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Even as Obama has statistically won, Clinton continues to show that Obama has clear weak spots with core Democratic constituencies.
As I noted before, I did not believe Obama could be an effective candidate - especially vs. McCain - due to his being African American.
The race issue is particularly charged for the Democrats in this case because both African Americans and Hispanics are key Democrat demographics; unfortunately historical political practices have long separated the two groups.
As a relatively recent group, Hispanics often live and work in the poorer areas which were dominated by African American politicians. While this is changing, nonetheless the situation still holds true in many areas.
Rightly or wrongly, many Hispanics believe the African Americans deliberately keep them out of the power loop.
Obama, not just by being African American, but by completely not focusing on this Hispanic concern and having to rely on African Americans to seal his victory over Hilary Clinton, is threatening to introduce yet another split on top of working class vs. Boston Brahmins: Hispanics vs. African Americans. At 37.4M, Hispanics in 2004 already exceeded the African American population of 36M at that time in the United States.
McCain as a strong advocate for reform on immigration and many other issues dear to Hispanics, is a candidate ideally placed to take advantage.
While I had predicted Hilary to beat Obama and was wrong, nonetheless the calculations which pointed to Hilary being the best Democratic candidate still hold true.
For the first time ever, I will vote in California solely because there may be a swing from California voting Democrat/President for the first time since 1992.
Unless Obama picks someone as popular as Reagan in California and also Hispanic to boot, I can see him winning a few of the previously 'red' inner states, but losing California and Texas, and perhaps even New York.
A huge loss of the Presidency for the Democrat party in a year where literally it should have been a slam dunk.
Hilary in 2012.
Even as Obama has statistically won, Clinton continues to show that Obama has clear weak spots with core Democratic constituencies.
As I noted before, I did not believe Obama could be an effective candidate - especially vs. McCain - due to his being African American.
The race issue is particularly charged for the Democrats in this case because both African Americans and Hispanics are key Democrat demographics; unfortunately historical political practices have long separated the two groups.
As a relatively recent group, Hispanics often live and work in the poorer areas which were dominated by African American politicians. While this is changing, nonetheless the situation still holds true in many areas.
Rightly or wrongly, many Hispanics believe the African Americans deliberately keep them out of the power loop.
Obama, not just by being African American, but by completely not focusing on this Hispanic concern and having to rely on African Americans to seal his victory over Hilary Clinton, is threatening to introduce yet another split on top of working class vs. Boston Brahmins: Hispanics vs. African Americans. At 37.4M, Hispanics in 2004 already exceeded the African American population of 36M at that time in the United States.
McCain as a strong advocate for reform on immigration and many other issues dear to Hispanics, is a candidate ideally placed to take advantage.
While I had predicted Hilary to beat Obama and was wrong, nonetheless the calculations which pointed to Hilary being the best Democratic candidate still hold true.
For the first time ever, I will vote in California solely because there may be a swing from California voting Democrat/President for the first time since 1992.
Unless Obama picks someone as popular as Reagan in California and also Hispanic to boot, I can see him winning a few of the previously 'red' inner states, but losing California and Texas, and perhaps even New York.
A huge loss of the Presidency for the Democrat party in a year where literally it should have been a slam dunk.
Hilary in 2012.