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  • Foreclosure Prevention Month

    Quote: "You're talking 10 percent of an entire city becoming homeless,"

    http://www.cnn.com/2008/LIVING/wayof....ap/index.html

    MERCED, California (AP) -- An overflow crowd piled into the Merced Civic Center, spilling out of the main auditorium, into the halls and down the stairs.

    Some brought babies, others elderly parents. Everyone brought their paperwork -- the sum of their financial lives and wreckage of their American Dream.

    A foreclosure prevention fair on a brilliant Saturday afternoon was the place of choice for more than 200 people in Merced, a city of 65,000 best known as the gateway to Yosemite National Park.

    The fair kicked off a series of events planned in March, or what local politicians have dubbed "Foreclosure Prevention Month," around the northern San Joaquin Valley as well as cities from Florida to Chicago and places west. The world's most fertile farm region, the San Joaquin Valley includes three metro areas -- Stockton, Modesto and Merced -- with some of the highest foreclosure rates in the nation.

    "Clearly we've got a crisis," said Democratic Rep. Dennis Cardoza, whose district includes much of the Valley. "You look around this auditorium and think this is America, hardworking family people who go to church on Sunday and want good schools for their kids."

    More and more family friendly foreclosure fairs, where mortgage lenders and counselors offer advice to desperate homeowners, are taking place in Miami, Philadelphia, Boston, Columbus, Ohio, and other hard-hit cities and towns across the country. This month began a series of "Homeownership Preservation Forums" sponsored by HOPE NOW, a collaboration of nonprofit, corporate and government partners, including the Housing and Urban Development.

    The fairs help homeowners who may be too paralyzed with fear to pick up a phone and call their lender as they fall behind in their mortgage payments and risk foreclosure. "Studies show that homeowners respond more quickly to community and nonprofit groups than to lenders and banks," HUD Secretary Alphonso Jackson said in a recent speech in San Francisco.

    Organizers of the Merced fair had worried that attendance would suffer from too little notice; instead, they were overwhelmed by the response. That same day, another 200 mobbed a fair in Los Banos, an old farming city of 35,000 residents, also in Merced County. Five percent of Los Banos' 10,000 houses have already foreclosed and another five percent are expected to foreclose in the coming months, Cardoza said.

    "You're talking 10 percent of an entire city becoming homeless," Cardoza said. "I don't know how much worse things can get."

    Already, the valley's Stanislaus County, which includes Modesto, is No. 3 on the national rankings of foreclosure rates complied by RealtyTrac, a San-Diego-based firm that monitors foreclosures. San Joaquin County, which includes Stockton, is No. 2 on the list, edged out of the top spot by Detroit. See recent trends of foreclosure filings »

    Sleepy Merced County, No. 4 in RealtyTrac's national foreclosure rankings, also has other numbers to worry about: The county's unemployment rate climbed to 13.3 percent in January, up from 11.9 percent in December, according to the California Employment Development Department. In contrast, the state unemployment rate was about 6 percent and the national unemployment rate was at 4.8 percent.

    Housing values are also suffering. The median home price in Merced County in January was $215,000, down 33.8 percent from a year earlier, according to DataQuick Information Systems, a real estate research firm. In some towns, such as Atwater, housing values have dropped 50 percent, officials said.

    If that weren't enough, the number of chronically homeless people, or those who end up homeless for at least a year, also is growing. The Merced Community Action Agency, a nonprofit advocacy group, in a recent survey of 104 chronically homeless adults, found five who had been homeless for more than a year after losing their houses to foreclosure. City leaders expect the numbers to increase.

    For families at the Merced Foreclosure Prevention Fair, the fear of becoming homeless was all too real. In random interviews with six families, four of whom had already received eviction notices from their lenders, all said they weren't sure where they'd go once forced out of their homes.

    "We're three payments behind, which they told us here is not that terrible," said Elizabeth Gomez. "If we can't hold on, we're lost."

    Most families had similar tales of woe. One couple said the same broker who had written their loan in 2005 promising he would help them refinance it to a 30-year fixed rate when the teaser rate of two percent expired refused to take their calls. Their mortgage on a $300,000 house mushroomed from about $900 to over $2,000.

    They wearily took their place in the auditorium. Like the waiting room of a motor vehicle department office, everyone had numbers and spent up to three hours waiting for help.

    No one was sure how many people at the fair would actually be able to avert foreclosure. In San Francisco recently, fairgoers and officials complained that lenders have, for the most part, rejected pleas to help negotiate loans or forestall foreclosure with a payment agreement.

    "The key after today's workshop is the follow-up," said state Rep. Cathleen Galgiani, who helped organize the month's fairs.

    In Stockton, officials anticipating a high turnout brought bottled water and held their prevention fair in the San Joaquin County fairgrounds. More than 500 people showed up

  • #2
    Re: Foreclosure Prevention Month

    "You're talking 10 percent of an entire city becoming homeless," Cardoza said. "I don't know how much worse things can get."
    No, you're talking 10 percent of the city going back to being renters. Quite a different thing. Get over it.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Foreclosure Prevention Month

      I'm not a statistician but this quote

      "The Merced Community Action Agency, a nonprofit advocacy group, in a recent survey of 104 chronically homeless adults, found five who had been homeless for more than a year after losing their houses to foreclosure. City leaders expect the numbers to increase."

      implies about 5% going homeless as a result of foreclosure. One must also consider employment or lack thereof into the equation, no? Or is this all just spin then as you imply?

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Foreclosure Prevention Month

        Originally posted by swgprop View Post
        No, you're talking 10 percent of the city going back to being renters. Quite a different thing. Get over it.
        Here's an alternate, somewhat less Darwinian, view...

        Many (albeit I will concede not all) of these folks were not speculators and got into trouble in the first place because they did not have the ability to understand the consequences of what they were doing. It's unlikely they have the ability to successfully work their way out of the problem without help. Yes some of the efforts to deal with this will be misguided, ineffective, or worst, counterproductive. But still better that people work together in their communities to deal with the social fallout, than waiting for our friend Hank, who helped create the damn problem and enriched himself along the way, to come up with another "Hope Now" scheme.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Foreclosure Prevention Month

          ttp://www.canada.com/ottawacitizen/news/opinion/story.html?id=32b54c86-093f-472a-bdd4-8a13221e06fc

          "Canadians, strangely, believe this country's immune from the housing contagion sweeping America. The myth results from three powerful forces. Denial tops the list, no doubt the result of having more than 80 per cent of our net worth in one asset, the family home. Add to that the excellent communications job done by the real estate lobby -- mortgage-lending bank economists and the CEOs of real estate marketing companies -- who claim home values will rise forever. Finally, our belief the Americans screwed up by giving subprime mortgages to unworthy people so they could buy unaffordable homes.
          But this is not so. In researching my book, Greater Fool, I was reminded again of why all booms end badly. The inflating real estate market to the south became unsustainable when average prices exceeded the ability of average families to buy homes. This inflation in turn was the result of policy decisions made after 9/11 which gave America (and Canada) the lowest interest rates in a generation. Debt was cheap, and volatile stock markets represented unacceptable risk. So, real estate became the asset of choice...."

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          • #6
            Re: Foreclosure Prevention Month

            The title alone makes me laugh...

            "Foreclosure Prevention Month"...

            What a joke.

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