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FED 2020 Bazooka

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  • FED 2020 Bazooka

    Jerome Powell Statement
    15 March 2020
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fFmlVphKNpw

    in the past week several important financial markets, including the market for US Treasury Securities, have a times shown signs of stress and impaired liquidity. The market for Treasury Securities is a critical part of the foundation of the global financial system. It is generally the most liquid of all markets and serves as the benchmark by which many other financial assets are valued. It plays an important role in allowing households and firms to earn a safe return and manage their risks. When the stresses arise in the Treasury market that can reverberate through the entire financial system and the economy. To prevent this from happening and to support the smooth functioning of the Treasury market we announced today we will purchase at least 500 billion of the Treasury securities over the coming months.
    Similar stresses have also emerged in the market for agency mortgage-backed securities, which is closely linked to the Treasury market and critically supports the ability of people to get a mortgage to buy a house or refinancing existing mortgage. To improve the functioning of this market and to ensure the effective transmission of monetary policy to borrowers in the economy we will also purchase at least 200 billion dollars of agencies mortgage-backed securities over coming months and immediately cease the runoff of these securities in our portfolio. While the primary purpose of these securities purchases is to restore smooth market functioning so its credit can continue to flow, the purchases will also foster more accommodative financial conditions.
    The Federal Reserve announced a number of other actions today to support the flow of credit to household and businesses thereby promoting our maximum employment and price stability goals. Of these, I will highlight two. First, we reduced the interest rate on discount window loans by 1.5 percentage points bringing that rate a quarter of a percent. The discount window plays an important role in supporting liquidity and stability in the banking system and we encourage banks to turn to the discount window to help meet demands for credit from households and businesses. To makes the discount window more effective, we will also offer discount window loans for periods up to 90 days.

    Because of the importance of the US Dollar in the global economy, strains in markets for borrowing and lending dollars overseas can disrupt financial conditions here in the United States. To guard against such disruptions the Federal Reserve maintains swap lines with five major central banks. When dollar funding pressures emerge abroad so central banks can contain the pressures in their jurisdictions and prevent them from impeding the flow of credit here at home to address potential pressures in these markets during the current period of elevated uncertainty we made a coordinated announcement with the bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, and the Swiss National Bank to reduce the pricing on our dollar swap lines. In addition, our central bank counterparts will begin offering dollars to institutions in their jurisdictions for a term of 84 days in addition to the usual one-week operation. These long-standing arrangements carry no risk to the Federal Reserve or to the American Taxpayer.
    I won’t go into details on the other actions we took today, but they involved eliminating reserve requirements for banks and encouraging banks to make use of intraday credit with the Federal Reserve and to use their capital and liquidity buffers as they support lending to households and businesses. The actions we have announced today will help American families and businesses and indeed our entire economy, weather this difficult period and will foster a more vigorous return to normal once the disruptions from the coronavirus abate.
    We will continue to closely monitor economic and financial developments and their implications for the economic outlook. We are prepared to use our full range of tools to support the flow of credit to households and businesses to help keep the economy strong and to promote our maximum employment and price stability goals.
    Finally, let me note that today’s FOMC meeting was in lieu of the meeting scheduled for next Tuesday and Wednesday.


    Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
    March 15, 2020
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/newse...y20200315a.htm

    The coronavirus outbreak has harmed communities and disrupted economic activity in many countries, including the United States. Global financial conditions have also been significantly affected. Available economic data show that the U.S. economy came into this challenging period on a strong footing. Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January indicates that the labor market remained strong through February and economic activity rose at a moderate rate. Job gains have been solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Although household spending rose at a moderate pace, business fixed investment and exports remained weak. More recently, the energy sector has come under stress. On a 12‑month basis, overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy are running below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation have declined; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed.

    Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The effects of the coronavirus will weigh on economic activity in the near term and pose risks to the economic outlook. In light of these developments, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate to 0 to 1/4 percent. The Committee expects to maintain this target range until it is confident that the economy has weathered recent events and is on track to achieve its maximum employment and price stability goals. This action will help support economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation returning to the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective.

    The Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook, including information related to public health, as well as global developments and muted inflation pressures, and will use its tools and act as appropriate to support the economy. In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the stance of monetary policy, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its maximum employment objective and its symmetric 2 percent inflation objective. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments.

    The Federal Reserve is prepared to use its full range of tools to support the flow of credit to households and businesses and thereby promote its maximum employment and price stability goals. To support the smooth functioning of markets for Treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities that are central to the flow of credit to households and businesses, over coming months the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $500 billion and its holdings of agency mortgage-backed securities by at least $200 billion. The Committee will also reinvest all principal payments from the Federal Reserve's holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities. In addition, the Open Market Desk has recently expanded its overnight and term repurchase agreement operations. The Committee will continue to closely monitor market conditions and is prepared to adjust its plans as appropriate.

    Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; Richard H. Clarida; Patrick Harker; Robert S. Kaplan; Neel Kashkari; and Randal K. Quarles. Voting against this action was Loretta J. Mester, who was fully supportive of all of the actions taken to promote the smooth functioning of markets and the flow of credit to households and businesses but preferred to reduce the target range for the federal funds rate to 1/2 to 3/4 percent at this meeting.

    In a related set of actions to support the credit needs of households and businesses, the Federal Reserve announced measures related to the discount window, intraday credit, bank capital and liquidity buffers, reserve requirements, and—in coordination with other central banks—the U.S. dollar liquidity swap line arrangements. More information can be found on the Federal Reserve Board's website.

  • #2
    Re: FED 2020 Bazooka

    Phase II: Establishment of a Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF)
    March 17, 2020
    Fed Announcement: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newse...y20200317a.htm
    PDF: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newse...20200317a1.pdf

    The FED will establish a Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF) to support the flow of credit to households and businesses. Commercial paper markets directly finance a wide range of economic activity, supplying credit and funding for auto loans and mortgages as well as liquidity to meet the operational needs of a range of companies. By ensuring the smooth functioning of this market, particularly in times of strain, the Federal Reserve is providing credit that will support families, businesses, and jobs across the economy. The CPFF will provide a liquidity backstop to U.S. issuers of commercial paper through a special purpose vehicle (SPV) that will purchase unsecured and asset-backed commercial paper rated A1/P1 (as of March 17, 2020) directly from eligible companies.

    The CPFF program is established by the Federal Reserve under the authority of Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act, with approval of the Treasury Secretary.
    The commercial paper market has been under considerable strain in recent days as businesses and households face greater uncertainty in light of the coronavirus outbreak. By eliminating much of the risk that eligible issuers will not be able to repay investors by rolling over their maturing commercial paper obligations, this facility should encourage investors to once again engage in term lending in the commercial paper market. An improved commercial paper market will enhance the ability of businesses to maintain employment and investment as the nation deals with the coronavirus outbreak.

    The Treasury will provide $10 billion of credit protection to the Federal Reserve in connection with the CPFF from the Treasury's Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF). The Federal Reserve will then provide financing to the SPV under the CPFF. Its loans will be secured by all of the assets of the SPV.

    Assets of the SPV
    The SPV will purchase from eligible issuers three-month U.S. dollar-denominated commercial paper through the New York Fed’s primary dealers. Eligible issuers are U.S. issuers of commercial paper, including U.S. issuers with a foreign parent company.
    The SPV will only purchase U.S. dollar-denominated commercial paper (including asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP)) that is rated at least A-1/P-1/F-1 by a major nationally recognized statistical rating organization (NRSRO) and, if rated by multiple major NRSROs, is rated at least A-1/P-1/F-1 by two or more major NRSROs, in each case subject to review by the Federal Reserve.
    In addition, the SPV will make one-time purchases of commercial paper (up to the amount outstanding on March 17, 2020) from issuers that met these criteria as of March 17, 2020 and were rated at least A-2/P-2/F-2 as of the purchase date. These purchases will be subject to separate pricing. The Federal Reserve reserves the right to review and make adjustments to the terms and conditions described in this term sheet, including pricing and eligibility requirements.

    Limits per issuer
    The maximum amount of a single issuer’s commercial paper the SPV may own at any time will be the greatest amount of U.S. dollar-denominated commercial paper the issuer had outstanding on any day between March 16, 2019 and March 16, 2020. The SPV will not purchase additional commercial paper from an issuer whose total commercial paper outstanding to all investors (including the SPV) equals or exceeds the issuer’s limit.

    Pricing
    Pricing will be based on the then-current 3-month overnight index swap (OIS) rate plus 200 basis points.
    At the time of its registration to use the CPFF, each issuer must pay a facility fee equal to 10 basis points of the maximum amount of its commercial paper the SPV may own.


    Bottom-line: potential falling angels (BBB) as well as all issuers of non-investment-grade commercial papers will not be supported by the FED.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: FED 2020 Bazooka

      Phase III: Establishment of a Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF)
      March 17, 2020
      Fed Announcement: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newse...y20200317b.htm
      PDF: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newse...20200317b1.pdf

      The Federal Reserve Board on Tuesday announced that it will establish a Primary Dealer Credit Facility, or PDCF. The facility will allow primary dealers to support smooth market functioning and facilitate the availability of credit to businesses and households.

      The PDCF will offer overnight and term funding with maturities up to 90 days and will be available on March 20, 2020. It will be in place for at least six months and may be extended as conditions warrant. Credit extended to primary dealers under this facility may be collateralized by a broad range of investment grade debt securities, including commercial paper and municipal bonds, and a broad range of equity securities. The interest rate charged will be the primary credit rate, or discount rate, at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

      More detailed terms and conditions and an operational calendar will be subsequently released. The PDCF is established under Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act, with approval of the Treasury Secretary.

      Eligible Collateral
      • Collateral eligible for pledge under the PDCF includes all collateral eligible for pledge in open market operations (OMO); 1 plus investment grade corporate debt securities, international agency securities, commercial paper, municipal securities, mortgage-backed securities, and asset-backed securities; 2 plus equity securities.3 Foreign currency-denominated securities are not eligible for pledge under the PDCF at this time.
      • Collateral that is not priced by the clearing bank will not be eligible for pledge under the PDCF.
      • Additional collateral may become eligible at a later date upon further analysis.
      Term
      • Loans will be made available to primary dealers for a term of up to 90 days.
      Rate
      • Loans made under the PDCF will be made at a rate equal to the primary credit rate in effect at the New York Fed offered to depository institutions via the Discount Window.
      Prepayment
      • Borrowers may prepay loans at any time.
      Custody Rules and Arrangement
      • Dealers will communicate their demand for funding to their clearing bank. The clearing bank will verify that a sufficient amount of eligible collateral has been pledged by each primary dealer participating in the PDCF and notify the New York Fed accordingly.
      • Once the New York Fed receives notice that a sufficient amount of margin-adjusted eligible collateral has been assigned to the New York Fed’s account, the New York Fed will transfer the amount of the loan to the clearing bank for credit to the primary dealer.
      Collateral Valuation
      • The pledged collateral will be valued by Bank of New York Mellon according to a schedule designed to be similar to the margin schedule for lending by the Discount Window, to the extent possible.
      Loan Size
      • Loans will be limited to the amount of margin-adjusted eligible collateral pledged by the dealer and assigned to the New York Fed’s account at the clearing bank.
      Recourse
      • Loans made under the PDCF are made with recourse beyond the pledged collateral to the primary dealer entity.
      Program Termination
      • The PDCF will remain available to primary dealers for at least six months, or longer if conditions warrant.

      1 An addition to OMO-eligible securities are Treasury strips.
      2 For the following securities types, only AAA-rated securities are accepted: commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). Other eligible securities as specified above are accepted if rated investment grade (such that BBB- securities and above). Specifically, investment grade commercial paper is accepted: commercial paper rated both A1/P1 and A2/P2.
      3 The following equities would not be eligible: exchange traded funds (ETFs), unit investment trusts, mutual funds, rights and warrants.

      Notes
      1- Potential falling angels (BBB) can benefit from this third program.
      2- The High Yield Commercial Papers will not be supported by this third phase. Maybe they will be acquired by the FED in the fourth or fifth phase; however, the FED will have to secure the required legal approvals from Congress before starting such a program.
      3- The Fed will profit from this third phase, because the rates at the PDCF Window are higher than the market. (200-122 = 78 bp)
      Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7jHgFxlUvdg

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: FED 2020 Bazooka

        Update on the Fed Balance Sheet in $Million

        2020-03-18: 4,668,212
        2020-03-11: 4,311,911
        2020-03-04: 4,241,507
        2020-02-26: 4,158,637
        2020-02-19: 4,171,570

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