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  • yardeni on gold

    The Price of Gold



    The price of an ounce of gold rose over $1,600 yesterday. I have frequently observed that gold is a hedge against out-of-control governments. It is a hedge against reckless fiscal and monetary policies. Often in the past, such policies led to higher inflation, which is why gold is widely perceived as a hedge against inflation. However, reckless government economic policies can also lead to financial ruin and deflation.

    The price of gold is up at a record high in all the major currencies, suggesting that out-of-control governments are a worldwide plague. The nominal average price in dollars rose to $1,528 during June. In real terms, using the CPI as the price deflator, the price rose to $682, which was still below, but nearing, the record high of $865 during January 1980.



    There is an interesting close correlation between the price of gold and the sum of US Treasuries and Agencies held by the Fed and foreign central banks. This shows that the price goes up as banks monetize the swelling debt of the US government. By doing so, reckless monetary policy accommodates reckless fiscal policy!

    http://blog.yardeni.com/2011/07/price-of-gold_19.html
    Last edited by jk; July 22, 2011, 06:38 PM.

  • #2
    Re: yardeni on gold

    In 1980, Paul Volker did MEGA rates, they can't do that this time..........& we also don't have the USSR, we have BRIC's

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    • #3
      Re: yardeni on gold

      So why isn't the second graph on the same start-with-1975 time scale as the first graph...

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      • #4
        Re: yardeni on gold

        Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
        So why isn't the second graph on the same start-with-1975 time scale as the first graph...
        beats me, and i don't have the data at hand to check what the '75 graph would look like. perhaps bart will stop by...

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        • #5
          Re: yardeni on gold

          Originally posted by jk View Post
          beats me, and i don't have the data at hand to check what the '75 graph would look like. perhaps bart will stop by...
          I think it's because it does not support the conclusion below the graph quite so conveniently.

          "...There is an interesting close correlation between the price of gold and the sum of US Treasuries and Agencies held by the Fed and foreign central banks..."

          I would expect that through the 1980s and 1990s the sum of US Treasuries and Agencies increased, but the price of gold did not. I suppose the question is how much of that increase was absorbed by the Fed and foreign Central Banks...

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: yardeni on gold

            Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
            I think it's because it does not support the conclusion below the graph quite so conveniently.

            "...There is an interesting close correlation between the price of gold and the sum of US Treasuries and Agencies held by the Fed and foreign central banks..."

            I would expect that through the 1980s and 1990s the sum of US Treasuries and Agencies increased, but the price of gold did not. I suppose the question is how much of that increase was absorbed by the Fed and foreign Central Banks...
            er... here... try this...

            http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...s-Eric-Janszen

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