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  • Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

    Carlyle Group, a private-equity firm that has interests in everything from an oil refinery to a vitamin maker, is adding trailer parks to its portfolio. The Washington-based company has struck a deal to acquire two Florida communities for a total of $30.8 million. The sellers are two entities managed by Shamrock Holdings LLC, a Paradise Valley, Ariz., owner and operator of communities, said owner Patrick O'Malley. The deal is expected to close this month.

    Carlyle declined to comment. But analysts said the deal is evidence that big investors are betting that the demand for low-cost manufactured housing, the latest generation of trailers or mobile homes, will rise as other housing alternatives become too expensive for a number of Americans, especially senior citizens.

    Landlords like the steady income stream—tenants tend to stay put, especially retirees—and the low maintenance costs. Also, the communities are easy to run and typically stay full and see rents increase during market downturns.

    Carlyle's presence will "create awareness of the industry…and help legitimize this space as worthy of investment," said Frank Rolfe, vice president of MHP Funds, a private owner of about 9,000 individual lots in 82 communities nationwide. "The industry struggles for respect. It always has."

    According to brokers, investors are particularly interested in communities geared toward retirees who are more likely to have steady income from Social Security and other retirement benefits. Such communities were 92% full in October, according to research firm JLT & Associates.

    The two communities that Carlyle is acquiring, Village of Ponce de Leon in Melbourne Beach and Sun Valley Estates in Tarpon Springs, both cater to those 55 and older. At Sun Valley, occupancy is 89% and average rents are $582 a month, Mr. O'Malley said. Village of Ponce de Leon is 82% full and has average rents of $681, he said.

    Mr. O'Malley said "less sophisticated" buyers might have been turned off by the vacancy rate, but Carlyle "worked with us to structure a deal around the vacancy so that the price made sense for both parties."

    Manufactured housing has come a long way since its trailer-park days. Many of today's manufactured homes resemble single-family residences, with several bedrooms, backyard patios or decks, wooden kitchen cabinets and stainless-steel appliances. Some trailer-park communities are located near lakes and rivers and boast amenities ranging from swimming pools to tennis courts.

    Prices for the manufactured homes are substantially lower than typical housing. Residents often purchase the homes at prices that can range from less than $10,000 to up to $200,000. In addition, residents also must pay a monthly rental fee to a landlord. Those fees averaged $391 a month in October, up 2.3% from a year ago, according to JLT, the highest level since the firm began tracking in 1996. Owners of the park communities make most of their income on the monthly rental fees, although they also own some of the homes and rent them out to tenants.

    Because the cost of relocating a home is expensive, residents are less likely to move away. "Our customers have no alternative shot at homeownership, nor do they [normally] even have the credit scores and quality to seek anything better," Mr. Rolfe said. "They never leave the park they are in, and the revenues are unbelievably stable as a result."

    Of the three publicly traded owners of manufactured-housing communities, shares of Sun Communities Inc. SUI +0.52% have climbed 6.8% this year and Equity LifeStyle Properties Inc. ELS -0.70% are up 5%. UMH Properties Inc. UMH +1.84% is down 3.6%. In comparison, the MSCI U.S. REIT Index has increased 2.5% in 2013.

    To be sure, not everyone wants to own manufactured-housing communities because the sector isn't widely established as investing in apartments or other real estate.

    Still, increased investor demand is pushing up prices of individual lots. Hometown America, a private owner and operator of manufactured-housing communities, recently paid $38 million, or nearly $121,000 a lot, for a 315-space community in Prescott, Ariz. The price was the highest ever paid per unit in Arizona, said Evan C. Barry, an associate director with Marcus & Millichap's National Manufactured Home Communities Group, which represented the buyer and seller.

    Sam Landy, chief executive of UMH Properties said individual lot prices have jumped nearly 50% in the past two years. It expects to pay an average of $40,000 per lot this year, up from $26,000 in 2011. That hasn't decreased UMH's appetite for deals: It expects to spend about $38 million on land purchases this year.

    "If we could find more deals, we'd do more," Mr. Landy said. "There are many more players looking to buy."

    The industry has made a remarkable turnaround since the 1990s, when lax lending standards fueled a boom in shipments of new manufactured homes that led to a bust. A wave of repossessions left plenty of cheap, used manufactured housing available. The industry's woes worsened during the housing boom, when mortgages for traditional homes were easy to obtain.

    Write to Dawn Wotapka at dawn.wotapka@dowjones.com




  • #2
    Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

    Originally posted by don View Post
    They never leave the park they are in...
    I've noticed that about some folks. Same trailer, different park.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

      the money shot . . .


      "Our customers have no alternative shot at homeownership, nor do they [normally] even have the credit scores and quality to seek anything better," Mr. Rolfe said. "They never leave the park they are in, and the revenues are unbelievably stable as a result."


      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

        Originally posted by don View Post
        Carlyle Group, a private-equity firm that has interests in everything from an oil refinery to a vitamin maker, is adding trailer parks to its portfolio. The Washington-based company has struck a deal to acquire two Florida communities for a total of $30.8 million. The sellers are two entities managed by Shamrock Holdings LLC, a Paradise Valley, Ariz., owner and operator of communities, said owner Patrick O'Malley. The deal is expected to close this month.

        Carlyle declined to comment. But analysts said the deal is evidence that big investors are betting that the demand for low-cost manufactured housing, the latest generation of trailers or mobile homes, will rise as other housing alternatives become too expensive for a number of Americans, especially senior citizens.

        Landlords like the steady income stream—tenants tend to stay put, especially retirees—and the low maintenance costs. Also, the communities are easy to run and typically stay full and see rents increase during market downturns.

        Carlyle's presence will "create awareness of the industry…and help legitimize this space as worthy of investment," said Frank Rolfe, vice president of MHP Funds, a private owner of about 9,000 individual lots in 82 communities nationwide. "The industry struggles for respect. It always has."

        According to brokers, investors are particularly interested in communities geared toward retirees who are more likely to have steady income from Social Security and other retirement benefits. Such communities were 92% full in October, according to research firm JLT & Associates.

        The two communities that Carlyle is acquiring, Village of Ponce de Leon in Melbourne Beach and Sun Valley Estates in Tarpon Springs, both cater to those 55 and older. At Sun Valley, occupancy is 89% and average rents are $582 a month, Mr. O'Malley said. Village of Ponce de Leon is 82% full and has average rents of $681, he said.

        Mr. O'Malley said "less sophisticated" buyers might have been turned off by the vacancy rate, but Carlyle "worked with us to structure a deal around the vacancy so that the price made sense for both parties."

        Manufactured housing has come a long way since its trailer-park days. Many of today's manufactured homes resemble single-family residences, with several bedrooms, backyard patios or decks, wooden kitchen cabinets and stainless-steel appliances. Some trailer-park communities are located near lakes and rivers and boast amenities ranging from swimming pools to tennis courts.

        Prices for the manufactured homes are substantially lower than typical housing. Residents often purchase the homes at prices that can range from less than $10,000 to up to $200,000. In addition, residents also must pay a monthly rental fee to a landlord. Those fees averaged $391 a month in October, up 2.3% from a year ago, according to JLT, the highest level since the firm began tracking in 1996. Owners of the park communities make most of their income on the monthly rental fees, although they also own some of the homes and rent them out to tenants.

        Because the cost of relocating a home is expensive, residents are less likely to move away. "Our customers have no alternative shot at homeownership, nor do they [normally] even have the credit scores and quality to seek anything better," Mr. Rolfe said. "They never leave the park they are in, and the revenues are unbelievably stable as a result."

        Of the three publicly traded owners of manufactured-housing communities, shares of Sun Communities Inc. SUI +0.52% have climbed 6.8% this year and Equity LifeStyle Properties Inc. ELS -0.70% are up 5%. UMH Properties Inc. UMH +1.84% is down 3.6%. In comparison, the MSCI U.S. REIT Index has increased 2.5% in 2013.

        To be sure, not everyone wants to own manufactured-housing communities because the sector isn't widely established as investing in apartments or other real estate.

        Still, increased investor demand is pushing up prices of individual lots. Hometown America, a private owner and operator of manufactured-housing communities, recently paid $38 million, or nearly $121,000 a lot, for a 315-space community in Prescott, Ariz. The price was the highest ever paid per unit in Arizona, said Evan C. Barry, an associate director with Marcus & Millichap's National Manufactured Home Communities Group, which represented the buyer and seller.

        Sam Landy, chief executive of UMH Properties said individual lot prices have jumped nearly 50% in the past two years. It expects to pay an average of $40,000 per lot this year, up from $26,000 in 2011. That hasn't decreased UMH's appetite for deals: It expects to spend about $38 million on land purchases this year.

        "If we could find more deals, we'd do more," Mr. Landy said. "There are many more players looking to buy."

        The industry has made a remarkable turnaround since the 1990s, when lax lending standards fueled a boom in shipments of new manufactured homes that led to a bust. A wave of repossessions left plenty of cheap, used manufactured housing available. The industry's woes worsened during the housing boom, when mortgages for traditional homes were easy to obtain.

        Write to Dawn Wotapka at dawn.wotapka@dowjones.com



        Ah yes the insatiable desire of the FIRE economy for fees: ("Prices for the manufactured homes are substantially lower than typical housing. Residents often purchase the homes at prices that can range from less than $10,000 to up to $200,000. In addition, residents also must pay a monthly rental fee to a landlord. Those fees averaged $391 a month in October, up 2.3% from a year ago, according to JLT, the highest level since the firm began tracking in 1996. Owners of the park communities make most of their income on the monthly rental fees, although they also own some of the homes and rent them out to tenants.)

        And then this is freaking absurd:

        (Because the cost of relocating a home is expensive, residents are less likely to move away. "Our customers have no alternative shot at homeownership, nor do they [normally] even have the credit scores and quality to seek anything better," Mr. Rolfe said. "They never leave the park they are in, and the revenues are unbelievably stable as a result.")

        I wonder if the guy said that with a straight face?

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

          Originally posted by ProdigyofZen View Post
          Ah yes the insatiable desire of the FIRE economy for fees: ("Prices for the manufactured homes are substantially lower than typical housing. Residents often purchase the homes at prices that can range from less than $10,000 to up to $200,000. In addition, residents also must pay a monthly rental fee to a landlord. Those fees averaged $391 a month in October, up 2.3% from a year ago, according to JLT, the highest level since the firm began tracking in 1996. Owners of the park communities make most of their income on the monthly rental fees, although they also own some of the homes and rent them out to tenants.)

          And then this is freaking absurd:

          (Because the cost of relocating a home is expensive, residents are less likely to move away. "Our customers have no alternative shot at homeownership, nor do they [normally] even have the credit scores and quality to seek anything better," Mr. Rolfe said. "They never leave the park they are in, and the revenues are unbelievably stable as a result.")

          I wonder if the guy said that with a straight face?
          Probably...people often underestimate people who live in manufactured housing. It is assumed that such low-life's that cannot afford stick-built homes in nice suburbs also don't make money or pay their bills.

          But it is true that once in a park, the elderly rarely do leave...they get comfortable with their friends and enemies, and the cost of living is comparatively low for the space occupied. People forget that the older one gets, the less upkeep you want to be responsible for on your dwelling, and that limited income makes mobile home parks a good value.

          And rental income is rental income...great cash flow, something not easy to find anymore in a low interest rate environment.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

            this from a friend of mine who read the Journal's piece . . .

            they are correct about manufactured homes! --- I followed this market for several years when we had stock in one. The reason they did not take off was due to lack of lenders willing to lend amounts necessary for the average owner to purchase a home or a park. With the major companies entering the picture with all their access to money they will have easy pickings as they say. Another example of the "Mom and Pop" operations being shoved aside by the Warren Buffets of the world!.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

              Don, do you have a link to the original article?

              Edit: Never mind, I found it:

              http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/...35654261763692
              Last edited by shiny!; October 19, 2013, 02:17 PM.

              Be kinder than necessary because everyone you meet is fighting some kind of battle.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

                theres also this one:
                http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-1...-trailer-parks

                will be interested to hear what our resident MHP expert has to say on this, eh ms shiny! ?

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

                  Originally posted by lektrode View Post
                  theres also this one:
                  http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-1...-trailer-parks

                  will be interested to hear what our resident MHP expert has to say on this, eh ms shiny! ?
                  It'll be interesting to see how changing demographics of retirees intersects with this big money trend.

                  The WWII generation of retirees likes MH communities, especially for winter homes. They appreciate the economical lifestyle and sense of community you get in a MH park. A lot of WWII generation retirees own older, modest MH homes in older, modest MH parks. Think St. Charles Place through New York Ave. on the Monopoly board.

                  Baby boomer retirees do not choose to live MH communities, unless they're the deluxe resort-style communities. Think Marvin Gardens on the Monopoly board.

                  As big money chases this type of real estate, it might indeed be hard for Mom & Pop operations to compete. But I don't know how long Mom & Pop retirement parks will stay viable anyway as the WWII generation dies off. Some of them might end up converting to all-age parks, which is a whole 'nuther ballgame. All-age parks generally have a very poor, uneducated, underemployed clientelle. They are a PITA to manage.

                  55+ parks have typically been for people who can afford a second home. All-age parks are for people who can't even afford a single modest stick-built home. Think Baltic and Oriental Ave. on the Monopoly board.
                  Last edited by shiny!; October 20, 2013, 10:04 AM. Reason: changed summer to winter

                  Be kinder than necessary because everyone you meet is fighting some kind of battle.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

                    Originally posted by shiny! View Post
                    It'll be interesting to see how changing demographics of retirees intersects with this big money trend.

                    The WWII generation of retirees likes MH communities, especially for summer homes. They appreciate the economical lifestyle and sense of community you get in a MH park. .....
                    hey - they work for winter homes too - eye took a look at this one: http://www.clearviewcommunities.com/swanmeadow/
                    nicely/strategically located, just CO is a bit out of reach for me

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

                      I have always admired manufactured housing from an engineering view.
                      It seems to me that in the long run most homes will be built in factories as modules assemble at site.
                      So far no one has cracked the mass market for trucking in a big, premium house as a few factory-built sections assembled at site, but someone will.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

                        Originally posted by thriftyandboringinohio View Post
                        I have always admired manufactured housing from an engineering view.
                        It seems to me that in the long run most homes will be built in factories as modules assemble at site.
                        So far no one has cracked the mass market for trucking in a big, premium house as a few factory-built sections assembled at site, but someone will.
                        Modern manufactured homes and modular homes are often built better than stick-built homes; they have to be in order to withstand the rigors of moving. Just look at the poor construction quality of a lot of those McMansions built during the housing bubble! But because the stigma of "trailers" is difficult to eradicate, many cities' zoning ordinances forbid manufactured and modular homes except in strictly defined "trailer park" areas. Even the original article at the top of this thread refers to manufactured home communities as "trailer parks".

                        For anyone who wonders what's the difference between a trailer and a manufactured home, since 1976 HUD specified certain minimum standards in construction. Homes built post-1976 are manufactured homes, not trailers. An RV that you drag behind a truck is a trailer, but these homes are meant to be set on foundations or tied down permanently.

                        Modular homes, as thrifty is referring to, are built in sections and assembled on site.

                        Be kinder than necessary because everyone you meet is fighting some kind of battle.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

                          and if things dont work out, one can always 'go where the weather suits my clothes' = a nice feature?

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

                            This is an interesting industry. Man'f homes are approx 25% of all single family homes in the US. Most parks were built in the last big boom of the 70's. Nowadays it is extremely hard to build a park with enviromental regs and local governments not liking them for variety of reasons (mainly very little of tax revenue generated as well as stigma, etc).

                            Due to this the parks do have a somewhat captured client base however retail lending and sales can be extremely cyclical. I believe at the time Conseco was third largest bankruptsty in US due mostly to its MH loan portfolio. IIRC in '99 there were 360k floors shipped from factories and one year later when the abs market shut down lending there were 180k floors shipped.

                            Parks can and do take big hits at times but the past cyclical downturn in the industry has been partly bouyeed by spillover from the booming housing market imo. It's true that owners rarely move their homes but lenders do when they are stuck paying space rent and there aren't any buyers or lenders to be had. With the low cap rates and potential risks involved I wouldn't be a buyer right now.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Carlyle Group Redirects Its RE Portfolio

                              Originally posted by don View Post
                              the money shot . . .


                              "Our customers have no alternative shot at homeownership, nor do they [normally] even have the credit scores and quality to seek anything better," Mr. Rolfe said. "They never leave the park they are in, and the revenues are unbelievably stable as a result."


                              I was approached a couple years ago about investing in MHPs (but didn't). Definitely one of the selling points was the idea that people tend not to leave. They said in theory you can take your trailer and move to another park. In reality though it costs a few thousand dollars to do that. Most tenants don't have that money sitting around. Furthermore, if you are moving for financial reasons (if they raise the fees for example) it would have to be substantial to have it make sense.

                              It makes sense to value the stability of tenants and I don't see anything "evil" about selling cheap products/homes/lots to people who can't afford something better. However, the idea of raising rental fees because people can't afford to move is unsettling to me. In the long run I guess there are still market forces or else living in a MHP wouldn't be affordable.

                              I live right down the street from a MHP and what surprises me is how nice some of the cars there are. I'm not sure if it's a conscious allocation decision between housing and auto costs or if it's the opposite of being "house poor" or something else. There's definitely been more than a few occasions that I think of all the stupid yard work I do and feel some envy towards someone who can mow their lawn in 3 minutes.

                              Comment

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