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  • #46
    Re: The PIIGS still fly

    One man's nitpicking is another man's genocide...I suppose... I still insist it's odd to lump the whole together like that. It's as if WWII were just about one people beating on themselves or something. It really makes no sense.

    As for the Turks...maybe things would have gone the other way if men other than Churchill, Roosevelt, and Stalin were at the helm...who knows?

    But I still think words matter. I think they have meaning. And I think when we get all fuzzy with them, we lose track of clear thinking.

    See, you're lumping capitalism in with "free markets" and "Protestant ethics." Maybe there's some relation. But they can't all be the same concept. To me they are three different things.

    1. Capitalism is a specific thing in my mind. It refers to the post-feudal development of the idea of land, labor and money as commodities that began in the Netherlands (hence the namesake of this website), and spread to England. The process began roughly in the 15th century in the former and the 16th century in the latter. It grows in about a hundred-year process. It begins with closing off the commons and ending serfdom. Then land is capitalized. Then serfs end up landless and congregate in urban areas. From there you get wage labor. And at this point you begin to get the seeds of land and large labor-employing concerns as the bedrock of capital. The first stock exchanges usually pop up around this point. And legal protections for private property expand. Meanwhile taxpayer-funded social welfare and dedicated police forces arrive on the scene around the same time to mitigate the fallout from the process. A society in which this transformation has occurred--in which land, labor, and money are treated as legally-enforced commodities--is a capitalist society. You might have some other definition. But this one at least is rooted in the history of capitalism.

    2. Free Markets are another thing entirely. This is a much newer and much more complicated concept. The phrase itself comes to life in the 1920s as propaganda for business concerns. But soon Markets take on a life of their own and a very different conceptual meaning. By the 1940s, this idea is rooted in the ideas of physical equilibria and inspired by classical thermodynamics. Roughly the idea is that supply and demand of goods (and eventually services) will reach an optimum price equilibria if left alone, assuming all agents are rational maximizers and economic systems tend to a 'natural' equilibrium. So, it rests on the assumptions that individuals and businesses are utility maximizers and that supply would exactly meet demand for any given good or service with free trade if there was no interference. "Markets" generally refer to this abstract economic system which has a natural equilibrium (but cannot be seen or measured by any human means in physical reality), and "Free Markets" generally refers to situations in which outside agents (most likely governments) are prevented from interfering with that abstract economic system. This means you can have capitalism without free markets, and you can have free markets without capitalism. This was not a controversial idea until very recently. Market Socialism is an old idea, for example. In fact, there might be times (and I firmly believe there are) that free markets are bad for capitalism...

    3. The Protestant Work Ethic is an idea conjured up by Max Weber in the 1900s in The Protestant Work Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism. So it's a bit newer than Free Markets. But actually, it lays some of the framework, and maybe is where some of the confusion comes from. Weber basically says that the spirit of capitalism (see how we're getting religious and spooky already) favors the rational pursuit of material accumulation (this is almost, but not quite, the rational utility-maximizing agents in the free market model). Unlike the free market model, which assumes all individuals are maximizing utility all the time, Weber doesn't think everyone has this spirit. In fact, he thinks it's a very individual thing, and that it's not even confined to the West. BUT, where he does find it in large groups of men is within Protestant cultures. Especially Calvinists because of predestination wherein it's assumed God gives poverty to the sinners and riches to the pious here on Earth, because your fate is sealed and it is already known whether you are going to heaven or hell. Therefore, even if only to signal religious virtue, Calvinists would seek to accumulate material wealth more than other groups of people. That's literally the Protestant Work Ethic. That's what it means. Catholics meanwhile insist that people have free will and their choices on earth determine whether they go to heaven or hell, which means the poor and kind have better odds than the rich and mean. So Weber figures the Catholic Ethic leaves less incentive for individuals to maximize wealth. And so that's how Max Weber rationalizes why England is wealthier than Ireland and The Netherlands are wealthier than Spain, etc.

    So see what I mean? These are 3 different, if related, concepts. And by just blanket-labeling them the same thing, we're losing any sort of meaning here.

    So I don't understand--I mean I truly and honestly don't understand--what you mean when you say:

    The best way to understand the Protestant ethic, free markets, capitalism, or whatever you want to call it


    I think maybe you mean American culture or Anglo business culture or something like that? I really don't know.

    When you say:

    is to move abroad to an entirely different culture and speak the native language and make a living there.


    I am certain I have less experience than you. But I have done it, if only for a few months. I'm not monolingual. And while I believe that Greece is more corrupt than the US, I'm pretty sure the US is more corrupt than, say, Germany.

    And I'm not trying to rail against the US either. I'm really not. None of this was a screed against capitalism nor was it against America. In fact, if you've followed my posts over the years, you'd see I'm a pretty big America-booster.

    I'm trying to rail against magical and sloppy thinking. We cannot afford to just lay back comfortably numb, joint in hand, waving the smoke away saying, "Capitalism, free markets, whatever man, it's all the same thing, dude..."

    Because then people who worship free markets and blindly believe that this magical equilibrium exists always and everywhere even in cases where it is obviously failing to materialize and under conditions where it was never meant to work in the first place (monopoly, oligopoly, cartels, monopsony, etc) and with items and services that were never meant for material gain or to be private property in the first place (people, air, space, water, etc), end up really messing capitalism up badly while thinking they're rooting for it and doing it good.

    Comment


    • #47
      Re: The PIIGS still fly

      India will still lag China for a number of years, but China's one child policy along with an aging population will slow growth even more in the next decade while India's growth accelerates and passes China. China's inherent weaknesses will become more evident. You are already seeing more rapid on shoring to American manufacturing and rapid growth of new technologies will keep the U.S. as a major economic power.

      http://fortune.com/2016/05/19/china-india/

      Mississippi vs. Massachusetts? Come on DC that is a lousy comparison.

      Boston developed as a major Atlantic seaport starting in the 1600's. Mississippi didn't see any population until the early 1800's and was agricultural in nature. Then the civil war further destroyed their economy. The population of Mississippi was a bit over 10,000 in 1800; Massachusetts was 422,000.

      The real question is why did California economic surpass and far exceed that of Massachusetts despite the superior educational infrastructure of Massachusetts for two centuries before California growth exploded?

      Comment


      • #48
        Re: The PIIGS still fly

        You're the one who put forth the theory that China's incredible growth is made easier because they started further behind, not me. So shouldn't all of Mississippi's setbacks have been an advantage? Shouldn't it grow faster the more behind it gets? Isn't it easier to "catch up?" That is, after all, what you said about China.

        And don't give me the Civil War excuse. That was 150 years ago. Japan occupied and China just 70-some-odd years ago. Remember the rape of Nanking? Look at the city today...it's not a port either, just a town on a major river, just like most of Mississippi. Why can China do it but Mississippi can't? Is there maybe something at work other than "it's easier to catch up when you start from behind?"



        As for the California, Massachusetts bit, the easy answer is California never surpassed Massachusetts. At least not on a per-capita basis. It is a much bigger place, that's for sure. But I'm not talking about population flows. I don't care if China's economy is bigger than Bangladesh's because it's a bigger area with 10 times the people. I'm interested in levels of economic development--more GDP per capita than just comparing size.

        Anyways, I'm not too interested in getting distracted by all the examples.

        My point was simply that the idea that being backward makes economic growth easier--that it's easier to "catch up"--doesn't really make a lot of sense. Or at least it only applies to very select situations and not to all, which means it's not some ironclad rule and requires other variables and conditions to be set right in order to mean anything.

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        • #49
          Re: The PIIGS still fly

          Originally posted by dcarrigg View Post
          It's not worth your time to try to convert true believers in anything.
          And YOU tell me it's not worth my time to try to convert true believers ! Rhetorical statement I suppose dcarrigg... great posts...

          "free markets" is truly an Orwellian langage used to manufacture consent. When the "Market" is completely free no one else is : freedom ends where the freedom of others begins...

          "free markets" really means : big corporate dictatorship... but it is less appealing said like that !
          Last edited by chene; August 09, 2017, 02:05 AM.

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          • #50
            Re: The PIIGS still fly

            Your spot on, seems you have read "Sapiens a brief history of humankind" and maybe why Nations Fail?

            Comment


            • #51
              Re: The PIIGS still fly

              The American Financial Crisis was the free market saying too big to fail can not exist. That exotic investment instruments based on nonsustainable lending and an extractive and not productive banking system can not last. That's how a free market works. It rewards the sustainable and punishes the incompetent - over the long term with corrections, large and small, along the way. Theoretically speaking, Capitalism and Free Markets have a cold Darwinian element that kills off the weak, and the non-sustainable - whatever their size. I would say that in the US we have more socialism/non-free market for the corporatacracy and wealthy (tax treatment/subsidies/backstops/bailouts) than small businesses. A small business, such as a restaurant lives by the rules of capitalism more so than does a commercial bank.

              Thus, I believe Capitalism and Free Markets should be a guideline, and the devil is in the details as to how we regulate. That's where the discussion should be. The electorate is ultimately responsible, and more so than in many other countries, the tools are there for the US electorate to do something. We are remarkably transparent compared to most other countries. But, historically speaking, the system usually comes crashing down before real reform can take place. But one could also argue the world and its systems have gotten so complex that the average voter can't keep up.

              I think that with the advent of pure fiat money created ex nihilo, the game has gone on a little longer. We're in a new phase in human history when it comes to currency creation, a merely 46 year old experiment (closing of gold window). So far, the Central Banks of the world have coordinated quite well, albeit not addressing the underlying issues. Greenspan has lately questioned the bond market's stability.

              I have been visiting Greece for a few decades. I have seen government run enterprises in action. They were basically expensive job (voter) creation entities and patronage rewarding by the party in power - qualifications, merit, and free market economics be damned. Needless to say, these entities were poorly run and had bloated non sustainable budgets.

              I think we agree on many things. But your doubting free markets and Capitalism is a symptom of something else that is shared by many unfortunately. The wealthy understand that their disruption of market forces and socialization of losses is creating a new electorate. That's why I think luxury bunkers and escape routes to New Zealand have become popular among that crowd lately. They're not dumb, and the fact that they're buying such "insurance" makes me uneasy. It tells me that they know they can't get their damn hands out of the cookie jar and the end result is unavoidable.

              Comment


              • #52
                Re: The PIIGS still fly

                Originally posted by chene View Post
                And YOU tell me it's not worth my time to try to convert true believers ! Rhetorical statement I suppose dcarrigg... great posts...

                "free markets" is truly an Orwellian langage used to manufacture consent. When the "Market" is completely free no one else is : freedom ends where the freedom of others begins...

                "free markets" really means : big corporate dictatorship... but it is less appealing said like that !
                Touché. I always sucked at heeding my own advice...I guess they say doctors make the worst patients...yadda yadda yadda.

                Comment


                • #53
                  Re: The PIIGS still fly

                  DC, China did well for 20 years because of very low labor costs and a smaller economy. That's all past history. Now China's labor costs are high, their banking system has questions, and there is evidence of overbuilding with empty cities. China will continue to do well, growth will slow further and an aging population will cause future problems.

                  India has a younger population, and will increase growth as it develops it's middle class and builds infrastructure. India also needs to break the bureaucratic logjam that has held it back.

                  By the way I never said I was against government. I am for government that regulates reasonably with little red tape, and prosecutes wrongdoers; not ties up legitimate business with excessive bureaucracy.

                  As for Chene's idea that free markets cause corporate dictatorship, the opposite is true. Free competition replaces inefficient enterprises and creates more jobs. The problem is special interests buying government favor to keep competition out of their area. I have called a number of times on this forum for the end of all campaign contributions by corporations, unions, and other special interests. This is a government of the special interests. not of the people or the common good in some, not all areas. Government does good work in many areas, but we must get rid of crony capitalism and crony socialism.

                  Here are good books on understanding how free competition increases living standards:

                  https://www.amazon.com/Capitalism-So...ion+schumpeter

                  https://www.amazon.com/Can-Capitalis...0GZ0DXK09FAS6M
                  Last edited by vt; August 09, 2017, 12:05 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    Re: The PIIGS still fly

                    Believe it or not, I've read my Schumpeter, vt. Kind of pedestrian and lazy--like all Austrian writing. Nowhere near as influential, rigorous, and transformative as Samuelson for a book written in the same year (in fairness, Joeseph was something of a champion for and mentor of Paul if I remember right). Anyways, it's all a standard backlash against the New Deal because FDR wouldn't give Austria back to the Von Habsburgs and other nobility like Lord Von Hayek and Baron Von Mises after the war and instead gave Austria a republic and forced the royalty into exile. But required reading, nonetheless.

                    Originally posted by vt View Post
                    DC, China did well for 20 years because of very low labor costs and a smaller economy. That's all past history.
                    Anyways, you're making this assertion again. But you're still not explaining why other countries with even lower labor costs and even smaller economies didn't also do well...

                    In fact, according to your theory, shouldn't Niger or Chad or Somalia or Myanmar or some such place have done even better than China?
                    Last edited by dcarrigg; August 09, 2017, 02:41 PM.

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      Re: The PIIGS still fly

                      "free markets" is a political slogan that trades on our tendency to conflate the interests and rights of individuals and those of corporations. "free" sounds so good!

                      i think we should distinguish the realms of individuals, corporations, and social organizations including governments.

                      the "free market" in individual transactions includes ponzi schemes and other kinds of fraud - they are commercial arrangements freely entered into. legally it includes the sale of shoddy goods and services. it also includes individuals using corporate power for their individual benefit. this is what surprised greenspan: that corporate officers cared about their individual bonuses more than the well-being of the corporations they ran.

                      the "free market" includes corporations having "shareholder value" as their only goal, without consideration of e.g. externalities. if a company can make more money by dumping waste somewhere, should it not do so? the corporate "free market" also includes collusive arrangements, monopoly rents, union busting. the corporate "free market" suborns public officials and employees, and not necessarily in any illegal way - campaign contributions, lobbying, the revolving door and other species of regulatory capture are all quite effective and have a very high return on investment. and shouldn't the corporation make use of all those tools? to do otherwise is to commit treason against the corporation's shareholders.

                      the "free market" requires that all actors have perfect knowledge of all relevant information and act solely as utility maximizers. we know that both of those requirements are false, but "free market" sounds so good. and it makes economists' math so much easier.

                      in sum "free market" oversimplifies the economy, trading on the power of pretty words and the simplicity of its assertions, not to mention its material rewards, to seduce its supporters. it's not so simple.

                      isn't there some saying to the effect that for every problem there is a solution: simple, straightforward, and wrong?

                      as soon as you get down into the weeds of what is the proper amount of regulation and what exactly is regulated, which individual interactions should be criminalized, life gets very complex. a slogan isn't a solution.
                      Last edited by jk; August 09, 2017, 03:13 PM.

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                      • #56
                        Re: The PIIGS still fly

                        Congratulations dcarrig; a treasure of information.

                        Comment


                        • #57
                          Re: The PIIGS still fly

                          Originally posted by jk View Post
                          "free markets" is a political slogan that trades on our tendency to conflate the interests and rights of individuals and those of corporations. "free" sounds so good!

                          i think we should distinguish the realms of individuals, corporations, and social organizations including governments.

                          the "free market" in individual transactions includes ponzi schemes and other kinds of fraud - they are commercial arrangements freely entered into. legally it includes the sale of shoddy goods and services. it also includes individuals using corporate power for their individual benefit. this is what surprised greenspan: that corporate officers cared about their individual bonuses more than the well-being of the corporations they ran.

                          the "free market" includes corporations having "shareholder value" as their only goal, without consideration of e.g. externalities. if a company can make more money by dumping waste somewhere, should it not do so? the corporate "free market" also includes collusive arrangements, monopoly rents, union busting. the corporate "free market" suborns public officials and employees, and not necessarily in any illegal way - campaign contributions, lobbying, the revolving door and other species of regulatory capture are all quite effective and have a very high return on investment. and shouldn't the corporation make use of all those tools? to do otherwise is to commit treason against the corporation's shareholders.

                          the "free market" requires that all actors have perfect knowledge of all relevant information and act solely as utility maximizers. we know that both of those requirements are false, but "free market" sounds so good. and it makes economists' math so much easier.

                          in sum "free market" oversimplifies the economy, trading on the power of pretty words and the simplicity of its assertions, not to mention its material rewards, to seduce its supporters. it's not so simple.

                          isn't there some saying to the effect that for every problem there is a solution: simple, straightforward, and wrong?

                          as soon as you get down into the weeds of what is the proper amount of regulation and what exactly is regulated, which individual interactions should be criminalized, life gets very complex. a slogan isn't a solution.

                          Aye.

                          And it comes out in all kinds of places.

                          Take the minimum wage.

                          Market theory says an increase should result in disemployment.

                          Except when measured in the real world, over 2,000 times in different states/countries/towns/cities, the disemployment effects of real minimum wage increases were at or near zero.

                          Most, but not all, modern economists now accept this. But what do they do about it? They ask why the real world doesn't conform to their imaginary market model.

                          Of course, I ask, "Why should it?"

                          But the Market project is now a religion.

                          Long ago it changed from Markets being a conceptual/mathematical tool for modeling certain situations in reality into a religious/cultural/political project to mold reality to be more like the mathematical market model. The problem, as I've been trying to explain, is that other institutions that form the bedrock of capitalism get eroded in this process.

                          Free market mania is fundamentally radical, even if it is labeled conservative. It atomizes and individualizes everything. It destroys relationships and kin bonds--right down to the nuclear family. In fact, it has gone so far that we have renamed friendship "social capital" and tried to quantify it. But be that as it may, even when you do so you find it diminishing everywhere.

                          The project of the conversion of Homo Sapiens to Homo Marketus is a weakening of all non-market institutions. From state to family to church to civic associations to military, all of it must wane in the face of Market. Ares and Apollo and Athena cannot be left free to challenge Mammon. The result is that the children of Market end up scattered, polarized, angry, powerless, paralyzed lot of individuals without much of a social support network, formal or informal, living in an environment of increasing and accelerating material inequality with a continued erosion of democratic rights at the bottom and rule of law at the top. They pine for the 'good old days,' but can't see that to a large extent their God Market destroyed them and will never let them come back.

                          The project of forcing human beings to act as individual material-maximizing rational actors dutifully commoditizing everything and quantifying and recording even the most petty and worthless transaction marches forward.

                          Comment


                          • #58
                            Re: The PIIGS still fly

                            Real Markets that foster competition are destructive. Even the Robber Barons of the Guilded age knew this. The banker John Pierpont Morgan even ascribed to this view.

                            So what else could it be? How can some companies keep growing and wealth accumulate in the hands of the few?

                            The answer: Central Banking in partnership with Commercial Banks - that's where the action is.

                            Ironically, you, dcarrigg and many wealthy people agree on something.

                            As I said before, the AFC arose from free market forces. It was a natural phenomenon of Capitalism - to destroy the nonsustainable. However, the crisis was handled with very non-free-market methods.

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Re: The PIIGS still fly

                              The only problem with your theory is that the idea of Markets didn't exist yet as such. Especially not the idea of "free markets." Income tax hadn't been enacted yet. The primary source of national income was still gathered at the customs house through tariffs on foreign goods. You're still conflating capitalism and markets, particularly "free market forces," whatever spooky religious nonsense they might be. Capitalism came long, long before "free markets" and "free trade."

                              I suppose, as chene pointed out, I should heed my own advice and just stop. Still, I wonder how long it will be before a young virgin gives birth by a manger and cites "free market forces" rather than "the holy ghost" as the father...waiting for three wise men to show up and drop some Gold, Similac, and a Blue Cross card...

                              I seem to remember some old story about "forces" destroying the unsustainable...

                              I just can't remember...

                              Was it this one?



                              Or this one?



                              Or maybe this one?



                              Is that a whisper in the distance? Did you feel a tremor? Uh oh...here they come. I can sense them. The market forces are around us...



                              Nope. False alarm. That was just the marketing forces. Sorry about that...
                              Last edited by dcarrigg; August 10, 2017, 09:55 AM.

                              Comment


                              • #60
                                Re: The PIIGS still fly

                                Really? Supply and demand forces (Free Market) are a recent phenomena? Or are they a fiction?

                                I'm pretty sure that during Neolithic times there was an instance where two cavemen exchanged between themselves an obsidian arrowhead for a chunk of mammoth meat without government price controls. How did they deem the exchange a fair one? I'm sure the then current supply of Mammoth meat and obsidian played a role.

                                I think I understand your point. But I don't need to know when the phrase "free market" was coined and by whom to understand that supply and demand existed long before the intelligentsia wanted to make it more complicated than it is.

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