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Oh, so thats why "They" didn't attack Iran.......

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  • Oh, so thats why "They" didn't attack Iran.......

    Shell’s Voser says tapping Iran’s oil and gas vital for demand

    Developing Iran’s vast oil and gas resources will be vital to meet the world’s future energy needs, said Peter Voser, chief executive of Royal Dutch Shell at an industry conference on Tuesday.

    EU prepares unprecedented attack on Iranian economy Photo: AP








    By Andrew Critchlow, Business News Editor

    12:22PM BST 01 Oct 2013
    30 Comments


    Iran, which holds the world’s fourth largest proven reserves of crude oil and the second biggest deposits of natural gas, has been off limits for a decade to international oil companies since the imposition of tough international sanctions and strict investment policies imposed by the Islamic regime.


    “Longer term Iran’s oil and gas resources will have to be developed to meet demand,” Mr Voser said during a question and answer session at the Oil & Money energy conference in London.

    In 1999, Shell defied a US sanctions threat to sign an estimated $800m (£492m) buy-back deal with Iran to develop two offshore oil fields in the Persian Gulf known as Soroosh and Nowrooz. The project was completed in 2005.


    Existing sanctions prevent international oil companies dealing with Tehran amid ongoing deadlock over the country’s nuclear programme.


    However, a recent call between US President Barack Obama and Iran’s Hassan Rouhani – the first such dialogue between the two nations for more than 30 years – has raised hopes that a diplomatic solution can be found that would see sanctions partially lifted.

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    Shell was reportedly blocked earlier this year from settling a $2.3bn debt with Iran through the supply of grains and drugs. Since an oil embargo was imposed in July, the European Union has extended economic sanctions against the Islamic republic to include gas exports and shipbuilding equipment.

    Mr Voser’s comments on Iran came after he delivered a speech to industry experts, Middle East energy official and chief executives, urging more investment into producing oil and gas in order to avoid a new energy crunch for consumers.

    “Every two years we need to build a new Saudi Arabia” to meet global energy demand, he said.
    The remarks from one of Europe’s most influential energy executives come amid concern that a pullback in investment by some resource and energy companies following the global financial crisis could result in future shortfalls in supply if economic activity should pick up quicker than was previously expected.

    Oil prices peaked at $147 (£91) a barrel in 2008 amid concerns over the world hitting peak production and Iran shutting off supplies from the Persian Gulf.

    Demand for energy is expected to double over the next 50 years spurred by rapid industrialisation in China and across Asia. At the same time, world energy supply is struggling to keep up with prospective demand. The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that crude oil output from wells producing in 2011 will have dropped by almost two-thirds by 2035.

    But analysts have complained that earnings at Europe’s biggest oil companies such as Shell and Italy’s Eni have failed to keep pace with oil prices consistently above $100 a barrel.
    Citigroup warned in August that higher costs across the upstream production business and the capital intensity of major production projects have eroded profitability in the industry

  • #2
    Re: Oh, so thats why "They" didn't attack Iran.......

    So, you stinking imperalist pigs now NEED Iran & her Oil/Gas...........you tried the "Tough" way now your going to "Nice". Iran, tell them to get stuffed !...............Piss off Western imperalist pigs, Asia is the future. Gods speed on your er "Atomic projects".........( & Gods speed + £2.00 a litre BMW BASTARDS!!!)


    Mega

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Oh, so thats why "They" didn't attack Iran.......

      Not so clear that world oil demand is the driver for the re-opening of relations between the US and Iran.

      After all, "liberatin'" Iraq and Libya hasn't seemed to help oil supplies - in fact, quite the opposite.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Oh, so thats why "They" didn't attack Iran.......

        on the radio, the whole thing gave me that ol' "hope and change" feeling. Maybe Obama could finally earn that Nobel Peace Prize. It would be great for both Iran and the U.S. to have good relations.

        it will be another disappointment, I suspect.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Oh, so thats why "They" didn't attack Iran.......

          Shell’s Voser says tapping Iran’s oil and gas vital for demand

          Developing Iran’s vast oil and gas resources will be vital to meet the world’s future energy needs, said Peter Voser, chief executive of Royal Dutch Shell at an industry conference on Tuesday.



          We heard all the same stuff about Iraq. All about how the western desert of Iraq was hardly explored, and how Iraq would produce 10 million barrels a day if only the international oil companies could get after it.

          Here's a thread discussion on Iraq dating back to early 2008. Makes for interesting reading in light of the post that started this thread.
          http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...3792#post33792

          Iran is even worse. Sanctions or no sanctions there will be painfully slow progress achieving anything in Iran. The "buy back agreements" that are referenced in the originating post for this thread basically create a "banking relationship" with the foreign oil company. They can't book ownership in any of the reserves, they simply have a services contract to spend money for a fixed rate of return. This is similar to the situation in the non-Kurdish area of Iraq today, and the main reason Exxon is pulling out of Iraq.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Oh, so thats why "They" didn't attack Iran.......

            Are you sure there isn't an "attack" underway Mega??????????????????????????????

            Iranian cyber warfare commander shot dead in suspected assassination


            The head of Iran’s cyber warfare programme has been shot dead, triggering further accusations that outside powers are carrying out targeted assassinations of key figures in the country’s security apparatus.

            8:00PM BST 02 Oct 2013

            Mojtaba Ahmadi, who served as commander of the Cyber War Headquarters, was found dead in a wooded area near the town of Karaj, north-west of the capital, Tehran. Five Iranian nuclear scientists and the head of the country’s ballistic missile programme have been killed since 2007. The regime has accused Israel’s external intelligence agency, the Mossad, of carrying out these assassinations.

            Ahmadi was last seen leaving his home for work on Saturday. He was later found with two bullets in the heart, according to Alborz, a website linked to the Revolutionary Guard Corps. “I could see two bullet wounds on his body and the extent of his injuries indicated that he had been assassinated from a close range with a pistol,” an eyewitness told the website...

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Oh, so thats why "They" didn't attack Iran.......

              Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
              Are you sure there isn't an "attack" underway Mega??????????????????????????????

              Iranian cyber warfare commander shot dead in suspected assassination


              The head of Iran’s cyber warfare programme has been shot dead, triggering further accusations that outside powers are carrying out targeted assassinations of key figures in the country’s security apparatus.

              8:00PM BST 02 Oct 2013

              Mojtaba Ahmadi, who served as commander of the Cyber War Headquarters, was found dead in a wooded area near the town of Karaj, north-west of the capital, Tehran. Five Iranian nuclear scientists and the head of the country’s ballistic missile programme have been killed since 2007. The regime has accused Israel’s external intelligence agency, the Mossad, of carrying out these assassinations.

              Ahmadi was last seen leaving his home for work on Saturday. He was later found with two bullets in the heart, according to Alborz, a website linked to the Revolutionary Guard Corps. “I could see two bullet wounds on his body and the extent of his injuries indicated that he had been assassinated from a close range with a pistol,” an eyewitness told the website...
              Chronological list of incidents/events related to suspected Iranian nuclear weapons and delivery infrastructure:

              06/01/2006 General Ahmad Kazemi IRGC Commander plus 10 other top military commanders died in aviation accident.

              2006 April, 50 centrifuges destroyed in explosion

              18/01/2007 Ardeshir Hassanpour dead *possibly accidental nuclear related

              07/02/2007 Brigadier General Ali-Reza Asgari Defected/Disappeared

              2009 Northern Spring Shahram Amiri "abducted"/repatriated

              01/06/2009 APPROXIMATE DATE STUXNET highly targeted cyberwar attack sabotaging Iranian centrifuges

              18/10/2009 Pishin & Sarbaz bombings, 44 dead up to 150 wounded including Brigadier General Nourali Shoushtari Deputy Commander IRCG, Rajab Ali Commander Sistan-Baluchistan Province, other commanders/tribal leaders.

              12/01/2010 Professor Masoud Alimohammadai killed

              2010 July Shahram Amiri repatriated/re-defected to Iran

              08/10/2010 Amir Hossein Shirani uranium enrichment facility employee, Abducted

              29/11/2010 Dr Majid Shahriari killed ; Fereidoun Abbasi(VP & Head of Atomic Energy Organization of Iran) wounded in separate attack same day

              23/07/2011 Darioush Rezaeinejad killed

              12/11/2011 Industrial accident Ghadir Steelworks, possible supplier for nuclear centrifuges and ballistic missiles. 7 killed.

              12/11/2011 Brigadier General Hassan Tehrani Moghaddam +16 additional IRGC pers killed

              28/11/2011 Blast near Isfahan Uranium Conversion site

              11/01/2012 Dr Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan killed, *Iran officially accuses CIA & MI6

              20-24/01/2012 Cluster of dead IRGC Commanders over a 4 day period: Wafe Afrian (52), Abbas Mahari (52), Ahmed Siafzadeh (55) and Mansour Turkan (50)

              21/01/2012 Raze Ali Fimani killed

              ----------

              I've been too busy to update incidents since the most recent early 2012 incident. There are several additional before and since worthy of inclusion.

              Either Iran's got a bit of an outlier when it comes to life insurance actuarial tables of IRGC and nuclear program related employees, or they're getting targeted.

              There's also been a significant number of Iranian asymmetric attacks(mostly thwarted) in a number of countries outside the GCC in recent years.

              Not including Iranian asymmetric efforts IN the GC and on it's periphery.

              But I've been too busy to compile a listing of those.

              ----------

              While I would hazard a guess that this latest incident might likely fall at the feet of the US(public acknowledgement at the highest level that cyber attacks against the US may result in a kinetic response up through and not excluding nuclear) or Israel(a long history of grey-role unconventional kinetic operations)

              ----------

              It may also be worth considering other less likely(but still possible) culprits.

              Such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, UAE.

              While they have all employed westerners to a greater or lesser degree to train and maintain their military forces(as well as providing a fair few well paying petro recycling jobs) I suspect there could be a shift from maintainer/trainer type roles......to some select coal-face intelligence/kinetic positions.

              And not just for defensive regime continuity....but for offensive operations.

              A blank cheque could buy a lot of access agents run by contract intelligence officers from places like Jordan/Pakistan/Turkey/UK/US with the kinetic stuff done by contract paramilitary veterans from the same places leveraging "conflict entrepreneurs"(extremists, local gangs, transnational criminals) within and around Iran for the well paid heavy lifting.

              Plus such an arrangement could allow for arms length indirect management/approval as well as deniability of involvement.

              I wouldn't be surprised if there would be considerable scope for indirect partnership of Mossad and GCC in alignment of both intelligence and kinetic operations against Iran.

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