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Thursday, January 24, 2008 Market Update

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  • Thursday, January 24, 2008 Market Update

    Good Morning iTulip!

    http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j...kYAzgD8UC69982
    AP Executive Morning Briefing
    2 hours ago

    The top business news from The Associated Press for the morning of Thursday, Jan. 24, 2008:

    Deal for Economic Rescue Package Closer

    WASHINGTON (AP) — House Democratic and Republican leaders are looking for imminent agreement with the White House on an emergency package to jolt the economy out of its slump after negotiators on all sides made significant concessions at a late-night bargaining session. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi agreed to drop increases in food stamp and unemployment benefits during the Wednesday meeting in exchange for gaining a rebates of at least $300 for each person earning a paycheck, including low-income earners who make too little to pay income taxes.

    ___

    Asian Markets Mixed After Dow's Rebound

    TOKYO (AP) — Asian markets were mixed Thursday as a stunning comeback on Wall Street overnight left some investors heartened but failed to completely allay concerns about the U.S. economy. Markets in Japan, South Korea, Australia and the Phillippines all rose for a second day, helping them erase losses from their steep slide earlier this week that was driven by fears of a recession in the U.S., a vital export market.

    ___

    French Bank Finds $7.14 Billion Fraud

    PARIS (AP) — French bank Societe Generale has uncovered a $7.14 billion fraud that, combined with a write-down from its subprime exposure, will force it to seek $8.02 billion in new capital, the bank said. France's second-largest bank by market value after BNP Paribas SA said it detected the fraud at its French markets division the weekend of Jan. 19. A trader at the futures desk had taken "massive fraudulent directional positions in 2007 and 2008 beyond his limited authority," SocGen said.

    ___

    YouTube Expands Mobile Video Service

    SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — YouTube is expanding its mobile service to include virtually all of the videos available on its Web site, hoping to widen its sway on pop culture. Beginning Thursday, most people equipped with the latest generation of mobile phones will be able to peruse tens of millions of YouTube videos. YouTube first began showing videos on phones in 2006, but only a few thousand clips had been available until now.

    ___

    Online Auctioneer EBay Shifts Gears

    SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — Calling eBay Inc. her "baby," outgoing chief executive Meg Whitman is promising a smooth transition to a new corporate leadership team as she gives up day-to-day control of the online auction company she has led for 10 years. "EBay is my baby in many ways, and I wanted to make sure the transition was handled in a first class way," Whitman told The Associated Press. She will remain on eBay's board of directors and make herself available to the new team, but looks forward to escaping the 24/7 grind.

    ___

    Digital Music Sales Up Worldwide

    LONDON (AP) — Record companies' revenue from digital music sales rose 40 percent to $2.9 billion over the past year, but the growth is still failing to cover losses from collapse of international CD sales, the music industry's global trade body said Thursday. The International Federation of the Phonographic Industry, or IFPI, said the increase in legitimate music sales did not come close to offsetting the billions of dollars being lost to music piracy, with illegal downloads outnumbering the number of tracks sold by a factor of 20-to-1.

    ___

    Toyota Still Close No. 2 to GM

    TOKYO (AP) — General Motors just barely retained its lead over Toyota as the world's No. 1 automaker last year, but the neck-and-neck competition will only intensify in the coming year as the two rivals vie for sales in China, India and other newer, booming markets. It was the solid sales growth in such emerging markets that gave General Motors Corp. its slight edge over Toyota Motor Corp. in 2007 global vehicle sales, allowing the U.S. automaker to keep its top spot for the 77th year.

    ___

    China's Economy Grows 11.2 Percent

    BEIJING (AP) — China's economy grew by a blistering 11.2 percent in the fourth quarter, propelling annual growth to its fastest rate in 13 years, the government said Thursday, showing that China remains vibrant despite worries that a possible U.S. recession will drag on global growth. Analysts say China — closing in on Germany as the world's third-largest economy — could help to drive world growth in the event of a U.S. slowdown, though they say it alone cannot fill the whole gap.

    ___

    Agribusiness Stocks Lag on Oil Drop

    ST. LOUIS (AP) — Oil prices are falling, which might be bad news for U.S. farmers and agribusiness firms because of their growing dependence on selling biofuels. Traditionally, a drop in petroleum prices would mean that farmers paid less to grow their crops, helping boost production and increase supplies for big corporations like Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. More crops also meant higher demand for seeds and other herbicides from the likes of Monsanto Co.

    ___

    Lone Star Funds Head Leaves South Korea

    SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — The head of Lone Star Funds left South Korea on Thursday following extensive grilling by prosecutors over the U.S. buyout group's activities in the country. Lone Star Chairman John Grayken said he underwent 10 days of questioning by the Supreme Prosecutors' Office in relation to the private equity firm's purchase of Korea Exchange Bank in 2003 and the acquisition shortly thereafter of its credit card unit.

    ___

    Gold Prices

    LONDON (AP) — Gold bullion opened Thursday at a bid price of $891.30 a troy ounce, up from $888.40 late Wednesday.

    ___

    Japan Markets

    TOKYO (AP) — Japan's benchmark stock index rose more than 2 percent Thursday as traders were encouraged by rising shares in other Asian markets and bought real estate and bank issues. The benchmark Nikkei index gained 263.72 points, or 2.06 percent, to close at 13,092.78 on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. On Wednesday, the index added 2.04 percent.

    ___

    Dollar-Yen

    TOKYO (AP) — The U.S. dollar rose to 106.58 yen midafternoon in Tokyo, up from 105.75 yen in late Wednesday New York.

    A service of The Associated Press. Copyright 2008 All rights reserved.

  • #2
    Re: Thursday, January 24, 2008 Market Update


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    • #3
      France's SocGen hit by $7.1 billion alleged fraud

      France's SocGen hit by $7.1 billion alleged fraud
      http://www.marketwatch.com/news/stor...2FB129BE6E8%7D

      France's SocGen hit by $7.1 billion alleged fraud
      Further subprime write-downs announced; bank plans capital increase
      By Simon Kennedy, MarketWatch
      Last update: 7:17 a.m. EST Jan. 24, 2008
      LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Societe Generale has uncovered a massive 4.9 billion-euro ($7.1 billion) fraud linked to a single rogue futures trader, France's second-largest bank said Thursday.
      The company (FR:013080: news, chart, profile) also said it will post additional write-downs of 2.05 billion euros in the fourth quarter, and it's planning a capital increase on the order of 5.5 billion euros in the next few weeks.
      The rogue trader, whose role at the bank was to make "plain vanilla" hedges on European stock-market indexes, used his knowledge of the bank's control procedures "to conceal these positions through a scheme of elaborate fictitious transactions," SocGen said in a statement.
      SocGen said it has begun dismissal proceedings against the trader. His direct supervisor will also leave the group.
      In addition, SocGen said its board of directors rejected Daniel Bouton's offer to resign as chief executive.
      The company said the fraudulent trades were made in 2007 and 2008.
      The company also said there's no residual exposure to the trader's positions, which were discovered and investigated on Jan. 19. The 4.9 billion-euro cost of the fraud is before tax and includes losses from SocGen's decision to close the positions as quickly as possible.
      French rival BNP Paribas (FR:013110: news, chart, profile) , was quick to clarify that it hadn't found any major issues with its results, which will be released next week.
      "Neither any loss nor any other matter has been revealed, whose importance would justify a market warning," BNP said in a statement.
      Another competitor, Credit Agricole (FR:004507: news, chart, profile) , recently revealed losses from unauthorized trades, although on a much smaller scale. The bank said in September that it would cost around 250 million euros to unwind trades in credit-market indexes made at the New York offices of its Calyon unit.
      Shares of SocGen dropped 5.3% in midday trading in Paris, in contrast to a rally enjoyed across the European banking sector.
      Shares of BNP Paribas advanced 8% and Credit Agricole gained 6.2%, while Barclays (UK:BARC: news, chart, profile) (BCSBarclays PLC BCS) added 7.8% and Deutsche Bank (DE:514000: news, chart, profile) jumped 7.2%. See Europe Markets.
      Hidden trades
      The size of the SocGen fraud dwarfs that of infamous rogue trader Nick Leeson, who racked up losses of around $1.4 billion at Barings Bank in 1995.
      Leeson's actions led to the collapse of Barings. Convicted of fraud, he was sentenced to a jail term of six and a half years.
      The SocGen trader used his experience of working in the bank's middle- and back-office to hide the huge positions he created, Bouton told investors and the media during a heated press conference.
      Big bets on the direction of European indexes were concealed by fictitious trades in the opposite direction. That gave the impression to the bank's compliance and back-office staff that the risks were balanced out, Bouton said.
      Indeed, the losses were largely only realized because the bank unwound the positions during a slump in global equity markets over the last few days. If markets had gone up at the start of the week, the positions could even have turned into gains, Bouton added.
      But the CEO dismissed assertions that SocGen should have disclosed the trades before closing out the positions. If the bank had disclosed massive open positions, other banks could have moved the market against it, he claimed.
      SocGen officials told reporters that the trader's actions were "inexplicable" and that he didn't benefit directly from the fraud. Investigations are continuing to see if he made any indirect profit or was working with anyone outside the bank.
      Analysts at Standard & Poor's put the bank under review for possible downgrade following the announcement. "The loss resulting from the fraud appears to be an isolated event triggered by exceptional circumstances," said S&P analyst Elisabeth Grandin.
      "Nevertheless the magnitude of the loss is not consistent with our expectations of the bank's exposure to extreme events factored into the current rating," she added.
      Further write-downs
      Regarding its additional write-downs, SocGen said they consist of 1.1 billion euros related to U.S. residential mortgage risk and 550 million euros linked to its exposure to U.S. bond insurers. There's also a further 400 million euros of unallocated additional provisions.
      The write-downs and fraud will leave SocGen with a 2007 profit of just 600 million euros to 800 million euros, while the company's corporate and investment banking arm will post a net loss of 2.3 billion euros for the year.
      Analysts polled by Thomson Financial had expected the bank to earn 5.23 billion euros this year, on average.
      Aiming to strengthen its capital position, the bank will launch a capital increase with preferential subscription rights of 5.5 billion euros, fully underwritten by J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley.

      Simon Kennedy is the City correspondent for MarketWatch in London.

      Comment


      • #4
        Citigroup abandons U.S. branch expansion plan: report

        Citigroup abandons U.S. branch expansion plan: report
        http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv...18866520080124
        NEW YORK (Reuters) - Citigroup Inc is abandoning its plans to open as many as 100 U.S. branches a year, The Wall Street Journal said on Thursday.

        The report said the bank will likely sell or close some new branches in areas like Tampa, Florida, while focusing on large metropolitan areas like Boston, Miami, New York City and San Francisco.

        Citigroup was not immediately available for comment.

        The Journal quoted the head of Citigroup's U.S. consumer group as saying the move was about optimizing resources.

        The report said the company began reconsidering its expansion plans when Vikram Pandit became its new chief executive last month. His predecessor, Charles Prince, stepped down amid mounting mortgage-related losses.

        (Reporting by Ritsuko Ando; Editing by Erica Billingham)
        Need capital.

        Comment


        • #5
          N.Y. Regulator Pushes Banks to Rescue Bond Insurers

          N.Y. Regulator Pushes Banks to Rescue Bond Insurers
          .Y. Regulator Pushes Banks to Rescue Bond Insurers (Update3)

          By Erik Holm and Jesse Westbrook

          Jan. 24 (Bloomberg) -- New York regulators are pushing the biggest U.S. financial institutions to rescue bond insurers, led by MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc., and avert credit- rating downgrades that may further disrupt financial markets.

          Insurance Superintendent Eric Dinallo, who met with industry executives yesterday, is trying to bolster the bond insurers' ratings with help from banks and securities firms that posted $133 billion of writedowns and credit losses tied to mortgage securities. He's received encouragement from Federal Reserve Bank of New York President Timothy Geithner, said a person with knowledge of the matter.

          ...
          What happened to moral hazard? What's that? USSA

          Comment


          • #6
            Corporate bond defaults to rise

            Corporate bond defaults to rise
            http://www.marketwatch.com/news/stor...037D92C7A51%7D

            Corporate bond defaults to rise
            Economic slowing, credit crunch take two companies bankrupt this week
            By Laura Mandaro, MarketWatch
            Last update: 5:41 p.m. EST Jan. 23, 2008Print E-mail RSS Disable Live Quotes
            SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) - More companies are expected to default on their bonds this year as developed economies slow and credit conditions remain tight, pressures that pushed two North American companies into bankruptcy this week and that promise to keep roiling financial markets, analysts said.
            "You'll see a lot more credit defaults over the next 24 months as economic conditions soften," said Sean Egan, managing director at ratings agency Egan-Jones Ratings.
            In past years, aggressive private equity buyers and fairly lenient lending standards helped struggling corporations stay afloat, he said.
            That's all changed. The U.S. economy looks increasingly likely to fall into a recession, Europe is cooling and both lenders and private equity buyers remain on the sidelines. On Wednesday, Cerberus Capital Management Chairman John Snow said banks needed to "purge" about $200 billion of loans they can't sell to investors before the hot pace of leveraged buyouts resumes, reported Bloomberg.
            More reason for T-bills to rise.

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