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Russians Buy Jewelry, Hoard Dollars as Ruble Plunges

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  • Russians Buy Jewelry, Hoard Dollars as Ruble Plunges

    Russians Buy Jewelry, Hoard Dollars as Ruble Plunges (Update1)

    By Emma O’Brien and William Mauldin Dec. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Moscow resident Tima Kulikov banked on the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, not the Kremlin, when he sold his biggest asset for cash.

    The 31-year-old director of a social networking Web site initially agreed to sell his apartment for rubles, then cringed at the thought of the currency weakening as it sat in a lockbox pending settlement of the contract. It wasn’t until the buyer showed up with $250,000 stacked in old mobile-phone boxes and stuffed in his pockets that Kulikov closed the deal.

    “The exchange rate we agreed on wasn’t great, but I did it because the money’s going to lie there for a month,” Kulikov said. “Put it this way, the ruble’s more likely to have problems than the dollar.”

    Russians are shifting their cash into foreign currencies and buying things they don’t need as the economy stalls and the central bank weakens its defense of the ruble, signaling a larger devaluation may be on the way. The currency has fallen 16 percent against the dollar since August, when Russia’s invasion of neighboring Georgia helped spur investors to pull almost $200 billion out of the country, according to BNP Paribas SA.

    -continued here-
    --ST (aka steveaustin2006)

  • #2
    Re: Russians Buy Jewelry, Hoard Dollars as Ruble Plunges

    Except for one little problem: while the ruble has weakened around 10% since the end of October, so too have all the other currencies in the world except the yen.

    The pound, the CAD, etc etc are showing much worse results in the same time frame.

    Yet all the stories are about panic over the ruble's performance...

    ausvsdollar.png

    AU$ vs. US dollar: 1.05 to 1.45 in last 120 days = -38% drop

    BRrealvsdollar.png

    BR real vs. US dollar: 1.6 to 2.3 in last 120 days = -44% drop

    CADvsdollar.png

    CAD vs. US dollar: 1 to 1.2 in last 120 days = -20% drop

    eurovsdollar.png

    Euro vs. US dollar: 0.63 to 0.75 in last 120 days = -19% drop

    NTvsdollar.png

    Taiwan NTD vs. US dollar: 30.5 to 33.5 in last 120 days = -10% drop

    Then there's the pound: 0.5 to 0.66 in last 120 days = -32% drop

    Even the Singapore dollar: 1.35 to 1.48 in last 120 days = -10%

    The ruble in contrast has gone from a peak of around 23.5 midsummer to the present 28 = -19% drop

    On the other hand, the ruble was 28 as late as 2006 so hardly a major drama yet.

    Certainly things could get worse - as I've noted previously: if oil stays under $50 for a couple of years, Russia could definitely be in trouble. But a short term popping of the nascent real estate bubble there combined with a little austerity after the oil price=$100+ parties...not a bad thing.

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