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here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

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  • here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

    i hate to do ruperts work for him, but i "...dont _get_ around much anymore..." to bother looking for other outlets (since getting mezmorized by itulip, that is, and well, the nytimes leaves me feeling even more manipulated)

    what do we make of this?
    au: bouncing around a couple bux, ag its usual 40cents or so....
    last train about to leave the platform, or what?
    New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency


    By LINGLING WEI

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    Zuma Press A Chinese clerk counts yuan next to U.S. dollars.






    China has launched trading in its currency in the U.S. for the first time, an explicit endorsement by Beijing of the fast-growing market in the yuan and a significant step in the country's plan to foster global trading in its currency.
    The state-controlled Bank of China Ltd. is allowing customers to trade the yuan, also known as the renminbi, in the U.S., expanding the nascent offshore market for the currency which began last year in Hong Kong.

    China starts trading the yuan in the U.S., and a low-cost Indian carrier orders 180 jetliners from Airbus in a $15.6 billion deal. WSJ's Andrew LaVallee speaks to Heard on the Street Asia Editor Mohammed Hadi about these stories.


    The decision is the latest move by China to allow the yuan, whose value is still tightly controlled by the government, to become an international currency that can be used for trade and investment.
    "We're preparing for the day when renminbi becomes fully convertible," Li Xiaojing, general manager of Bank of China's New York branch, told The Wall Street Journal. He said the bank's goal is to become "the renminbi clearing center in America."
    Until the middle of last year, the buying and selling of yuan had largely been confined to mainland China by the country's strict capital controls. But in July, it opened the currency to trading in Hong Kong. Daily trading has since ballooned from zero to $400 million.
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    Bank of China's move comes at a time of U.S. pressure on China to let its currency rise in value. America has blamed an unfairly valued yuan for exacerbating the U.S. trade deficit with China. But the preparations for convertibility are also a sign of Chinese strength, as China, now the world's second-largest national economy, recognizes that as a global power it must have a global currency. In time, a globally traded yuan could emerge as a store of value on par with the dollar, euro and yen.
    The decision comes ahead of next week's visit to Washington by Chinese President Hu Jintao, when China's exchange-rate policies are expected to once again be in the spotlight.
    While businesses and individuals in the U.S. can already trade yuan through Western banks such as HSBC Holdings PLC, the move by a Chinese-owned bank marks a stamp of approval by China on the expansion in yuan trading. Bank of China, which is 70%-owned by the government, now allows companies and individuals to buy and sell the Chinese currency through accounts with its U.S. branches.
    Bank of China limits the amount of yuan that can be converted by a U.S.-based individual customer to up to $4,000 a day. The restriction is designed to fend off speculation in the currency, bank officials say. But there is no limit, at least for now, on the amount that can be converted by businesses, so long as they are engaged in international trading. The bank has no restrictions on the ability by U.S.-based customers to convert the yuan back into dollars.
    The loosening of restrictions on trading yuan started in Hong Kong, a former British colony under Chinese sovereignty but with its own legal and financial systems. Anyone with a Hong Kong yuan account is now able to trade the currency. Bank of China's move could further open up the currency to trading and attract Chinese companies with offices in the U.S.
    Going Global

    Bank of China's move to open trading of the yuan in the U.S. underscores Beijing's growing openness to currency liberalization.
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    "This is making yuan more accessible to individuals and corporations," says Robert Sinche, global head of foreign-exchange strategy at RBS Securities in Stamford, Conn. "But China has a long way to go before it has a fully convertible currency, and this is an inching step forward."
    Chinese regulators last month increased the number of exporters that can use the yuan to settle international transactions from a few hundred to nearly 70,000. Some analysts have predicted that it will be only a few years before 20% to 30% of China's $2.3 trillion in imports could be conducted in yuan rather than dollars. Today, less than 1% is done in yuan, according to London's Standard Chartered Bank. While offshore yuan trading has grown rapidly, it's still a fraction of the $4 trillion daily trading in currency markets world-wide and pales next to trading in the dollar, yen, euro and other currencies.
    Bloomberg News A pedestrian walks past a branch of the Bank of China in Beijing.



    Some skeptics say growth could be curtailed by new regulations announced by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority last month, which puts restrictions on banks' ability to offer yuan-related products in Hong Kong. Analysts say the regulations reflect China's interest in keeping speculators from betting on the yuan's movement and potentially causing disruptions to its economy.
    What Beijing is interested in, analysts say, is measured growth in yuan trading. Some experts caution that China could still back track. Nevertheless, some industry observers have called yuan trading outside mainland China a game-changer, as it is one step in allowing the yuan to ultimately float freely. For now, the offshore market acts as a parallel market and doesn't affect the official rate for the yuan set by Beijing.
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    Bank of China officials say the bank will take into account both the onshore and the offshore yuan trading when setting the exchange rate of the currency for its customers in the U.S.. To trade yuan in the U.S. through Bank of China, a corporation or individual would need to open a yuan account with one of the bank's branches in New York or Los Angeles.
    An obstacle to the growth of the business, at least for now, is a lack of demand for the currency among American businesses, which by and large still use the dollar to settle cross-border transactions. McDonald's Corp. and Caterpillar Inc. recently became the first U.S. non-financial companies to sell debt priced in yuan in Hong Kong.
    Potential users of the yuan could be attracted to what some might see as a sure bet, since China has said it will continue to allow its currency to appreciate. However, there's still risk given the uncertainty over the pace of appreciation of the currency. Also, banks tend to charge relatively high service fees on yuan accounts.
    Mr. Li said the yuan business is "one of the top priorities" for Bank of China's U.S. operations. "We see bright future for the business," he said. The bank's Hong Kong subsidiary has been the sole clearing bank of renminbi banking business in Hong Kong for the past seven years.
    The yuan strengthened 3.3% against the dollar last year, as Beijing loosened its peg to the dollar during the summer amid increasing pressures from the U.S. and other trading partners to let its currency appreciate. The yuan's gains stalled after the Group of 20 meeting of the world major economies in November but have resumed as President Hu's visit to the U.S. approaches.
    Write to Lingling Wei at lingling.wei@wsj.com
    Last edited by lektrode; January 12, 2011, 11:18 AM. Reason: clarity

  • #2
    Re: here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

    I think they see it as a free way (like the U.S. and other major currencies do) to lower inflation. There are trillions of dollars worth of electronic money traded every day. This money going back and forth between FIRE economy accounts keeps money from going into the real economy and causing inflation.

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    • #3
      Re: here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

      Originally posted by aaron View Post
      I think they see it as a free way (like the U.S. and other major currencies do) to lower inflation. There are trillions of dollars worth of electronic money traded every day. This money going back and forth between FIRE economy accounts keeps money from going into the real economy and causing inflation.
      If they float the RMB I think they will be making a very big mistake as it will come under devaluation pressure because it's overvalued. That's what kept their economy together during the Asian Crisis as compared to other economies in the region who had floated their currency and became victims to speculators. I see the currency restrictions in countries such as Brazil, as an attempt to prepare for making it difficult for investors to pull their funds out, when the show is over.

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      • #4
        Re: here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

        The yuan is UNDERVALUED - at least, that's what the U.S. is constantly complaining about.

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        • #5
          Re: here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

          Originally posted by Chomsky View Post
          The yuan is UNDERVALUED - at least, that's what the U.S. is constantly complaining about.
          In my opinion it's overvalued for the simple reason that it's to much of RMB floating around to defend the peg with the hong kong dollar or the dollar for that matter. Unless they want to take down their entire banking system when their real estate bubble comes down, they will need to devalue their currency. They did worsen a lot after the financial crisis when they really let the money supply explode. If you look back to the 1990's, almost all the experts were in full agreement many of the Asian currencies was undervalued, yet they had to devalue. It's the same situation in China today. It's just worse. Europe is working through it's problems. In Asia it's not even started.

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          • #6
            Re: here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

            What's house-prices in the larger cities now? 80 times income? Who's going to live there? The friends of Jim Rogers that's going to wait for the salaries of the Chinese to rise 10 times?

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            • #7
              Re: here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

              Originally posted by Chomsky View Post
              The yuan is UNDERVALUED - at least, that's what the U.S. is constantly complaining about.
              Hard to believe the yuan can be "undervalued" when they've created so many of them to hold the peg. The tremendous mis-allocation of capital going on in China is certainly not indicative of an undervalued currency...quite the opposite.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

                Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
                Hard to believe the yuan can be "undervalued" when they've created so many of them to hold the peg. The tremendous mis-allocation of capital going on in China is certainly not indicative of an undervalued currency...quite the opposite.
                I think it's the trade surplus that confuse most experts into believing it's undervalued, with applying the same formulas for other countries with floating currencies to China.
                Last edited by nero3; January 15, 2011, 07:38 AM.

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                • #9
                  Re: here it comes: New Move to Make Yuan a Global Currency

                  Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
                  Hard to believe the yuan can be "undervalued" when they've created so many of them to hold the peg. The tremendous mis-allocation of capital going on in China is certainly not indicative of an undervalued currency...quite the opposite.
                  I like your thinking here, but it seems the greater the deflationary pressure (in real estate and derivatives), the greater the latitude in printing money. Perhaps this is intentional?

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