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The case for Global Cooling by David Archibald

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  • The case for Global Cooling by David Archibald

    This is where the US CiA analysts go for a MASTERs course.

    Time to consider the other side of global warming. Of course the global warming community consider David Archibald a complete nutter and suggest that he reliance on the SUN influence earth climate is over rated. Yeah Right, mate!

    From Amazon.

    Baby boomers enjoyed the most benign period in human history: fifty years of relative peace, cheap energy, plentiful grain supply, and a warming climate due to the highest solar activity for 8,000 years. The party is over—prepare for the twilight of abundance.

    David Archibald reveals the grim future the world faces on its current trajectory: massive fuel shortages, the bloodiest warfare in human history, a global starvation crisis, and a rapidly cooling planet. Archibald combines pioneering science with keen economic knowledge to predict the global disasters that could destroy civilization as we know it—disasters that are waiting just around the corner.

    But there’s good news, too: We can have a good future if we prepare for it. Advanced, civilized countries can have a permanently high standard of living if they choose to invest in the technologies that will get them there. Archibald, a climate scientist as well as an inventor and a financial specialist, explains which scientific breakthroughs can save civilization in the coming crisis—if we can cut through the special interest opposition to these innovations and allow free markets to flourish.


    Some points:
    - It is cooling and not a new ICE AGE
    - Where ever you live, a cooling like the 1970s would the climate 300 miles north of you moving down to you, a cooling like the early 1900s would be the climate 600 miles north of you moving down to you.
    - Study the history of wine. Wine vintages depends upon the cold. Some will be crushed!
    - Glaciers will expand with ease.
    - CO2 is good thing, needed for plant growth during a cooling period.
    - Crops, food and grain patterns will change. Shortages will occur.
    - Oil and mineral exploration will be come harder in the colder zones.
    - Heating and the use of energy will create shortages.
    - People move to warmer zones, populations will shift, property prices will change.
    - Shortages of energy and food create crisis that may end in conflict, always has!
    - ONCE THE COOLING cycle is over, another warming cycle will begin post 2030.

    This link takes you to a PDF of charts and full explanation of this work. Great with the video as charts are not shown in each presentation.

    This link suggest the best investment for the next 10 to 20 years is CTL or COAL to LIQUID energy. This means coal is a good thing.

    The coal ETF is KOL. Could this be the best investment for the next 10 years?




    and


  • #2
    Re: The case for Global Cooling by David Archibald

    wow, I'm sure that must get the hackles up of the global warming crowd.

    The one thing about his argument I like the most, is that the time line is shorter so it'll be proven true or not relatively soon.

    As for coal, yup I agree that it'll be a good investment as well. Although not for a while yet. With 'Saudi America' still on everyone's lips and the Anti-carbon crowd in control of politics, it'll take some time before people will return to coal. But I don't see that happening till at least 10 years. We have to get a serious change in Natural Gas prices before Coal plants will get fired up again.

    As for global warming or cooling, it's actually irrelevant. Worrying about such things as caribou in ANWR is a luxury of a time of abundance. Once people's standard of living start to decline because of expensive energy (shortage, demand surge, inflation, or whatever) they will resort to coal. Environment or global warming be damned.

    Once the sacrifices start to hurt, they'll stop being made. Period.

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    • #3
      Re: The case for Global Cooling by David Archibald

      This is not a comment on global cooling or global warming, this is a comment about CO2 and photosynthesis, re: page 89 in the first pdf listed in the original post.

      In my limited hobbyist experience working (and I'm not alone on this) with C3 plants, there is no benefit from higher concentrations of CO2 without higher temperatures as well.

      And that works both ways - without access to more CO2, plants that are growing in an unusually warm environment will suffer from a decreased rate of photosynthesis.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: The case for Global Cooling by David Archibald

        The data in his paper dates from 2009, and his predictions for the five years after that have proven to be rather inaccurate. I don't want to weigh in on whether it's human-caused or not, but global temperatures definitely rose during those five years according to the same data sources he used in the online paper. See here, for instance, or here.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: The case for Global Cooling by David Archibald

          .."The data in his paper dates from 2009, and his predictions for the five years after that have proven to be rather inaccurate."...

          Timing the SUN is a little hard...so give the error rate my be high, but you can be sure the next cycle will occur as sure as light follows day!

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