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Realtime real estate pricing

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  • Realtime real estate pricing

    As EJ has famously stated, real estate is different from stocks in that a house can languish on the market for years, which means there is no relevant information on which to value it. It's impossible to tell what it's actually worth.

    Unless there's an absolute auction.

    My wife and I attended our first (of hopefully many) absolute auction today, and it was very interesting. You had to sign up 30 minutes before the auction, bring a $25,000 cashier's check, be prepared to make a full 10% deposit by the end of the next business day and close within 45 days. There were 7 registered bidders by the time it started.

    The house was a really nice, though slightly dated, 3 bedroom, 2 bath concrete block structure on an acre of oceanfront. Upstairs apartment (a 1/1) was rented. Places like this were regularly going for one to one and a half million a few years back. This one had been on the market for a few months. The listing price was $1.7 million. Zillow's Zestimate call it $1.7 million.

    It went at auction for $600k.

    Wow. I thought it would be years before these kinds of prices came around again. But there's so much farther to go. The buyer originally paid $410k for it in 2001. He'd be up if he hadn't drained the equity with a second mortgage.

    My wife and I sold our place nearby at the peak and are renting for less than what my property taxes were. We're enjoying sitting on cash, and waiting for the mad crazy bargains that will come along. When I am actively scoffed by friends and acquaintences for even looking at real estate, I'll know it's time to buy, paying cash, and extracting rent to cover the opportunity cost of sinking the cash in a house.

    This should be fun. Thanks, iTulip.
    Last edited by FRED; March 22, 2008, 05:55 PM. Reason: Threw in a link. Hope you don't mind!
    "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much it is whether we provide enough for those who have little." - Franklin D. Roosevelt

  • #2
    Re: Realtime real estate pricing

    very interesting. I am the developer of the www.MortgageReliefFormula.com home study course and I have a system called the nine day house sale that lets a house get sold in a bidding situation but not an instant auction.

    I think this method is very good and allows houses to be sold at their present market value. Not what the seller or lender wants, but what the house is really worth.

    I think your example is very interesting...but I think this sort of absolute auction is less likely to get a higher amount of money for the seller than something like the nine day sale which gives an inspection period of a weekend, and an open auction bidding opportunity later, then a traditional settlement period like any other house sale.

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