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Santa Clause Rally-40% of Dow gain in 17 days

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  • Santa Clause Rally-40% of Dow gain in 17 days

    Article below by Eddie Elfenbein in SeekingAlpha site

    Santa Claus Rally: 40% of the Dow’s Yearly Gain in a 17-Day Stretch

    posted on: December 05, 2007
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    A few weeks ago, I ran the numbers of how well the stock market does for each day of the year. I looked at all of the Dow closings going back to the beginning of the index in 1896.
    The best time of the year is a 17-day stretch from December 21 to January 7. Over the last 111 years, the Dow has gained an average of 3.39% during that 17-day period.
    To put that in some perspective, the Dow’s annual gain is 8.32%. This means that more than 40% of the Dow’s yearly gain has come during this brief stretch which is less than 1/20 of the entire year.


    Eddy Elfenbein





  • #2
    Re: Santa Clause Rally-40% of Dow gain in 17 days

    I'd be willing to bet most of that comes in the first week of January when mutual fund managers have to buy stocks because they can't be sitting on cash. I saw that happen in the past 2 years for sure, huge rally the first two weeks of january.

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    • #3
      Re: Santa Clause Rally-40% of Dow gain in 17 days

      The Baltic Dry Index (an index of international freight rates) is signaling at least a short term peak coming up within 2-6 weeks...


      http://www.NowAndTheFuture.com

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