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Bullish on the Dollar/Euro, contrarian?

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  • Bullish on the Dollar/Euro, contrarian?

    http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=2...lGY&refer=home

    Some quotes:

    "The dollar will gain at least 9 percent against the euro this year, UBS and BNP predict"

    "Futures traders cut the value of contracts benefiting from a drop in the dollar to $13.9 billion as of Jan. 29, according to Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp., the second-largest U.S. bank by assets. That's down from a record $32.3 billion in November. "

    "Paris-based BNP, the most accurate of 31 firms surveyed about their currency predictions for the second half of 2007, is among the most bullish on the dollar in 2008 with its forecast of $1.36 per euro by yearend. Zurich-based UBS predicts $1.35. The median estimate calls for a 5.4 percent increase to $1.40 by the end of this year and a 6 percent gain to $1.32 in 2009. "

    "Deutsche Bank AG, the world's largest currency trader, predicts an 8 percent gain in the dollar this year as the euro- zone economy expands 1.6 percent, lagging behind the 1.9 percent growth projected for the U.S. For 2009, Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank puts growth at 2.6 percent in the U.S. and 1.9 percent in Europe. "

    Opinions?

  • #2
    Re: Bullish on the Dollar/Euro, contrarian?

    Hmmmm..........I suspect that they are talking Bolocks, they know this its a "Come on". The $ is doomed and they are trying to off load some of the copter drops made by dear "Ben".
    Mike

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    • #3
      Re: Bullish on the Dollar/Euro, contrarian?

      The team at the Hussman fund think otherwise. Essentially, they suggest a further dollar fall in the near term with high probability. It's an interesting read:

      http://www.hussman.net/wmc/wmc080203.htm

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