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Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

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  • Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

    http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j...kYAzgD8UA78H81

    AP Executive Morning Briefing
    32 minutes ago

    The top business news from The Associated Press for the morning of Monday, Jan. 21, 2008:

    Asia Stocks Sink Amid US Recession Fears

    TOKYO (AP) — Asian stock markets plunged Monday following declines on Wall Street last week amid investor pessimism over the U.S. government's stimulus plan to prevent a recession. India's benchmark Sensex stock index fell as much as 10.9 percent in afternoon trading, while Hong Kong's blue-chip Hang Seng index plummeted 5.5 percent to 23,818.86, its biggest percentage drop since the Sept. 11, 2001, terror attacks.

    ___

    Schumer: Expand Those Helped by Stimulus

    WASHINGTON (AP) — Any rebate included in an economic stimulus plan should include people who pay Social Security taxes, not just those who pay income taxes, a leading Democratic lawmaker said Sunday. "If we did the rebate based on the payroll tax, it would hit a lot more people at a lower end of the spectrum. And so to just say income taxes are the only taxes we're considering that people pay is unfair," said Charles Schumer, the New York lawmaker who is chairman of the congressional Joint Economic Committee. People making $35,000 to $50,000 pay a lot of federal taxes, he said, but much of that is not income tax, but directed to programs like Social Security.

    ___

    LA Times Editor Fired in Budget Dispute

    LOS ANGELES (AP) — The Los Angeles Times fired its top editor after he rejected a management order to cut $4 million from the newsroom budget, 14 months after his predecessor was also ousted in a budget dispute, the newspaper said Sunday. James O'Shea was fired following a confrontation with Publisher David D. Hiller, the Times reported on its Web site. The story didn't say when the confrontation took place.

    ___

    Wall Street Braces for More Volatility

    NEW YORK (AP) — With Wall Street falling precipitously almost by the day, investors are asking what it will take to revive it. Market experts are increasingly coming to the same answer: Time. There is no piece of economic data, no corporate earnings report, no move by the Federal Reserve and no government tax plan that will be able to soothe the market's anxiety in the next couple weeks over the weakening economy.

    ___

    'Cloverfield' Sets January Movie Record

    LOS ANGELES (AP) — The creature-feature "Cloverfield" became the first monster hit released in 2008, debuting with $41 million, a record opening for January, according to studio estimates Sunday. Paramount's tale of a giant reptile causing chaos in New York City surpassed the $35.9 million premiere weekend of the "Star Wars" special edition in 1997, the previous best for January.

    ___

    Nissan Sees US As Tough Market for Sales

    TOKYO (AP) — A top Nissan executive said Monday that selling cars in the United States is going to be tough this year because of a likely U.S. economic slowdown amid problems in the credit and housing markets as well as a stronger yen. Automakers and analysts are predicting that this year's U.S. auto sales could drop to their lowest level in a decade to about 16 million vehicles or lower.

    ___

    Oil Drops Below $90 a Barrel

    SINGAPORE (AP) — Oil prices fell Monday in Asia as concern over the U.S. economy drove down regional stock markets and outweighed concern that OPEC will resist pressure to raise crude production levels. Oil prices have now retreated more than $10 from a record above $100 a barrel early this year on worries a flagging U.S. economy would dampen fuel demand. Prices had gained Friday on hopes that President George W. Bush's economic stimulus plan would work.

    ___

    LinkedIn Founder Has Golden Touch

    MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif. (AP) — Few Internet entrepreneurs practice what they preach as devoutly as LinkedIn Corp. co-founder Reid Hoffman, whose business revolves around his belief that good fortune flows from good relationships. Hoffman, 40, has put that principle to work by mining his own vast network of Silicon Valley connections to rake in one Internet jackpot after another.

    ___

    Casinos Threaten Hong Kong Racing Club

    HONG KONG (AP) — The 124-year-old Hong Kong Jockey Club, whose racetrack revenues are one of the secrets of the territory's economic success, is facing a decidedly modern threat: glitzy casinos being built by Las Vegas operators in nearby Macau. The new competitors are draining away at least $2.4 billion a year in potential betting revenue, or about 20 percent of last year's take, estimates the club's Chief Executive Officer Winfried Engelbrecht-Bresges.

    ___

    China Real Estate Brokers Face Slowdown

    SHANGHAI, China (AP) — After booming in recent years, China's real estate market is finally beginning to feel the pinch from sagging demand and tighter controls. One of China's biggest real estate agencies, Chuanghui Real Estate, has shuttered dozens of outlets in Shanghai and other cities, leaving behind angry customers and employees, following an ill-timed expansion just as the market was peaking.

    ___

    Gold Prices

    LONDON (AP) — Gold bullion opened Monday at a bid price of $876.60 a troy ounce, down from $880.20 late Friday.

    ___

    Japan Markets

    TOKYO (AP) — Japanese stocks plunged Monday, tracking declines on Wall Street and around Asia, on worries that the U.S. economy is recession-bound. Major exporters such as Toyota and Honda sank. The Nikkei 225 index shed 535.35 points, or 3.86 percent, to close at 13,325.94 on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The drop erased the combined 2.6 percent gain in the market Thursday and Friday.

    ___

    Dollar-Yen

    TOKYO (AP) — The dollar rose against the yen in Asia Monday, as Japanese importers bought the unit to settle accounts. The greenback also gained on the euro, with non-Japanese investors selling the latter to lock in profits amid concerns about Europe's economic outlook. The dollar was trading at 106.76 yen at 2:50 p.m. Monday, up from 106.67 yen late Friday in New York.

    A service of The Associated Press. Copyright 2008 All rights reserved.
    http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5j...kYAzgD8UA78H81

  • #2
    Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

    Everything is falling like a house of cards.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

      The whole world is waiting for Mr Benanke to cut rate.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

        anyone still believe in "decoupling"?

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

          Originally posted by jk View Post
          anyone still believe in "decoupling"?
          Yes, for the MOMENT there is decoupling, the US is down less than the rest of the world.
          Jim 69 y/o

          "...Texans...the lowest form of white man there is." Robert Duvall, as Al Sieber, in "Geronimo." (see "Location" for examples.)

          Dedicated to the idea that all people deserve a chance for a healthy productive life. B&M Gates Fdn.

          Good judgement comes from experience; experience comes from bad judgement. Unknown.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

            Originally posted by Jim Nickerson View Post
            Yes, for the MOMENT there is decoupling, the US is down less than the rest of the world.
            not true if you count the futures. here are the globex quotes from bloomberg:
            VALUECHANGE% CHANGE
            Dow11,590.00-516.00-4.26
            S&P 5001,265.20-60.10-4.53
            NASDAQ1,772.25-77.25-4.18
            S&P/TSE713.60-33.30-4.46
            Mexico Bolsa26,050.00-913.00-3.39

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

              Originally posted by jk View Post
              not true if you count the futures. here are the globex quotes from bloomberg:
              VALUECHANGE% CHANGE
              Dow11,590.00-516.00-4.26
              S&P 5001,265.20-60.10-4.53
              NASDAQ1,772.25-77.25-4.18
              S&P/TSE713.60-33.30-4.46
              Mexico Bolsa26,050.00-913.00-3.39
              I wrote a note Saturday afternoon here that I inadvertently deleted that my exiting my short index positions had in effect removed the "crash protection" factor from the markets. I also said certainly that was not the case, but it is just how all of us feel from time to time when we make decisions.
              Jim 69 y/o

              "...Texans...the lowest form of white man there is." Robert Duvall, as Al Sieber, in "Geronimo." (see "Location" for examples.)

              Dedicated to the idea that all people deserve a chance for a healthy productive life. B&M Gates Fdn.

              Good judgement comes from experience; experience comes from bad judgement. Unknown.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

                What's making the US$ index go up today?
                Jim 69 y/o

                "...Texans...the lowest form of white man there is." Robert Duvall, as Al Sieber, in "Geronimo." (see "Location" for examples.)

                Dedicated to the idea that all people deserve a chance for a healthy productive life. B&M Gates Fdn.

                Good judgement comes from experience; experience comes from bad judgement. Unknown.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

                  Originally posted by Jim Nickerson View Post
                  I wrote a note Saturday afternoon here that I inadvertently deleted that my exiting my short index positions had in effect removed the "crash protection" factor from the markets. I also said certainly that was not the case, but it is just how all of us feel from time to time when we make decisions.
                  if we're going to confess errors here, last week i bought calls on gdx

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

                    The stock markets are definitely not decoupled.


                    Originally posted by jk View Post
                    anyone still believe in "decoupling"?

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

                      The Markets will be the last to see or respond to DE-Coupling, i say it will take 6 monthes AFTER the crash, then the glimmer of light will show.

                      Bit By Bit India/Russia/China start to lead the way, US is FINISH, Britian will have to be resuced by the Euro (Germans).

                      Mike

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

                        This evening, on both BBC TV and Channel 4 TV news there are reports of an insurance company in deep trouble. Something to do with insuring the CDO's and losing 80% of the share value over the last few days.

                        I need hardly tell you all that the markets have started to collapse today all over the world.

                        monoline insurance disaster

                        http://www.businessspectator.com.au/...N?OpenDocument

                        Insurance disaster could cost billions

                        " The disaster threatening to engulf the financial system is that the cost of the defaults on these insured bonds could overwhelm the insurers, exhaust their capital and force them to default. We are not there yet - at least among the big boys - but it is a high enough probability for rating agencies to warn they may have to cut the insurers' triple A rating in anticipation of such problems, and unless they get a lot of additional capital from somewhere very quickly.

                        This is serious because if the insurers' rating is cut, it will pull the rug out from under every bond that has passed through their hands. It will cut the rating of all the tens of thousands of bonds they have insured - those of respectable local authorities and municipalities will be downgraded along with the toxic credit derivatives. Low-rated bonds have a lower face value and require a higher rate of interest. A rate cut on such a huge scale would trigger hundreds of billions of losses across the entire financial system. No pension, insurance policy or money fund would escape unscathed. "

                        http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/news/co...in_author_id=4

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

                          Originally posted by Jim Nickerson View Post
                          What's making the US$ index go up today?
                          fear.
                          1. deleveraging and unwinding yen carry trades causes the yen to rise against the dollar and the dollar to rise against everything else,
                          2. repatriation of u.s money sent overseas
                          3. "flight to safety" - this may be the last time in history this might be said of movement towards the u.s. dollar.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Monday, January 21, 2008. Market Update.

                            Originally posted by jk View Post
                            fear.
                            1. deleveraging and unwinding yen carry trades causes the yen to rise against the dollar and the dollar to rise against everything else,
                            2. repatriation of u.s money sent overseas
                            3. "flight to safety" - this may be the last time in history this might be said of movement towards the u.s. dollar.
                            I don't know enough to argue with what you wrote, jk, but the data, if they are correct, that I looked at today showed a further decline (strength) in the Yen. Friday it closed I believe at 106.58, it closed today at 105.99, and as I write is 105.72.

                            So, I can't understand your 1., but 2. and 3. seem good to me.

                            Edit: I guess I do understand 1. For the Yen to RISE against the dollar, means the number of Yen to buy a dollar decreases.
                            Last edited by Jim Nickerson; January 21, 2008, 06:07 PM.
                            Jim 69 y/o

                            "...Texans...the lowest form of white man there is." Robert Duvall, as Al Sieber, in "Geronimo." (see "Location" for examples.)

                            Dedicated to the idea that all people deserve a chance for a healthy productive life. B&M Gates Fdn.

                            Good judgement comes from experience; experience comes from bad judgement. Unknown.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Dow Jones futures down 400 points

                              S&P 500 futures were down 52 points, far below fair value, a mathematical formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract.

                              Dow Jones industrial average futures dropped 403 points, and Nasdaq 100 futures slid 63.75 points.


                              US index futures turn sharply lower

                              Comment

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