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Home Prices vs. Income Growth

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  • Home Prices vs. Income Growth

    WSJ posted this comment about the relationship between home prices (S&P/Case-Shiller national index) and income growth (Commerce Dept.). It doesn't look so bad when you consider average income growth. But I find it hard to believe that median income growth since 1999 is anything close to the happy story shown in the chart.
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  • #2
    Re: Home Prices vs. Income Growth

    If the numbers are not inflation adjusted, it is easily believable.

    That's why charts are so useful for manipulators of perception.
    Last edited by c1ue; March 13, 2008, 12:06 PM.

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    • #3
      Re: Home Prices vs. Income Growth

      How is that median income affected by rising unemployment?

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      • #4
        Re: Home Prices vs. Income Growth

        Originally posted by quigleydoor View Post
        WSJ posted this comment about the relationship between home prices (S&P/Case-Shiller national index) and income growth (Commerce Dept.). It doesn't look so bad when you consider average income growth. But I find it hard to believe that median income growth since 1999 is anything close to the happy story shown in the chart.
        We noted back in 2005 the correlation between income and home prices to make the point that in the future when incomes finally fall, so will home prices.


        Fast forward three years and then project out two and here's what we see. Green demarcates falling unemployment and rising home prices, red demarcates rising unemployment and falling home prices.

        Ed.

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        • #5
          Re: Home Prices vs. Income Growth

          So at least three years of 5-10% real declines for at least three years from here?

          Any thoughts on when the recovery begins?

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          • #6
            Re: Home Prices vs. Income Growth

            Originally posted by WDCRob View Post
            So at least three years of 5-10% real declines for at least three years from here?

            Any thoughts on when the recovery begins?
            WDCRob: Suggest you have a look at the excellent commentary already on the site for the best answer to your question. This series by EJ is well worth the time to re-read, and a good place to start, IMO...
            "Recession 2007"
            http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...ght=Home+Price

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