’s various liquidity
    programs. Those measures, together with analogous actions in many other countries,
    likely prevented a global financial meltdown in the fall that, had it occurred, would have
    left the global economy in far worse condition than it is in today.

    This man deserves a medal..

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: The Crisis and the Policy Response - Remarks by Bernanke at the London School of Economics - 1/1

      Who is he specificially refering to when he states "global economy"? As measured by?

      It would not have left me any worse off, in fact I would be doing even better given.

      I guess he is referering to current major lenders and owners of capital that took too much risk. The status quo elite?

      and Politicians along with thier prymaids of money suckers would be worst off.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: The Crisis and the Policy Response - Remarks by Bernanke at the London School of Economics - 1/1
        Commentary

        7:49 AM, 14 Jan 2009

        Alan Kohler
        Ben's Weimar defence

        Fed chairman Ben Bernanke has for the first time provided a clear appraisal of what happened last September and, more importantly, he has explained where we all go from here in 2009.

        His speech to the London School of Economics last night was in the usual dry language of a central banker, but in many ways it was full of drama – a stunning description of a system in crisis and a group of policymakers desperately trying to make it up as they go along.

        Bernanke himself is a student of past Depressions, in particular the 1930s and Japan in the 1990s. But as he explained, things are very different this time: “Credit spreads are much wider and credit markets more dysfunctional in the United States today than was the case during the Japanese experiment with quantitative easing.”

        Markets liked his speech because he more or less urged the US government to cough up the rest of the TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Progam) money and buy more troubled assets from the banks – an issue that has been debated since outgoing Treasury secretary Hank Paulson shelved the program in November, mumbling that it didn’t seem like it would be very effective.

        Markets had another conniption at the time and haven’t really recovered from it yet. Even ineffective rafts are clutched at by drowning people.

        http://www.businessspectator.com.au/...M?OpenDocument



        ...

        Gross: Exactly. The situation isn't similar. The Weimar Republic basically reflated to get out from under its wartime debts. Zimbabwe is a situation unto itself. In the US there has been asset destruction in the trillions of dollars that has to be repaired. To say the Fed's balance sheet has expanded by a few trillion dollars and that this will create hyperinflation is a miscalculation.

        Faber: I'm prepared to bet Bill that in 10 years the US has very high inflation. With growing fiscal deficits that may reach as high as $2 trillion next year, it will be hard for the Fed to lift interest rates in real terms. Once they push up rates again, there will be another disaster.

        Gross: Marc, you're smarter than that. You know that credit creation is at the heart of economic growth, and to the extent that credit creation has been thwarted, stultified, basically cut by 10 or 20 per cent, economies can't grow.

        Faber: The US economy is credit-addicted. In a sound economy, debt growth doesn't exceed nominal GDP growth. Would you agree with that, or do you think debt should always grow at a faster pace than nominal GDP?

        Gross: I'm with you there.

        http://online.barrons.com/article/SB...9.html?page=sp

        Comment

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