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The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

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  • The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

    THE NOT-SO-INVISIBLE HAND: HOW THE PLUNGE PROTECTION TEAM KILLED THE FREE MARKET

    October 24 marks the 79th anniversary of the October 1929 stock market crash. Heavy selling started on Thursday, October 24, 1929, and accelerated the following week on Black Monday and Black Tuesday, October 28 and 29. Many feared a repeat of this disaster on Friday, October 24, 2008, after Japan’s Nikkei stock average fell nearly 10% during the night, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 8%, and Germany’s and Britain’s fell 5%.

    “In a stunning turn of events,” reported Yahoo! Finance, “the futures for the major indices were ‘lock limit’ down before the start of trading Friday, meaning they had hit a 5% threshold that prevented them from trading any lower until the stock market opened Friday.” Traders prepared for the worst, but remarkably, disaster was averted. The U.S. market fell only 3.5%, just another “ordinary” bearish day.

    Why the more modest drop in the U.S., where the financial debacle originated and should have hit hardest? Suspicious observers saw the covert hand of the Plunge Protection Team (PPT), the group set up under President Reagan to maintain market “stability” by manipulating markets behind the scenes. Bill Murphy commented in LeMetropoleCafe.com:
    “Today the Muppets on CNBC were remarking how well our market acted, not falling apart as expected. All day long they spoke of how our market was acting differently today than every other stock market in the world. Well hello, the other countries don’t have a PPT, which is WHY our market is so different.

    “There are those who might think what the PPT is doing is right. What they don’t realize is their making ‘Everything is fine’ for so long, and not allowing the market to trade freely . . . like allowing the stock market to fall the way it should, has kept the individual in the market . . . when they might have been SCARED out some time ago.”
    In response to Bill Saporito’s comment in Time, quoted above, it might be countered that Henry Paulson’s Plunge Protection Team is quite adept at rigging an economy. The difference between an acknowledged socialist state and the stealth socialism we have in the U.S. today is that in a socialist state, everyone expects the market to be rigged and operates accordingly. In a rigged pseudo-capitalist economy, investors are easily separated from their money because they expect the market to follow “free market principles” based on “supply and demand.” They are seduced into “pump and dump” schemes – artificial manipulations that allow insiders to unload stock at a high price or buy it at a low price – because they trust in Adam Smith’s “invisible hand,” which is supposed to automatically set things right in a market left to its own devices. The market today is indeed controlled by an invisible hand, but it is not necessarily serving the interests of small investors.

    Plunge Protection for Some, Plunge Creation for Others

    The most egregious examples of market manipulation have been in gold, silver and oil. The official “spot” (or cash) prices of gold and silver were taken down sharply in the last ten days, despite the fact that physical demand has been inexorable. Gold is available in the “real” market only at huge markups, and popular types of silver are not available at all.1 We were taught in school that communism does not work because when industry is in the hands of a single owner (the government), competition is eliminated and chronic shortages and black markets develop, since the government does not let prices respond to “supply and demand” but dictates them from the top. Today this is happening with gold and silver, with the true physical price varying radically from the reported paper price.

    Gold is known as the “contra-investment,” the “go to” investment which historically has gone up when other stocks were failing. Investors see it as something tangible that will hold its value when everything else is falling apart. For that reason, rigging the market to “maintain stability” means suppressing the price of gold.

    The current round of gold manipulations started on Thursday, October 16, at 10 am, when the price of gold suddenly suffered a freefall plunge of $45 within minutes. It continued to drop until it was down by nearly $60 in a little over an hour:

    Nothing happened on Thursday between 10 and 11 am to warrant this vertical drop. If anything, gold should have been shooting up in the same exponential fashion that it was falling.
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    Last edited by Rajiv; October 26, 2008, 01:45 PM.

  • #2
    Re: The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

    On Friday October 24, I woke at 6am EST to Bloomberg on my computer. Just as reported the meltdown was happening all over the world. I clicked on the Bloomberg radio on line and all three commentators with years of experience said they had never witnessed this before (the lock limit on the DOW the NASDAQ and S&P). A guest I believe from JP Morgan was talking about the situation. Bloomberg if I recall correctly said their team analyzed that if no lock limit was in place the DOW would fall 3300 points. The JP Morgan guest said his international clients were in panic ... they could not get their sell orders through because THERE WERE NO BUYERS. The PPT was in full swing on Friday no question about it. As Dr. Hudson said on NPR, this is exactly the kind of action that is making the foreign money run. The markets have become a mafia run casino. Yesterday Nouriel Roubini in an interview on Bloomberg said stay away from the USDollar. I hold out hope, and clutch to my gold.
    Ironlady

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    • #3
      Re: The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

      I wish I could assess when the PPT will have to get out of the way. The only way for the market to clear and then rebound is to let it sell off, but I believe "they" are right that the market will hold. Is this an attempt to draw capital to the US (our markets down the least in the world) or just hold off in the hope that McCain can pull out a win, or the day Obama does in fact win the election, markets are finally allowed to drop, so the commentators can point to the drop as a response to the election results, thus maintaining the FEAR.

      I keep thinking "they can make the markets jump, but they cannot make them soar."

      I won't actually buy, but I guess if this lasts long enough I might finally sell off my puts for alot less than I expected to. Makes me think about those horrible banks they are putting my taxpayer money into, like NCC, Regions Financial, Capital One, etc. If they keep them up long enough I will just get out of the market because all my puts, which should be exploding, are significantly under performing my expectations, regardless of their outperforming the overall market. These banks are the walking dead referred to when analysis turns to Japans decade long recession.

      After this all shakes out, assuming we all live to talk about it, we will probably find out alot more about how these markets were manipulated. An operation as big as this one probably cannot remain in the shadows forever, as someone will eventually want to write a book about it. Too many participants in this operation. As a result, the markets (formerly free) are being killed here and now. Once people understand that these markets were/are not free, it will be more than a decade before investment dollars, on many levels, will return. Hundreds of years to create and build, and less than a decade to destroy.

      I would like to say this is a fascinating thing to live through and watch...... but my sadness at the hubris displayed and the inevitable destruction of the USA is too great. We may come out the other end clean, but probably not in my lifetime and I'm in my forties.
      Last edited by pinhead; October 26, 2008, 04:23 PM.

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      • #4
        Re: The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

        Does the PPT actually have funds available of the magnitude required to be decisive, at least in the short term? Are funds actually necessary? If they are, where do they come from?

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        • #5
          Re: The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

          Originally posted by don View Post
          Does the PPT actually have funds available of the magnitude required to be decisive, at least in the short term? Are funds actually necessary? If they are, where do they come from?
          Yes, yes and two of the four members of the PPT (officially called the PWG or President's Working Group) are the Fed and the Treasury.



          Here is the text of the enabling legislation under President Reagan:

          "Executive Order 12631 - Working Group on Financial Markets - Mar. 18, 1988; 53 FR 9421, 3 CFR, 1988 Comp., p. 559.
          By virtue of the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and laws of the United States of America, and in order to establish a Working Group on Financial Markets, it is hereby ordered as follows:
          Section 1. Establishment. (a) There is hereby established a Working Group on Financial Markets (Working Group). The Working Group shall be composed of:
          (1) the Secretary of the Treasury, or his designee;
          (2) the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, or his designee;
          (3) the Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, or his designee; and
          (4) the Chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or her designee.







          Section 2. Purposes and Functions.
          (a) Recognizing the goals of enhancing the integrity, efficiency, orderliness, and competitiveness of our Nation's financial markets and maintaining investor confidence, the Working Group shall identify and consider:
          (2) the actions, including governmental actions under existing laws and regulations (such as policy coordination and contingency planning), that are appropriate to carry out these recommendations.
          (b) The Working Group shall consult, as appropriate, with representatives of the various exchanges, clearinghouses, self-regulatory bodies, and with major market participants to determine private sector solutions wherever possible.



          Section 3. Administration. (c) To the extent permitted by law and subject to the availability of funds therefore, the Department of the Treasury shall provide the Working Group with such administrative and support services as may be necessary for the performance of its functions."
          http://www.NowAndTheFuture.com

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

            Originally posted by don View Post
            Does the PPT actually have funds available of the magnitude required to be decisive, at least in the short term? Are funds actually necessary? If they are, where do they come from?
            Good questions, all. (I defer to Bart, I started this before I saw his entry - thanks for letting me know:-) )
            This, at least on my part, is assumed, so there is no defense if someone chooses to say I don't know what I'm talking about. (Its a blessing that people seem to buy my BS, because I come off like I know what I am talking about - perhaps I am just good at convincing myself). This is inferred on my part, from much reading and opinions from those more informed than I. Or, perhaps I should say, better able to extrapolate the whole concept.
            But, I suppose, if the PPT is a part of treasury or fed, or has their involvement, they would have access to all the capital they might need. They needn't have express authorization of executive or legislative branches.

            One of the things I have read (heard) tossed around is that as futures markets are far less liquid, that is one of the places the greatest benefit could be derived from a smaller investment. This heard suggested on CNBC, of all places (FM). Then, on Friday, for example, they could tell the former wall street broker/dealers, and other big players, that the fed will lower the interest rate by X% next week, allowing them to make bets ahead of the general market, wih some assurance of profitability. But you are right, there is probably no unlimited source of funds, in the amount needed to really move the markets, especially the stock markets. I think, if any of this supposition is near the mark, they have really had to extend their assets to hold things together recently, but this seems like the moment, if ever there was one that it would make an all out effort to hold the line. Especially as they are trying to get private and SWFs to put up for seriously damaged banks and insurance companies. Remember, just the suggestion of Paulson having a bazooka in his pocket, was thought to be enough, a couple of weeks ago.

            But do any of us really know, or do we just look at the evidence in the way markets move and timing of rate cuts (on options expiration) for example, and rumours heard, and come up with our own paranoid hypotheses? For godsake:eek:, I'm starting to run out of tinfoil for my hat!!!
            Last edited by pinhead; October 26, 2008, 06:34 PM. Reason: I read Bart, after I finished writing mine contribution

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            • #7
              Re: The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

              “Today the Muppets on CNBC were remarking how well our market acted, not falling apart as expected. All day long they spoke of how our market was acting differently today than every other stock market in the world. Well hello, the other countries don’t have a PPT, which is WHY our market is so different.

              Isn't there something in Japan ?

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              • #8
                Re: The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

                Originally posted by D-Mack View Post
                Isn't there something in Japan ?
                You bet there is... review 1987.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: The Not-so-invisible Hand: How The Plunge Protection Team Killed The Free Market

                  Yes they did and do -- However it only works from early March till March 31st

                  See Plunge Protection and Price Keeping Operations

                  The Japanese government invented a nifty market manipulation tool when the Japanese equity market bubble of the late 1980s was bursting downward into the late 1990s. The main problem for policymakers is that banks held huge portfolios of stocks at this time, and they faced the prospect of declaring their banks in violation of Basel Accord capital ratio standards if the stocks were marked down to fair value. To avoid that nasty scenario, the Japanese government would call on major pools of capital such as the Postal Savings system, insurance companies and the banks themselves to buy the equity market aggressively from early March until March 31st, their fiscal year end. This bit of market manipulation was called Price Keeping Operations, or PKO for short.

                  As an international equity fund manager at that time, I found myself and other fund managers knew better than to get in the way of PKO. In fact, many would buy up the market in late February and early March, concentrating on stocks widely held by the banks, and dump them in late March for a tidy profit. The profit was essentially extracted from the Japanese government, or more to the point, taxpayers. The PKO may have saved the banks from reflecting reality for a time, but the market kept falling after March 31, almost every year for a decade.

                  The US government appears to have taken a page from the Japanese book by creating a coterie of capital pools including a US Treasury group with no public accountability for the purpose of manipulating the market on big down days. The alleged activity has been chronicled in several investment newsletters and in financial newspapers as the reason for sudden inexplicable rallies, particularly late in the afternoon.

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