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  • Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

    This is just crazy. 15,000 US for an apartment per month? 80k to 200k for a new condo in Luanda Angola?

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...-oil-boom.html

    Notice they all have portuguese names as Angola and Mozambique are the countries that the Portuguese took their slaves from. Opposite sides of the continent so they would not speak the same languages. The portuguese just replaced the Arab slave traders in Mozambique and now I bet the rentiers have replaced the portuguese.

    Notice also that the Chinese and Angolan government are the ones financing the new housing.


    Guilhermina Simoes, a manager at Banco Bic SA in Angola, sat on a stool in the midday heat with a knapsack as she planned to camp overnight and beat the Monday morning crowd to buy a new apartment.

    “I’m not leaving until my application is submitted,” said Simoes, a 30-year-old mother of three and a graduate of the country’s Agostinho Neto University. “It’s not a question of choosing where to live, it’s a question of opportunity. There’s nothing else.”


    Simoes is among middle class Angolans willing to line up for days to find new homes to escape their rundown neighborhoods in Luanda, the capital of Africa’s second-biggest oil producer after Nigeria. Thousands of people wait for 1,200 application spots a day at Kilamba, a new Chinese-built city of 5,400 hectares (13,300 acres), while other sites at Cacuaco, Capari, Kilometer 44 and Zango are also filling up.
    Angola, where a 27-year civil war ended in 2002, is rebuilding with the help of Chinese loans backed by oil production of more than 1.7 million barrels a day from offshore fields operated by companies such as Total SA (FP) and Chevron Corp. (CVX)
    The government’s decision on Feb. 5 to cut the prices of bigger apartments to a maximum of $190,000 from $200,000 and smaller ones to $70,000 from $125,000 sparked a flood of applications. Before that about 30,000 units in five suburbs of Luanda, home to more than five million people, stood empty for more than a year because Angolans couldn’t afford them.
    Building Challenge

    The government paid $3.54 billion for Beijing-based Citic Construction Co. Ltd. to build 115 apartment blocks in the first 900-hectare phase of Kilamba, 20 kilometers (12 miles) south of Luanda.


    “Eleven years after the end of Angola’s civil war, we are seeing the beginnings of an emerging middle class in Luanda,” Lucy Corkin, a sovereign risk analyst at Rand Merchant Bank in Johannesburg, said March 7 in an e-mail. “The challenge is that Angola’s social and physical infrastructure is currently not yet properly equipped to deal with their demands in terms of goods and services.”
    Luanda is plagued by power outages several times a day and almost constant traffic jams around dusty and garbage-strewn slums. The nation is trying to build up agriculture to reduce imports and feed a country that was the world’s fourth-largest coffee producer before independence in 1975.
    Economic Growth

    Before coming to Kilamba on March 3, Simoes spent a week gathering the necessary documents, such as her tax-payer number, national ID and social security card. She also needed a letter from her employer proving she earns $1,500 a month to qualify for a $600 per month rent-to-own plan to buy an $80,000 three- bedroom apartment.
    Angola is the fifth-biggest diamond producer by value, and its per capita income of $5,681 ranks seventh in sub-Saharan Africa, ahead of countries such as Nigeria and Kenya, according to the International Monetary Fund. The United Nations said in 2011 that 54 percent of its people still live on less than $1.25 a day.
    “With Angola’s booming oil economy, a growing middle class is seeking to make gains, through property, consumption and investments,” Alex Vines, head of the Africa Program at Chatham House in London, said in an e-mail.
    Angola forecasts 7.1 percent economic growth this year after 7.4 percent last year and an average expansion of 9.2 percent over the past five years, according to government budget documents. The country depends on oil for approximately 40 percent of its total output and 70 percent of government revenue, according to the IMF.
    Benefit Expectations

    “Though small as a percentage of the general population, Angola now has an emergent, increasingly articulate middle class expecting the benefits of peace and oil prosperity to flow to them,” Ricardo Soares de Oliveira, a lecturer in comparative politics at Oxford University, said by e-mail.
    Luanda is Africa’s most expensive city for expatriates to live in and the second-costliest in the world, according to Mercer’s annual cost of living survey.
    It cost $15,000 a month to rent a four-bedroom executive house in the city’s Miramar and Ingombata areas last year, according to London-based real estate broker Knight Frank LLP. In the Nigerian capital, Abuja, and Lagos, the main commercial hub, a prime property went for an average $10,000 a month.
    Rent for an unfurnished, two bedroom apartment in Luanda was $6,500 a month, according to Mercer. That compares with $4,424 in London, $4,500 in New York and $4,848 in Tokyo.
    Ghetto Life

    While Ferraris and Range Rovers increasingly appear on the roads in Luanda, where a hamburger costs $20, the most expensive of anywhere surveyed by Mercer, millions of residents still live in tin-roof slums on dirt tracks with open sewers and no running water.
    “I want to stop living in my neighborhood in central Luanda because it’s a like a ghetto,” said Nelson Dias, a 38- year-old computer engineer with Empresa Interbancaria de Servicos SA, who’s also seeking an apartment at Kilamba. “This place is organized, it’s a real city.”
    Traveling south from Luanda on a new highway, Kilamba’s apartment blocks rise from the countryside foliage, each neighborhood a distinct color, such as blue, green and yellow. The pristine roads, sidewalks and parkland inside are also like almost nothing else in the country.
    “I like living here because it’s comfortable and it’s a good place for children with lots of space to play,” said Claudia Patricia, 30, a four-month resident of Kilamba with her husband and two children. “It’s clean and quiet.”
    Election Promise

    Delta Imobiliaria Sociedade de Promocao, Gestao e Mediacao SA, which oversees the apartment sales, is a private real estate company formed in Dec. 2007 with government funds.
    During the 2008 legislative election campaign, President Jose Eduardo dos Santos promised to build one million houses over four years.
    “More than 70 percent of Angolan families still do not have a decent house,” he said then.
    Simoes had her application for a three-bedroom apartment accepted March 4, and she expects an answer within two weeks. If it’s approved, she has a month to make her first payment.
    “Thank God I managed to submit my apartment application,” she said. “It was too much suffering, but at the end of the day it paid off.”

  • #2
    Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

    Ah, Luanda. Welcome to bizarro land.

    Interestingly enough, if you visit any of the swanky hotels in Lisbon you'll find it filled with wealthy Brazilian, Angolan and Portuguese emigres who have made a killing in the Angolan boom. Much like London, these wealthy foreigners are keeping the capital afloat while the rest of the Portugal decays under the weight of debts and austerity budgets imposed by the troika.

    Venture outside the Luandan city and you'll find scene familiar to the rest of the country. A dangerous dump... (a bit like Washington D.C. i suppose).

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

      Originally posted by Chris View Post
      Ah, Luanda. Welcome to bizarro land.

      Interestingly enough, if you visit any of the swanky hotels in Lisbon you'll find it filled with wealthy Brazilian, Angolan and Portuguese emigres who have made a killing in the Angolan boom. Much like London, these wealthy foreigners are keeping the capital afloat while the rest of the Portugal decays under the weight of debts and austerity budgets imposed by the troika.

      Venture outside the Luandan city and you'll find scene familiar to the rest of the country. A dangerous dump... (a bit like Washington D.C. i suppose).
      You certainly could have said that about DC 10-15 years ago. Not now.

      And the suburbs surrounding it are the richest in the country.

      One of the perverse things about this is that there is a lot of charitable work that could be done, but the charities can't afford to work there. My wife who runs a charity ( gratuitous pitch: http://fivetalents.org/ ) was recently in South Sudan -- which is on the verge up because of oil as well. Hotel prices were near-DC levels for a wreck of a place next to a slaughterhouse. And that was the "cheap" option.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

        Originally posted by jpatter666 View Post
        You certainly could have said that about DC 10-15 years ago. Not now.

        And the suburbs surrounding it are the richest in the country.

        One of the perverse things about this is that there is a lot of charitable work that could be done, but the charities can't afford to work there. My wife who runs a charity ( gratuitous pitch: http://fivetalents.org/ ) was recently in South Sudan -- which is on the verge up because of oil as well. Hotel prices were near-DC levels for a wreck of a place next to a slaughterhouse. And that was the "cheap" option.
        It seems for a long time now there are two economies. One of the average every day emerging market citizen and one of the expat in those countries.

        The problem now is due to massive FDI coming from the US, as our interest rates have been at zero for 4 years, is causing inflation in all the products that those average every day EM citizens use.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

          ''Interestingly enough, if you visit any of the swanky hotels in Lisbon you'll find it filled with wealthy Brazilian, Angolan and Portuguese emigres who have made a killing in the Angolan boom. Much like London, these wealthy foreigners are keeping the capital afloat while the rest of the Portugal decays under the weight of debts and austerity budgets imposed by the troika.''
          I visited Portugal last year and talking with some well educated, well informed Portuguese heard that the daughter of the Angolan president had bought a substantial stake in a monopoly holding electricity company. She was sure that the prices would start to rise very soon.
          EasternBelle

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          • #6
            Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

            Originally posted by EasternBelle View Post
            ''Interestingly enough, if you visit any of the swanky hotels in Lisbon you'll find it filled with wealthy Brazilian, Angolan and Portuguese emigres who have made a killing in the Angolan boom. Much like London, these wealthy foreigners are keeping the capital afloat while the rest of the Portugal decays under the weight of debts and austerity budgets imposed by the troika.''
            I visited Portugal last year and talking with some well educated, well informed Portuguese heard that the daughter of the Angolan president had bought a substantial stake in a monopoly holding electricity company. She was sure that the prices would start to rise very soon.
            EasternBelle
            When you have free money that the government creates or export earnings in dollars you can do this!

            I met a girl whose mom was the finance minister of Liberia. Her family was thrown out during the coup but they managed to escape before anyone got killed.

            Her family owned tons of property in DC and other business's in the area financed by the Liberian gov virtually. She even told me her mom would take dollars out of the country to the US.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

              There's lots of young generation (20's - early 40's) of Portuguese in Portugal without jobs emigrating elsewhere. Ex-African colonies such as Angola are a top spot, if you have no kids. Angola, and especially Luanda is a dangerous place. I know of 3 family members seriously considering moving there, not including my younger brother who has a lot of elite connections there and has already been offered a job paying $50,000 *per month* + apartment rent + rented car provided by his company, this when he graduates from university in 3 years. His plan is to work there for 5 to 10 years, then return to Portugal and retire (before he's 35!). The timing might be right if his connections and supposed job offer remains intact. Let's see how that plays out. He also explained to me that he's met several people in Portugal who tried to go to Angola to make big money and ended up completely bankrupt. This because they moved there without first having a job contract in hand, and due to the super high cost of living, they lost all their savings in just a few months and had to return to Portugal.

              The other favorite spot for Portuguese emigrants is Brazil. Until about 5 years ago and for the past 15-20 years, it was the Brazilians that were coming to Portugal to find better paying jobs and enjoy a better life. Now, not only have a large part of them returned to Brazil (given Portugal is under Austerity and Brazil is a booming emerging economy), but long time residents of Portugal are moving to Brazil to find better jobs (or simply *a* job) and a better life. Funny how that turned out.
              Last edited by Adeptus; March 14, 2013, 03:08 PM.
              Warning: Network Engineer talking economics!

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

                Originally posted by Adeptus View Post
                There's lots of young generation (20's - early 40's) of Portuguese in Portugal without jobs emigrating elsewhere. Ex-African colonies such as Angola are a top spot, if you have no kids. Angola, and especially Luanda is a dangerous place. I know of 3 family members seriously considering moving there, not including my younger brother who has a lot of elite connections there and has already been offered a job paying $50,000 *per month* + apartment rent + rented car provided by his company, this when he graduates from university in 3 years. His plan is to work there for 5 to 10 years, then return to Portugal and retire (before he's 35!). The timing might be right if his connections and supposed job offer remains intact. Let's see how that plays out. He also explained to me that he's met several people in Portugal who tried to go to Angola to make big money and ended up completely bankrupt. This because they moved there without first having a job contract in hand, and due to the super high cost of living, they lost all their savings in just a few months and had to return to Portugal.

                The other favorite spot for Portuguese emigrants is Brazil. Until about 5 years ago and for the past 15-20 years, it was the Brazilians that were coming to Portugal to find better paying jobs and enjoy a better life. Now, not only have a large part of them returned to Brazil (given Portugal is under Austerity and Brazil is a booming emerging economy), but long time residents of Portugal are moving to Brazil to find better jobs (or simply *a* job) and a better life. Funny how that turned out.
                Adeptus, voce fala portuguese?

                Brazil has 188 million people with the landmass of the continental US. The country is virtually transportation energy independent with its domestic sugarcane and oil production plus has tons of other domestic energy supplies. It is a large exporter of many products from beef to ahem soccer athletes.... and jiu jitsu!

                I think once the FDI bubble bursts and reverses in Brazil that the country will be one of the better ones to weather a PCO world.

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                • #9
                  Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

                  Why don't these guys all move to the ghost city that the Chinese built called Kilamba about 18 miles from Luanda? Chiense built it with credit they extended the Angolans in exchange for oil. Brilliant jobs project crossed with oil trade. Those Chinese can be pretty crafty like Odysseus.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

                    Originally posted by ProdigyofZen View Post
                    When you have free money that the government creates or export earnings in dollars you can do this!

                    I met a girl whose mom was the finance minister of Liberia. Her family was thrown out during the coup but they managed to escape before anyone got killed.

                    Her family owned tons of property in DC and other business's in the area financed by the Liberian gov virtually. She even told me her mom would take dollars out of the country to the US.
                    I trust nobody here is surprised by these sorts of stories.

                    In the USA and Europe it's not possible to become incredibly wealthy "overnight" by stealing the natural resource endowment of the nation. So it's done through the politically protected and coddled financial system instead. Once you become rich you use that wealth to gain political influence (a la Goldman Sachs et al) to perpetuate the cycle.

                    In the rest of the world it works the other way around. You first gain political power (by whatever means necessary - military coup, ties to the Ruling Family, whatever) and then you use that power to amass riches by stealing your "fair share" slice of the national economy.

                    In Kazakhstan, where I spent considerable time last year, there's a popular joke: "It's a good thing the President didn't have any more daughters, because the country can't afford any more son-in-laws".

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                    • #11
                      Re: Angola's oil boom makes city most expensive

                      Angolan real estate prices sound like the difference in Kabul real estate prices between 2000 and post 9/11.

                      What couldn't be given away suddenly leased for tens of thousands per month.

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