So itulip officially dead?

[Adeptus]

It seems to me, all that's going on here is Mega talking to himself.
EJ, any chance you will revive this forum in the coming years?

[Mega]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

Why you cheeky.................i bring contant, thought........the thrust & parry of meaningful discussion

[gwynedd1]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

Mega is just a webbot algorithm and I usually think I'm George Washington, but I am having a particularly lucid day today.

[jk]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

there's occasionally a thread on the select side. also there are some ongoing, albeit desultory, investment discussions in finster's sub-forum. a virzoom update now and then. an update on the canadian housing bubble.

i think we are in a state of suspended animation, much like the u.s. economy, puttering along without much dynamism, awaiting the next recession. i suspect there will be a lot to talk about then.

[stetts]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

Sadly, it is to me. Cancelled my Select a couple days ago.
Mega, I do enjoy your postings. Thank you for your thoughts all these years.
Stetts

[Mega]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

I FOUND EJ on his day off

[Mega]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

Thetrouble is the "Game" is now under total banker control, its worst then CCCP with Gos-bank...........there are no free markets, no price discovery.......untill we return to something like that (am guessing 2021).....there simply not much to do...........
Mike

[touchring]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

there's occasionally a thread on the select side. also there are some ongoing, albeit desultory, investment discussions in finster's sub-forum. a virzoom update now and then. an update on the canadian housing bubble.

i think we are in a state of suspended animation, much like the u.s. economy, puttering along without much dynamism, awaiting the next recession. i suspect there will be a lot to talk about then.

To add, the next black swan. But with terrorist attacks killing hundreds and wars all over the Middle and the 2011 Japanese Tsunami not causing even a dent, it will take a really big incident to trigger a recession.

[Adeptus]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

To add, the next black swan. But with terrorist attacks killing hundreds and wars all over the Middle and the 2011 Japanese Tsunami not causing even a dent, it will take a really big incident to trigger a recession.

Jim Rickards thesis from about 6 months ago is basically that he believes that the Fed knows we're overdue for a recession, so they are starting to increase interest rates so that when it does happen they have something to cut; however, Rickards believes that the Fed, as a result of doing this (raise interest rates) will itself cause the recession. That said, there's rumours that Yellen may be replaced by some new guy, so not sure how that will affect things. I'm a bit out of the loop now as my focus has been crypto currencies.

[photon555]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

There's a lot of broken windows in Houston, so the recession may be postponed until next year. I don't know if that's sarc or not, which is really sad.

[EJ]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

there's occasionally a thread on the select side. also there are some ongoing, albeit desultory, investment discussions in finster's sub-forum. a virzoom update now and then. an update on the canadian housing bubble.

i think we are in a state of suspended animation, much like the u.s. economy, puttering along without much dynamism, awaiting the next recession. i suspect there will be a lot to talk about then.

Spot on, JK! As Yellen informed me in 2012 this ain't going to be your vanilla recovery. Return to "policy based central banking" means an output gap-based economy granularly managed with AI and fintech.

Waiting for the next big crash? Think: Mini-crashes managed autonomously, sans human intervention, that come and go so fast you don't even see them.

Could go on a rather long time.

Yes, I do have a theory of the failure mode of this new system.

And once my team and I are done creating a new fitness industry based on Virtual Reality exercise I'll be back to iTulip with a makeover that will be as big as, well, creating a new fitness industry based on Virtual Reality.

If you're in San Francisco Sept. 12 - 14 come see us a Mobile World Congress where Samsung will along with Life Fitness feature VirZOOM. And if you happen to be in Hangzhou, China Oct. 18 - 19 stop by the Ultra-Broadband Forum, an event hosted and organized by Huawei and co-organized by UN Broadband Commission. VirZOOM and Huawei will jointly demonstrate vSports and vSports business models to 300+ pan-Asian mobile operators including those based in China.

Otherwise set your google alerts to VirZOOM to stay tuned for developments.

[vt]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

Thanks EJ,

You said it best 19 months ago:

"Why the long silence?

My views remain unchanged since early 2013.

No reason to test your patience by repeating myself.

Why am I not concerned about the asset market correction since Yellen's predictable politically motivated .25% rate hike?

I can sum it up this way:

Fake markets. Fake crash.

I'll let you know when I think a real crash is coming as I did in 2000 and 2007."

[EJ]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

Thanks EJ,

You said it best 19 months ago:

"Why the long silence?

My views remain unchanged since early 2013.

No reason to test your patience by repeating myself.

Why am I not concerned about the asset market correction since Yellen's predictable politically motivated .25% rate hike?

I can sum it up this way:

Fake markets. Fake crash.

I'll let you know when I think a real crash is coming as I did in 2000 and 2007."

Correct. But this period is unlike the previous two asset price inflation cycles. Central banks are applying technology in ways that were not even part of the conversation about an interventionist versus hands-off Fed back in 1998 when iTulip.com started.

Oh, how quaint that sounds today.

Not only do central banks employ AI and other technologies in ways that were unimaginable 20 years ago but the level of cooperation among central banks is also historic.

Two main assertions are the basis of the new iTulip:

1) The concept of a market rate of interest is out the window
2) The economy is micro-managed via channels of credit and liquidity

I'll be back in good time. Traveling the world in this business one meets interesting people with key insights. This has always been the essence of iTulip.

There is a time for information collection and in parallel ideation, followed by the forecast that will arise more or less organically from that.

[vt]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

Thank you!

And the very best for great success with Virzoom

[shiny!]

Re: So itulip officially dead?

Thank you for chiming in, EJ. Miss you around here.