More anecdotes on illegal immigration from Mexico downshifting significantly

[c1ue]

Pew estimates immigration down nearly 2/3rds from 2010 to 2011

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...#ixzz1w7CIIt1N

A report released last month by the center shows that only 375,000 people left Mexico - the vast majority coming to the United States - from November 2010 to November 2011, compared with 1.05 million people five years earlier.

Remittances

http://www.bbvaresearch.com/KETD/fbi...pdf?ts=2852012

In 2011 remittances registered an annual growth of 6.9%, achieving an annual flow of 22,730.9 million dollars, 7% above its minimum level after the crisis in 2009, but 12.7%
below the peak in 2007

...

Banco de México announced that in the month of December 2011, Mexico received a remittance inflow of US$1,766.31 millions, representing an annual growth of 3.5% in dollars. Thus, cumulative remittances in 2011 totaled US$22,730.9 millions, recording a 6.9% annual increase, the largest since 2007.

In real pesos (after inflation), remittances recorded an annual decrease of 1% in 2011.

[Thailandnotes]

Re: More anecdotes on illegal immigration from Mexico downshifting significantly

"Of the 1.2 million people employed in agriculture-related jobs in the United States, 70 percent are undocumented, according to the Pew Research Center. But that will likely change."

I wish the article had elaborated on this. Why does the author think so? Because illegal immigrants will "self deport?" Contractors will cede ground to union labor and wages will rise?

[c1ue]

Re: More anecdotes on illegal immigration from Mexico downshifting significantly

"Of the 1.2 million people employed in agriculture-related jobs in the United States, 70 percent are undocumented, according to the Pew Research Center. But that will likely change."

I wish the article had elaborated on this. Why does the author think so? Because illegal immigrants will "self deport?" Contractors will cede ground to union labor and wages will rise?

The article did mention a number of reasons why the immigration flow seems to be declining: better economy in Mexico, poorer opportunities in the US, greater difficulty and expense of illegal immigration etc etc. Equally the apparent shortage of agricultural workers and several anecdotes of higher wages makes it clear that the there no longer appears to be a gigantic 'surplus army' of undocumented workers.

Every one of these factors except for the anecdotes of higher wages implies a decrease in the number of undocumented workers.

[ocelotl]

Re: More anecdotes on illegal immigration from Mexico downshifting significantly

Pew estimates immigration down nearly 2/3rds from 2010 to 2011

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...#ixzz1w7CIIt1N



Remittances

http://www.bbvaresearch.com/KETD/fbi...pdf?ts=2852012

Told you...

- Migration in the last year has stopped growing, I think this will be the first year in a lot of time we will see a change of direction in the net migration figure.

http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...256#post142256