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FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

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  • FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

    The Federal Reserve is holding off on increasing monetary accommodation unless the U.S. economic expansion falters or prices rise at a rate slower than its 2 percent target.
    “A couple of members indicated that the initiation of additional stimulus could become necessary if the economy lost momentum or if inflation seemed likely to remain below” 2 percent, according to minutes of their March 13 meeting released today in Washington.

    The central bank last month affirmed its plan, first announced in January, to hold interest rates near zero through late 2014 as the economy may fail to grow fast enough to continue bringing down the unemployment rate. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernankehas defended the pledge as appropriate since the meeting, saying that despite some improvement in the economy it’s “far too early to declare victory.”
    The minutes of the meeting show decreased urgency to add monetary stimulus. At their January meeting, a few members said that current economic conditions “could warrant the initiation of additional securities purchases before long.” In last month’s meeting, no sentiment was expressed for additional easing without a deterioration in conditions.
    The FOMC said in March that unemployment is still “elevated” even after recent improvements in the job market. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker dissented because he doesn’t anticipate that economic conditions will warrant exceptionally low rates for so long.

    etc

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...utes-show.html

  • #2
    Re: FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

    I think this just about sums it up....

    YOU ARE HERE
    Source ZH:
    Warning: Network Engineer talking economics!

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

      Originally posted by jk View Post
      The Federal Reserve is holding off on increasing monetary accommodation unless the U.S. economic expansion falters or prices rise at a rate slower than its 2 percent target.
      “A couple of members indicated that the initiation of additional stimulus could become necessary if the economy lost momentum or if inflation seemed likely to remain below” 2 percent, according to minutes of their March 13 meeting released today in Washington.

      The central bank last month affirmed its plan, first announced in January, to hold interest rates near zero through late 2014 as the economy may fail to grow fast enough to continue bringing down the unemployment rate. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernankehas defended the pledge as appropriate since the meeting, saying that despite some improvement in the economy it’s “far too early to declare victory.”
      The minutes of the meeting show decreased urgency to add monetary stimulus. At their January meeting, a few members said that current economic conditions “could warrant the initiation of additional securities purchases before long.” In last month’s meeting, no sentiment was expressed for additional easing without a deterioration in conditions.
      The FOMC said in March that unemployment is still “elevated” even after recent improvements in the job market. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker dissented because he doesn’t anticipate that economic conditions will warrant exceptionally low rates for so long.

      etc

      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...utes-show.html
      Hmmmm. $1 Trillion+ deficits and negative real interest rates for as far as the eye can see...

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

        I've always thought that economy would need something like a 2008-lite before the Fed could do QE3. We've seen the same reaction in the markets, over the last several months, when the markets realize QE3 isn't coming soon. The Fed certainly realizes that when the minutes are released the markets will pay close attention. Maybe the 11 dimensional chess board is getting a little big, but might the Fed be trying to talk the markets down so they can give a huge shot of stimulus to try and inflate and grow down the debt?

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

          Originally posted by we_are_toast View Post
          I've always thought that economy would need something like a 2008-lite before the Fed could do QE3. We've seen the same reaction in the markets, over the last several months, when the markets realize QE3 isn't coming soon. The Fed certainly realizes that when the minutes are released the markets will pay close attention. Maybe the 11 dimensional chess board is getting a little big, but might the Fed be trying to talk the markets down so they can give a huge shot of stimulus to try and inflate and grow down the debt?

          WAT - I think this line of thinking makes a lot of sense. I've been thinking 2012E becomes the yr where the Fed begins to lose credibility, as monetization needs require more QE, but politics of $125 Brent & $7 corn prevent it...I had originally been thinking they run the risk of losing inflation on the upside, but your scenario is beginning to carry more weight in my head.

          Only thing I think would prevent it is that in both 2008 & 2011, we've seen consumer spending react very quickly on the downside...

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

            If there is a market crash don't the Dems lose congress and the white house?
            I would think there would not be an engineered market crash this close to the election.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

              here's an interview with Richmond Fed president Jeffrey Lacker:

              http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-0...o-high-1-.html

              Admittedly the hawk in the FOMC..

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: FOMC Saw No Need of New Monetary Easing, March Minutes Show

                Originally posted by charliebrown View Post
                If there is a market crash don't the Dems lose congress and the white house?
                I would think there would not be an engineered market crash this close to the election.
                They can just blame it on George Bush.

                Now back to the intelligent comments...

                Be kinder than necessary because everyone you meet is fighting some kind of battle.

                Comment

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