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  • Its ON BABY !

    IMF to make Chinese yuan reserve currency in historic move

    Renminbi will join basket of elite currencies including dollar, pound, euro and yen




    The yuan will be included with the pound, dollar, euro and yen Photo: AFP









    By James Titcomb

    4:30PM GMT 29 Nov 2015
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    2 Comments


    The International Monetary Fund is to give the yuan a historic vote of confidence on Monday when it includes the Chinese currency in its elite club of major currencies.


    The yuan, also known as the renminbi, is widely expected to be added to the IMF’s group of international reserve currencies after an IMF meeting held by its managing director Christine Lagarde.

    It comes after lengthy efforts by Chinese officials to legitimise the yuan, which critics say has been kept artificially cheap to artificially boost exports in the world’s second-largest economy.


    China has lobbied hard for the currency to be included in the list, which at present is made up of just the dollar, the euro, the pound and the Japanese yen. The list has not been altered since 2000, when the euro replace the franc and deutschmark.


    While being a part of the club carries no particular conditions, and is largely symbolic, the yuan will contribute to the value of the special drawing right – a weighted average of the currencies – which the IMF uses to price its emergency loans.

    Christine Lagarde, managing director of the IMF Photo: AP

    More significant is the diplomatic legitimacy that inclusion will grant the yuan, whose value is carefully managed by Chinese authorities. Officials devalued it over the summer in a shock move to respond to slowing growth, but it is still seen as tightly controlled with the country’s central bank lacking transparency.

    Being included in the IMF basket will draw additional scrutiny and see officials encouraged to open up the currency at the same time that China faces economic slowdown, which could put the brakes on reform.

    Although the decision is expected to be announced today, the yuan will not officially become a reserve currency until September 2016.

  • #2
    Re: Its ON BABY !

    Beijing needs to be careful what it wishes for.

    In the same way as entry to the WTO brought some unwanted outcomes related to the People's Government ability to control the trade economy, adding the yuan to the SDR means Beijing is going to have to allow a widening of international holdings of their currency.

    At this time Beijing probably thinks it can manage this because it will be exclusively Central Banks wishing to hold some of their national reserves in yuan denominated financial instruments (likely short term China sovereign notes). But it won't stop there, and it will be interesting to see how Beijing and PBOC deal with increasing international pressure to open up their financial system and put the yuan on par with the other SDR currencies in every other respect.

    Edit added: And after a potential short term pop in the yuan due to initial demand on inclusion in the SDR, I remain convinced they have to allow the yuan to fall.

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    • #3
      Re: Its ON BABY !

      I do hope they don't get trapped like Japan did at the Plaza accords

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      • #4
        Re: Its ON BABY !

        Originally posted by Mega View Post
        I do hope they don't get trapped like Japan did at the Plaza accords
        China needs (and wants) a lower yuan exchange rate to try to help its export sectors. If they wait any longer, and the currency is falling, it will be difficult to be accepted into the IMF SDR basket. I have to wonder if the timing of this by the IMF is anticipating the need for external support by other Central Banks for the yuan as it enters a period of depreciation against the US$?

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        • #5
          Re: Its ON BABY !

          Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
          ...it will be difficult to be accepted into the IMF SDR basket. I have to wonder if the timing of this by the IMF is anticipating the need for external support by other Central Banks for the yuan as it enters a period of depreciation against the US$?
          Well now it's official.
          The IMF put the Renminbi in the SDR basket.

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          • #6
            Re: Its ON BABY !

            Originally posted by thriftyandboringinohio View Post
            Well now it's official.
            The IMF put the Renminbi in the SDR basket.


            And the US$ naysayers may have it wrong. Again.

            The euro’s worst year in a decade is looking even grimmer after the Chinese yuan’s inclusion in the International Monetary Fund’s basket of reserve currencies.

            The 19-nation currency’s weighting in the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights basket will drop to 30.93 percent, from 37.4 percent, the organization said Monday. The yuan will join the dollar, euro, pound and yen in the SDR allocation from Oct. 1, 2016, at a 10.92 percent weighting.

            The euro has tumbled 13 percent against the dollar this year, the most in a decade, and central banks have reduced the proportion of the currency in their reserves to the lowest since 2002. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi signaled on Oct. 22 that policy makers are open to boosting stimulus, after embarking on a 1.1 trillion-euro ($1.2 trillion) asset-purchase program in March.

            “The euro will get the most impact from this weight adjustment,” said Douglas Borthwick, head of foreign exchange at New York-based brokerage Chapdelaine & Co. “The IMF is taking from euro to give to China; the other rebalancing amounts are largely negligible.”...

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