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Hudson: Escape from . . . the Dollar

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  • #16
    Re: Can BRICS Fly?

    Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
    They can't Escape from...the Dollar. And they know it.

    Hudson would be a more effective commentator if he hadn't become so mono-dimensionally dogmatic.

    All five BRICS, along with a host of other countries, want a greater say in many aspects of global governance. The mechanisms for global governance are the multilateral institutions, and in the case of global economic governance those include the World Bank and the IMF.

    Does anybody seriously think that is going to change just because the leaders of five openly corrupt, kleptocratic, oligarch-birthing nations get into a snit and take some of their toys off to find another playground? I'll believe the founders of the BRICS Bank are serious about "escaping the Dollar" when they resign from participation in the World Bank and IMF.

    ...PANITCH: So, I’m sorry, I don’t see the world in terms of competition amongst the capitalist classes of the world in the sense you’re speaking of. I think there is a very deep integration on the part of the leading capitalists in these countries, including the domestic ones, into globalization. I think that’s true of Vale in Brazil.

    JAY: That’s the world’s largest iron ore company.

    PANITCH: That’s the world’s largest iron ore company, which, sure, is competing with other iron ore companies. But it doesn’t see itself as aligned against the American bourgeoisie or the American capitalist class. This is not right.

    And moreover, I think that these capitalist classes very much want access to the deep financial markets of London and New York. They don’t want to leave them; they want to be part of them. They want access to them. Indeed, they’ve been floating bond us in those markets–dangerously, in terms of volatility. So I think–and it has to be said the reason they do so is that their financial markets, their bond markets, even the European bond market relative to the London/New York access, remain extremely weak, extremely vulnerable. So it’s also a matter of where the deep institutional strength of capitalism is.

    I would make one other point. I don’t think that finance, even Wall Street and London–the City of London finance is merely parasitic. I think it facilitates, it underwrites, it’s very important in terms of hedging for all of the integrated production that goes on between China and the United States, between South Africa and Europe. This plays a functional role for all these value chains. Of course there’s loads of speculation in this, but it means that industry is linked up with this speculation. These aren’t separated compartments. And you can’t unscramble them.

    HUDSON: I see that I’m emphasizing the geopolitical much more than you of nobody’s talking about Brazil and other countries not interacting with the London and New York money markets. What they don’t want to do is to have the U.S. government and U.S. banks act as a threat, a threat against their countries. And of course they’re trying to keep their–have other options apart from being tied into the U.S. as a system of control. They want to break free of U.S. control, basically, and European control is a satellite of the United States.

    PANITCH: Yeah. But since politics and economics aren’t so easily separated, their continuing interest and increased interest in being linked economically and financially means that the American state, given its superintending role of Wall Street and the City of London, will continue to have power vis-à-vis them. They would like to, as we’ve agreed, they’d like to have more room for maneuver in the face of that enormous power of the American Empire, but they are not interested in breaking from it.
    I think this persecutive has a flaw. If you look at how corrupt and kleptocratic they are then its more convincing. The problem is the US is becoming more like them. I am told by my sources from overseas that the US still has a lot of ethics and trust in comparison, but its not what it was.

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    • #17
      Re: Can BRICS Fly?

      Originally posted by gwynedd1 View Post
      I think this persecutive has a flaw. If you look at how corrupt and kleptocratic they are then its more convincing. The problem is the US is becoming more like them. I am told by my sources from overseas that the US still has a lot of ethics and trust in comparison, but its not what it was.
      Certainly. But money flows based on what is, in comparison to today's alternatives...not on what was.

      Comment


      • #18
        Floating BRICS...

        But, but...isn't India the "I" right in the middle? What on earth is it doing jilting The Dragon right on its doorstep?

        Maybe its trying to exchange those US$ for "hard assets" in the form of American armaments before it defects back over that wall of BRICS to participate in the denouement of the Dollar's demise...

        Jul 29, 2014 10:00 AM MT


        Japan’s Sasebo naval base this month saw unusual variety in vessel traffic that’s typically dominated by Japanese and U.S. warships. An Indian frigate and destroyer docked en route to joint exercises in the western Pacific.

        The INS Shivalik and INS Ranvijay’s appearance at the port near Nagasaki showed Japan’s interest in developing ties with the South Asian nation as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s government faces deepening tensions with China. Japan for the third time joined the U.S. and India in the annual “Malabar” drills that usually are held in the Bay of Bengal...

        ...Inviting Japan to join the annual U.S.-India naval drill fuels an already strained relationship between Japan and China whose ships and aircraft have been involved in a dispute over an East Asian island chain that has escalated in the past two years. Malabar started in 1992 and has been held annually since 2002. Japan first joined in 2007, when ships from Singapore and Australia also took part.

        This year, India sent three vessels to the maneuvers, which included drills to enhance anti-piracy and maritime patrol capabilities...

        ...(Indian Prime Minister) Modi is planning to visit Tokyo and will give a joint statement with Abe on Sept. 1, Kyodo News reported on July 27. A previous scheduled meeting between the two earlier this month in Japan was postponed because of preparations for India’s budget, Press Trust of India reported on July 23...

        Comment


        • #19
          Re: Floating BRICS...

          Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
          But, but...isn't India the "I" right in the middle? What on earth is it doing jilting The Dragon right on its doorstep?

          Maybe its trying to exchange those US$ for "hard assets" in the form of American armaments before it defects back over that wall of BRICS to participate in the denouement of the Dollar's demise...

          Jul 29, 2014 10:00 AM MT


          Japan’s Sasebo naval base this month saw unusual variety in vessel traffic that’s typically dominated by Japanese and U.S. warships. An Indian frigate and destroyer docked en route to joint exercises in the western Pacific.

          The INS Shivalik and INS Ranvijay’s appearance at the port near Nagasaki showed Japan’s interest in developing ties with the South Asian nation as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s government faces deepening tensions with China. Japan for the third time joined the U.S. and India in the annual “Malabar” drills that usually are held in the Bay of Bengal...

          ...Inviting Japan to join the annual U.S.-India naval drill fuels an already strained relationship between Japan and China whose ships and aircraft have been involved in a dispute over an East Asian island chain that has escalated in the past two years. Malabar started in 1992 and has been held annually since 2002. Japan first joined in 2007, when ships from Singapore and Australia also took part.

          This year, India sent three vessels to the maneuvers, which included drills to enhance anti-piracy and maritime patrol capabilities...

          ...(Indian Prime Minister) Modi is planning to visit Tokyo and will give a joint statement with Abe on Sept. 1, Kyodo News reported on July 27. A previous scheduled meeting between the two earlier this month in Japan was postponed because of preparations for India’s budget, Press Trust of India reported on July 23...

          India is also training the crews of Vietnam's flash new Russian subs

          Comment


          • #20
            Re: Floating BRICS...

            interesting excerpt from Mark Gilbert's piece on Bloomberg View today.

            http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-07-31/if-i-was-a-russian-company-i-d-avoid-dollars-too

            Last month, as European banks mulled the implications of the $9 billion fine U.S. authorities imposed on BNP Paribas for doing dollar business with nations it categorized as pariahs, HSBC Holdings chairman Douglas Flint advised members of the Institute of International Finance’s board to study a book, “Treasury’s War: The Unleashing of a New Era of Financial Warfare,” by Juan Zarate, a former U.S. deputy national security adviser.

            The tome, published in September, describes the playbook the U.S. used to wield its financial weaponry against rogue states, tracking and seizing assets through the global banking network. Among its revelations -- I'm about three-quarters of the way through its 577 electronic pages -- is an attempt by Russia in 2008 to persuade China to join forces with it and dump billions of dollars of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac debt into the market, which would have forced the U.S. to spend "massive sums to keep Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac alive," Zarate writes. China declined to participate; Zarate calls the episode "a glimpse into a new age of geo-economic competition."

            Last month, Zarate, who is now with the Center for Strategic & International Studies in Washington, acknowledged the risks of wielding the dollar in financial warfare:

            Have we reached a tipping point, and are we accelerating the de-Americanization of the financial system? Is this the moment the country may need to take a step back?

            The U.S. needs to be wary of what my colleague Leonid Bershidsky has dubbed "weaponizing the dollar." Who knows how many other Russian companies are pre-emptively starting to shun the U.S. currency -- just in case?





            here is the website for the book:
            http://www.publicaffairsbooks.com/book/hardcover/treasurys-war/9781610391153


            and don't forget EJ's analysis of the US, China and GSE debt from a few years back: http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...l-out-the-GSEs

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: Can BRICS Fly?

              Originally posted by sutro View Post
              Does the prospect of reserve currency shift change now that we are entering a new Cold War?
              Did the second world countries use Dollars back in the day to trade amonst themselves?

              What cold war? US vs the World?

              If you're referring to Ukraine, it's banksters vying with Russian oligarchies over Ukraine's natural resources.
              Since $$$ is the motive. I doubt a real all out war is what they want.

              Originally posted by sutro View Post
              How does China keep growing with the advent of 3-D printing?

              China is outgrowing manufacturing by the sheer size of the consumer and service economy which is growing at double digits every year.

              China is now the largest smart phone market at 430 million units to be sold in 2014. The US is already a very distant 2nd at 163 million units and $27 billion less in total sales.

              I don't know about the dollar supremacy, but while Obama is busy with revolutions in the Middle East and Ukraine, China is catching up fast and will outgrow the US economy in the matter of a couple of years.


              http://pando.com/2014/05/28/china-is...lem-for-apple/

              For the first time ever China will beat out the U.S. in mobile phone sales in 2014, according to a new report out by international research firm Strategy Analytics. It will both sell more units, at 430 million and bring in more revenue at $87 billion. Meanwhile the US is expected to sell 267 million less units and bring in $27 billion less in revenue.
              Last edited by touchring; August 05, 2014, 12:35 AM.

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              • #22
                Re: Floating BRICS...

                Originally posted by lakedaemonian View Post
                India is also training the crews of Vietnam's flash new Russian subs
                India's moves need to be seen in light of China's close co-operation in civilian and defence areas with India's neighbours, such as Pakistan and Sri Lanka.

                Comment


                • #23
                  Re: Can BRICS Fly?

                  Well, a new cold war could involve the US/Eurozone vs. China/Russia with India, Brazil, South Africa and other "non-aligned" countries playing the two major blocs off against each other to get the best deal.

                  China still has hundreds of millions stuck in rural poverty that arn't going to be able to migrate to the Cities to work in factories if those factory jobs get automated or re-located closer to the point of consumption.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Re: Can BRICS Fly?

                    Originally posted by sutro View Post
                    Well, a new cold war could involve the US/Eurozone vs. China/Russia with India, Brazil, South Africa and other "non-aligned" countries playing the two major blocs off against each other to get the best deal.China still has hundreds of millions stuck in rural poverty that arn't going to be able to migrate to the Cities to work in factories if those factory jobs get automated or re-located closer to the point of consumption.
                    China's main problem had always been abuse of power and corruption. The recent crackdown on Zhou by Xi is a game changer despite the corruption pretext for power struggle. It sends a message that everyone is accountable even after leaving office, regardless of the seniority of their previous post.

                    China is trying to develop a nationwide network of trains (high speed trains connecting cities and subways within cities) that runs on electricity.

                    Beijing to Guangzhou 2298km (1427 miles) in 8 hours. Most of it will be elevated on viaduct. A viaduct that runs for probably 1300+ miles. I'm no civil engineer but how much steel and concrete would such a structure use? It would also have to be sabotage proof by Xinjiang separatists, the entire 1400 miles of the track.

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Re: Can BRICS Fly?

                      Originally posted by touchring View Post
                      China's main problem had always been abuse of power and corruption. The recent crackdown on Zhou by Xi is a game changer despite the corruption pretext for power struggle. It sends a message that everyone is accountable even after leaving office, regardless of the seniority of their previous post.

                      China is trying to develop a nationwide network of trains (high speed trains connecting cities and subways within cities) that runs on electricity.

                      Beijing to Guangzhou 2298km (1427 miles) in 8 hours. Most of it will be elevated on viaduct. A viaduct that runs for probably 1300+ miles. I'm no civil engineer but how much steel and concrete would such a structure use? It would also have to be sabotage proof by Xinjiang separatists, the entire 1400 miles of the track.

                      Fast trains are swell and all but why are Chinese folks coming to America to have babbies? Don't they need dollars to do that?
                      http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/29/us...anted=all&_r=0

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: Can BRICS Fly?

                        Originally posted by sutro View Post
                        Fast trains are swell and all but why are Chinese folks coming to America to have babbies? Don't they need dollars to do that?
                        http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/29/us...anted=all&_r=0

                        The US is better than China in many aspects. China has huge problems, pollution, corruption, moral issues, an aging population and the biggest real estate bubble in history. But if you look at the China today vs the China in 2001, and the US today vs the US in 2001, China has definitely done much better. I'm extrapolating into the future based on this trend.

                        As for fast trains, they are fast to be picked up by the media, but there's a whole lot more work done in city subways and medium speed commuter trains.

                        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_r...ansit_in_China
                        Last edited by touchring; August 07, 2014, 05:08 AM.

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