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$25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

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  • $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

    Six billion cell phone subscriptions are spread across five billion of the earth’s seven billion people, says Suneet Tuli, CEO of Datawind, maker of the world’s cheapest tablet computer. Yet only two billion people are connected to the internet, which means three billion people have everything they need to connect to the internet—except a suitable device.

    “Are they lacking electricity?” asks Tuli. “Of course not–if you’ve got a cell phone, you’ve got some way of charging it. Are they lacking networks? No. If you’ve got a cell phone, you’ve got some way of being connected to it. So what is really left? What is left is affordability. A computer costs three or four hundred bucks, and a cell phone costs thirty or forty bucks. But what happens if a basic computing device that’s reasonably usable gets down to that price point?”

    That’s the experiment that Tuli’s company, Datawind, is conducting in India and, hopefully, across the globe.

    When I last spoke to him a few weeks ago, Tuli was in Mumbai for the launch of the 7-inch Aakash 2 tablet, a functional but basic device able to accomplish all the things you’d normally expect of an Android tablet. The Indian government has already ordered 100,000 of them, of which 20,000 have been delivered, while an additional 280,000 have been manufactured and are at some stage in the process of being shipped to private citizens who have ordered them online. Now Tuli is in New York for a second unveiling of the tablet, this time at the UN, where ambassadors from all 193 member countries will receive tablets as part of India’s effort to show off its “frugal innovations” for the developing world.

    What’s changed since Tuli and I last spoke is that he has firmed up his estimates for when his tablet will be available at a price that renders it nearly disposable: $25 within 12 months. More importantly, he’ll hardly be the only one offering 7″ tablets at that price.

    The threat to Samsung and other Android tablet makers

    “As long as I’ve got constrained supply, [companies like Samsung] can sell tablets at a premium,” says Tuli, whose company is currently struggling to meet the four million orders from India that have already come in. “The moment I don’t have constrained supply, they can’t sell at a premium.”

    What will unconstrain the supply of disposable tablets, says Tuli, is the fact that dozens of other manufacturers in China are currently trying to do what Datawind has already accomplished, which is build their own factories, called fabs, for making LCD touch panels. The screens on tablets are up to 50% of the cost of the devices, and Datawind has successfully reduced its cost per screen from $8 to $2.50 by building them on its own. Once those devices are shipped overseas, their price will go up on account of transportation costs and taxes, but that still means they’ll be very cheap.

    “There’s 50 guys in China right now setting up fabs to make [LCD touch panels like Datawind's],” says Tuli. “In the next six to nine months they’re going to come online. And the moment they start coming online, pricing is going to tank. What’s going to happen is that those disruptive business models are going to change things for everybody. A sub-$50 retail price point in the next six months in the US is very practical for a product that, if you think of horsepower, has as much or more than the original iPad.”

    First contact with the internet for millions of people

    In rich countries, cheap tablets could be replacements for schoolbooks and point of sale terminals, or they could enable new models for distribution of digital media. But in poor countries, these devices could represent the first contact with the internet for millions of people.

    “To get that customer you’ve got to break the price,” says Tuli. “You’ve got to kill hardware margins, and that’s our big push.”

    In India, cheap wireless connectivity is just as important as access to cheap hardware. Fortunately, deregulation and cutthroat competition among the country’s wireless carriers means that’s already available. Unlimited data plans for $2 a month are the norm, even though data speeds on India’s 2G and 2.5G networks are significantly slower than in the US. (Datawind has invested heavily in creating a system that compresses web pages before they are sent to its tablets, to reduce page loads from an agonizing 17 seconds on average to only three.)

    Advertising-supported hardware

    Killing hardware margins could mean killing the tablet business of companies like Samsung, at least for low-end devices. But then how will Datawind make money? The same way Google does when it sells tablets at cost: advertising.

    All of the apps on the Aakash 2′s native app store will be free, because in India, there is hardly any access to online payment systems, and especially not for the poorest. “Today, 70% of the country doesn’t even have a bank account,” says Tuli. “If they want to buy an upgraded version of Angry Birds, they can’t do it, no matter how cheap it is.”

    India has a thriving advertising market, says Tuli, and the evidence is its plethora of print media and cable channels. Datawind will put ads on developers’ apps, and split the ad revenue with them; that way, no money ever has to be extracted from the tablet’s owner after the initial purchase.

    And India is a market in which cheap, internet-connected tablets in the hands of people who have never had them before could lead to all kinds of interesting apps. He shows off one example, an app being developed by university students that is designed to create a point of sale ledger for India’s tens of millions of fruit sellers.



    Mockup of the Fruitwala app on the Aakash 2 / Ubislate tabletDatawind

    But becoming the Apple of India, whatever that would mean, hardly seems to be Tuli’s goal. For example, Datawind recently lost out on a contract to supply its tablets to the government of Thailand, after flooding in that country wiped out its budget for the devices. The Chinese government responded to the disaster by providing tablets for free, but they were of course made by a Chinese manufacturer.

    “At the end of the day I don’t have to win every contract,” says Tuli. “If, at the bottom of my heart, I know that I helped seed that idea, the impact that has is a lot more powerful than, ‘OK, I could have made some nice money on it.’”

    India has 360 million children, but only 220 million are in school, says Tuli. For those 220 million, a tablet that costs only about three times more than shipping a year’s worth of books to a remote Indian school makes sense. For the same reasons, Tuli thinks it will make sense in Bangladesh, Turkey, Greece, and other countries with whose leaders Tuli has met. In any country in which the quality of education drops as you journey to schools that are farther from major metropolitan centers, which is nearly every country on earth, Tuli believes that tablets, and especially internet access, can have a significant impact on kids by supplementing their education.
    http://qz.com/#32125/25-tablets-2-mo...ion-new-users/

    3 billion potential new internet users; that just has to be a game changer of some kind. How does this affect the capital markets?
    "It's not the end of the world, but you can see it from here." - Deus Ex HR

  • #2
    Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

    "except a suitable device"

    Maybe, on the other hand I have a bunch of "suitable devices" I just don't have the income to support the $100 per month to hook them up.

    The device cost is not the issue, it's the connection fees that get you.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

      Originally posted by LorenS View Post
      "except a suitable device"

      Maybe, on the other hand I have a bunch of "suitable devices" I just don't have the income to support the $100 per month to hook them up.

      The device cost is not the issue, it's the connection fees that get you.
      That's the problem the mobile phone companies in India, Middle East and Africa solved...getting the price of basic connection so low that its no longer an obstacle for huge numbers of people. They didn't do it by offering people in Cairo, Delhi, Mumbai or Lagos 3 year "free" iPhone packages...

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

        This has been covered often on itulip.

        Thailand: Mainly driven by gaming, and because of some actual competition between ISP's and few bundling restrictions, the monthly rates have been falling while the data limits and download speeds increase. Broadband in Thailand can be had for about 15 dollars per month.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

          Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
          That's the problem the mobile phone companies in India, Middle East and Africa solved...getting the price of basic connection so low that its no longer an obstacle for huge numbers of people. They didn't do it by offering people in Cairo, Delhi, Mumbai or Lagos 3 year "free" iPhone packages...
          Yup.......

          The one I see doing well in our patch(Pacific) as well as other developing world nations is Digicel:

          http://www.digicelgroup.com/

          Incredibly good value with some mobile telecom companies in the 3rd world......especially when compared to back home or roaming.

          Their business models and cost structures remind me a bit of the stories of low cost high value cataract surgery in India.....a fraction of the cost of western telecom costs in some respects.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

            From the rest of the article…..

            “Unlimited data plans for $2 a month are the norm.”

            Read more: http://www.minyanville.com/sectors/t...#ixzz2DgVeB6bb

            MEANWHILE……

            1) AT&T Pulled a Massive Bait and Switch: U-Verse Is Still Using Copper; Customers Paid for Fiber.
            In all of AT&T's 22 states, laws were changed because AT&T's previous incarnations claimed they would be upgrading the old, utility copper wiring with fiber optics. Pacific Bell, California alone claimed they would spend $16 billion and have 5.5 million fiber optic homes done by the year 2000. Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio were all due upgrades to fiber; even Connecticut was supposed to spend $4.5 billion to have the entire state completed by 2007. Laws were changed, the companies collected billions per state for these upgrades, yet AT&T is still copper-based.

            AT&T isn't the only one who got paid billions per state for a fiber optic future. Verizon was supposed to replace the utility wires with fiber optics and cover all of the state of New Jersey, 100 percent with services capable of 45 Mbps in both directions by 2010. They collected an estimated $13 billion in just that one state to do it.
            http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bruce-...b_2195439.html

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

              A note on India's unveiling of "its" tablet:



              NEW DELHI/ BEIJING—The launch of India’s low-priced tablet computer, Aakash, was praised by the government as a “milestone in history,” to be “recognized by future generations,” in part because of its “Made in India” label.


              But some of the most updated versions of the tablet, Aakash-2, which was unveiled Nov.11 by President Pranab Mukherjee of India, have been designed and manufactured in China, according to officials at Chinese companies and documents reviewed by India Ink.


              DataWind, the Canada-based company that won a government contract to produce the first 100,000 Aakash tablets, which are bound for India’s colleges and universities, “does only sales,” said Li Junhao, the president of Trend Grace, a company based in Shenzhen that is one of several Chinese manufacturers making Aakash-2 tablets, according to invoices sent to DataWind that were reviewed by India Ink.


              “The tablets we sell to DataWind are ready to be sold. They are finished, ready-to-use products,” Mr. Li said in a telephone interview. He added: “All parts are made in China. We buy the touch screen from a Chinese manufacturer and make the rest of the parts ourselves. We then assemble the tablets into finished products.”


              Executives from two other Chinese companies who were interviewed also said they assembled Aakash-2 tablets in China.


              Suneet Singh Tuli, the chief executive of DataWind, said in an e-mailed response to questions that some of Aakash’s components were made in China, but that the assembly and product design were not handled there.


              “The current Aakash-2 product is designed by us,” Mr. Tuli told India Ink in an e-mailed response to questions Saturday. He said the touch screen of the tablet was being manufactured by DataWind’s facility in Montreal, Canada, and that his company had designed the software, mechanical parts and motherboard.


              For a first shipment of 10,000 Aakash-2 tablets, sent to the Indian Institute of Technology Bombay in recent weeks, “for expediency sake we had the motherboards and kits manufactured in our Chinese subcontractor’s facilities, and then the units have been ‘kitted’ in China at various manufacturers,” Mr. Tuli said. The assembly and programming of the units was done at DataWind’s facility in Amritsar and at a Delhi office, he said Monday.


              The Aakash project has been marred by delays, controversy and infighting for more than a year. Its original premise – that India could make a cheap (priced at less than $50), durable piece of technology for the country’s millions of students – has become something of a matter of national pride for residents and pro-India boosters around the world. The fact that the Aakash-2 is actually, at least for now, coming from China could be a blow to India’s attempts to position itself as a world leader in cheap innovation.


              Each tablet will cost the government 2,263 rupees, or $42, and students will get a version that is subsidized by 50 percent, the government has promised.


              India Ink has reviewed invoices from four different Chinese companies, drawn between Oct. 26 and Nov. 7, toward the purchase of “A13” tablet computers by DataWind Innovations in India. The total number of tablets ordered from the four companies is 11,000, with the price to DataWind ranging from $42 to $42.86 each.


              A reporter in Beijing contacted the four Chinese companies listed on the invoices addressed to DataWind. Three confirmed that they manufactured tablets for DataWind. The fourth company, Shenzhen Shitong Zhaoli Technology, operating in Guangdong Province, did not respond after repeated requests.


              An executive from Kalong Technology, which operates from Hong Kong, also said that his company had manufactured at least 500 A13 tablets for DataWind. A project manager with Kalong Technology, Mr. Liu, who spoke on the condition he not be identified by his full name (Liu is a very common surname in China), said: “All parts are manufactured in China. We assemble the tablets and load Android operating system on them.”


              He also said that DataWind provided the design for the tablet and added its own software onto the tablets.


              The third company, Dasen International Electronics, also based in Shenzhen, said that Datawind had purchased 4,500 tablets from them in three separate batches. The components of the tablets are made and assembled in China, but the two companies “work out the design together,” said a project manager with Dasen, who also spoke on the condition he not be identified by his full name.


              “Our tablets don’t have any software on them. Datawind takes care of the software,” the project manager said.


              I.I.T. Bombay, the university spearheading the project in India, told India Ink that DataWind had a contractual obligation to deliver the entire batch of 100,000 tablets by Dec. 31.


              The professor leading the project at the engineering school, Deepak B. Phatak, said that the specs of the Aakash-2 tablet had been upgraded once again in August. Since Datawind’s original subcontractors in India could not deliver the tablets, a batch of 10,000 tablets had to be shipped from China in time for Mr. Mukherjee’s presentation this month, he said.


              The new specs include upgraded RAM of 512 MB, a 1-gigahertz processor and an operating system upgrade from Android 2.2 to 4.0.


              India Ink contacted all four subcontractors of DataWind in India. VMC Systems, in Secunderabad, Andhra Pradesh, which has been working with DataWind since late last year, confirmed that it was manufacturing tablets for the company but did not provide any further information.


              The first few hundred tablets that DataWind shipped to I.I.T. Bombay, earlier this year, were assembled at VMC’s facility in India, several people working on the project said.


              An executive from another subcontractor based in Noida, on the outskirts of Delhi, confirmed that his company had been working with DataWind since August, but asked that the company not be identified, because he said he did not want publicity. The company has not yet started production, but they plan to ship a few thousand tablets to DataWind next month, he said, and then ramp up their production. This is the company’s first-ever contract for manufacturing tablets, he said.


              Digital Circuits, another vendor of Datawind’s in Bangalore, signed an agreement to produce tablets in August. The managing director of the company, Subhash Goyal, said that they had not produced any tablets for DataWind so far. He also told India Ink that his company had no experience manufacturing tablets in the past.


              A fourth company, Vinyas Innovative Technology, from Mysore, said that they were also producing tablets for DataWind. A marketing executive from the company said he did not have the authority to say if any tablets had been shipped to DataWind from their facility.


              Mr. Tuli said in an interview last week that the combined production capacity of the four subcontractors and DataWind’s assembly facility in Amritsar, Punjab, stood at 3,000 units a day.


              If DataWind is unable to supply the required 100,000 tablets to I.I.T. by the end of the year, it may face legal action for breach of contract. I.I.T. Bombay sent the company a warning letter to that effect last week.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

                You can't build a GSM enabled device for $25 - wholesale or retail. Even excluding the manufacturing inputs, the intellectual property licensing itself is well above that.

                A nice propaganda though.

                The idea isn't wrong - provide the hardware at cost or subsidized in return for outrageously profitable mobile data costs. That's the model the US has - mobile data very well fitted to monopolistic/oligopolistic pricing as it has gigantic entry barriers.

                It is no coincidence that the richest markets also have the poorest and most expensive service.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

                  I can't imagine that $2 month plans for unlimited data will survive tablets and fully featured smart phones.

                  I have a "dumb" phone, it's text and web enabled, but it's text and web handicapped - you could give me unlimited data for about any price and still make a profit. Not so if I had a nice tablet or phone - my usage would go up exponentially, which is what is happening in the developed markets as the smart devices roll out.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

                    This is the future market for bitcoin: micropayments with no bank or card involved.
                    It's Economics vs Thermodynamics. Thermodynamics wins.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

                      U.S. Walmart stores and their online hub have started to carry some of the less expensive Android tablets, i.e. $50 - $80.

                      Brands such as Maylong, Ematic, Velocity and Coby. Coby is also the brand of electronics that you'll see in CVS and Walgreens' stores.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

                        BIG Data + Prediction Modelling Software => Can you say.... come to Daddy, children.
                        The greatest obstacle to discovery is not ignorance - it is the illusion of knowledge ~D Boorstin

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: $25 tablets, $2 mobile data plans, and zero margins–how the internet is about to gain 3 billion new users

                          data plans are too high and are the internet is becoming almost as necessary as a phone. The Kid's school is going all non print. Even to read the schools's current events I have to download 10MB of content. To get my sick kids homeword was 20MB. I currently have 4c MB wireless interent. If I Add banking, ituliping , and a few other things that now must be done over the net, and I am downloading 100's of MB a month. too much for dial up. 3G is too expensive. I am just looking into DSL and so far I have 17.95 plus who knows how many fees and taxes loaded on top of that. This is for the most basic DSL out there.


                          Im thinking of moving our newspaper from print to digital what is the best tablet out there? best meaning cheap, no frills, big screen, durable. The news paper now offers digital content for half of the print price.

                          Looks like kindle tabs give you the biggest bang for the buck. HD 7 gives you 1280 x 800 res for sub $200.00
                          Last edited by charliebrown; December 04, 2012, 03:53 PM.

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