iTulip is dead

[zenith191]

What is going on here? No new articles from EJ since he got it all wrong for 2014.

[ProdigyofZen]

Re: iTulip is dead

What is going on here? No new articles from EJ since he got it all wrong for 2014.

The rumors of my demise are greatly exaggerated.

[vt]

Re: iTulip is dead

He did not get it "all wrong for 2014"

You have to read the entire article very carefully.

Yes a possible top, but no time to short.

You also need to read all his comments to questions in the article. The call for interest rates to decline while everyone else was calling for a rise is an excellent call.

The long treasury bond did almost twice as well as the S&P 500 in 2014. Excellent returns came to those who acted on this one call.

While EJ held out the possibility of a top in early 2014, he also introduced the possibility of the S&P 500 going as high as 2,600 and the potential for forestalling a recession until 2018.

The key is to read and reread carefully all of what is said; plus to pay close attention to future comments EJ makes from time to time. Also pay attention to key members with expertise in other key areas.

[radon]

Re: iTulip is dead

The rumors of my demise are greatly exaggerated.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=grbSQ6O6kbs

[Chris Coles]

Re: iTulip is dead

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=grbSQ6O6kbs

and at the end, EJ "rides" by with a broad smile on his face.

[Mega]

Re: iTulip is dead

I think its VERY unfair of people to attack EJ.
The CB's are running the markets, prices are FIXED............so what can he talk about?
As for getting it WRONG, well up to the end of the FREE markets he was spot on.............its a bit like guessing the out come of a Footbal game only to have the REf stop the game half way though & re-write the rules...

Mike

[Mega]

Re: iTulip is dead

It is also a rather diffcult subject to get right............

[Southernguy]

Re: iTulip is dead

Central bank's and guvs. distortion of asset prices is nothing new. Just remember as an extraordinary example Paul Volckers worldwide turmoil when he took Fed's rates to 15% (or so).
On the same vein today's VW's diesel cars affair is another example of regulatory office fixing an asset class.
Maybe today the matter of FED's and other CB's global intervention is more extended.
Assets prices forecasting has always been extremely difficult. For easily understood reasons it coudn't be otherwise.

[LazyBoy]

Re: iTulip is dead

I think its VERY unfair of people to attack EJ.
The CB's are running the markets, prices are FIXED............so what can he talk about?

All correct, but the iTulip pricing is the same. I have to say when I was faced with re-upping, it seemed expensive given the lack of output from EJ.

Personally, I did just re-up for 2 years because I'm hopeful that there will be things to talk about and I'd hate to miss them. Also, I'm happily invested in VirZOOM and one of the Easthams. But it would be hard for me to encourage a friend to subscribe given the current pricing vs content.