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Shanghai govt bans individual real estate speculation/investment.

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  • Shanghai govt bans individual real estate speculation/investment.

    The next step will be to make it mandatory for anyone who owns more than one home to dispose of the extra homes within 1 year, or they will be donated to the city government. ;)

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-1...ment-says.html

    Shanghai to Limit Home Purchases, Introduce Property Tax, Government Says
    By Bloomberg News - Oct 8, 2010 11:41 AM GMT+0800

    Shanghai introduced new measures to curb home price gains including restricting home purchases to one per household, increasing the supply of residential land, and using a property tax to cool the real estate market.

    “The government will proactively get well prepared for the introduction of the trial property tax,” the government said in a statement on its website yesterday.

    Property prices in 70 major cities rose 9.3 percent in August from a year earlier, prompting the government to extend a crackdown on speculators and multiple home purchases. The latest measures are “more significant than expected,” analysts at Deutsche Bank AG wrote in a report dated yesterday.

    “This in our view highlighted the strong determination of the central government and local governments to cool down the property market,” Deutsche Bank analysts led by Tony Tsang wrote. “Some bullish market participants might have under- estimated the strength and frequency of the government tightening measures.”

    An index tracking 34 Shanghai-listed property developers rose 1.9 percent as of 11:03 a.m. local time, erasing losses earlier. Shimao Property Holdings Ltd. fell 0.6 percent after dropping as much as 2.5 percent, while Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd. lost 1 percent.

    The government of China’s richest city also ordered banks to stop extending mortgages to third-home buyers, in line with national policy. The city’s government will further regulate developers’ business operations and ensure market order, the statement said.

    ‘Robust’ Demand

    China’s State Council, or the Cabinet, on Sept. 29 raised the down payment to 30 percent for all first-home buyers to cool the property market. The down payment level previously applied only to homes larger than 90 square meters (969 square feet).

    The government has since April raised the down payment and interest rates on second-home mortgages and restricted the number of new homes residents can buy in some cities.

    “We believe short-term sentiment may be dampened, nevertheless, the potential impact from these new rules should not be overdone,” Citigroup Inc. analysts Oscar Choi and Marco Sze wrote in a report dated yesterday, referring to Shanghai’s measures. “Underlying demand should remain robust given the ample liquidity in the market, especially for cities like Shanghai, which can take purchasing power from different areas.”

    Hangzhou, Shenzhen

    Housing transactions in the southern city of Shenzhen surged 84 percent in August from July and rose 23 percent in Beijing, according to data compiled by Soufun.com, the nation’s largest property website. Prices in Beijing gained 12.3 percent from the previous month and rose almost 7 percent in Shenzhen, according to Soufun.

    The Chinese cities of Hangzhou and Chongqing may follow Shanghai in tightening property market policies, the Citigroup analysts said. Shenzhen on Oct. 1 limited local residents’ home purchases to two and those from outside the city to one, seeking to lower transaction volumes, according to a CCB International Securities Ltd. report dated Oct. 4.

    There’s an increased risk of the government issuing new tightening measures such as the property tax and the “full” enforcement of the land appreciation tax, Nomura Holdings Inc. analysts Alvin Wong and Sunny Tam said in an Oct. 4 report that rated China’s property stocks “cautious” in new coverage.

    Average residential prices may fall 5 percent to 10 percent by the end of next year, according to the brokerage.

    Hong Kong will introduce rent-to-own subsidized housing after a public outcry over surging home prices, the South China Morning Post reported Sept. 16, citing an unidentified official. The city’s housing prices rose 1.61 percent in the week ended Sept. 26 from a week earlier to the highest level since December 1997, Centaline Property Agency Ltd. said Sept. 30.

    --Zheng Lifei, Zhang Dingmin. Editors: Andreea Papuc, Malcolm Scott.
    Last edited by touchring; October 07, 2010, 11:46 PM.

  • #2
    Re: Shanghai govt bans individual real estate speculation/investment.

    Originally posted by touchring View Post
    The next step will be to make it mandatory for anyone who owns more than one home to dispose of the extra homes within 1 year, or they will be donated to the city government. ;)

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-1...ment-says.html
    The Pacific Rim arc exemplified by Sydney, Shanghai and Vancouver is the last holdout of the global real estate bubble. Came across this link to a blog with some entertaining property-porn for Sydney. There's equally entertaining stuff out there for Vancouver. These places are not going to escape what happened most everywhere else...from California to the Costa del Sol, Dublin to Dubai,

    All the tired old arguments for why these cities are not experiencing property bubbles are being trotted out. As for Shanghai and China, I heard all the same nonsense about how much control the government has over real estate markets and how "they" would never let the property market crash to describe Dubai. When it finally blew up, turned out the government was the largest debtor of the bunch and right at the center of the collapse. Does anybody really believe that the Chinese can manage their way out of this with all their corruption and self-dealing? It doesn't matter what rules the authorities bring in, the human mind has always proven creative enough to get around any of them...and the Chinese are no exception.

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    • #3
      Re: Shanghai govt bans individual real estate speculation/investment.

      Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
      All the tired old arguments for why these cities are not experiencing property bubbles are being trotted out. As for Shanghai and China, I heard all the same nonsense about how much control the government has over real estate markets and how "they" would never let the property market crash to describe Dubai. When it finally blew up, turned out the government was the largest debtor of the bunch and right at the center of the collapse. Does anybody really believe that the Chinese can manage their way out of this with all their corruption and self-dealing? It doesn't matter what rules the authorities bring in, the human mind has always proven creative enough to get around any of them...and the Chinese are no exception.

      I've no doubt that the Chinese govt will do everything to cap speculation including a total ban on property loans. But there is one thing they will NEVER do - that is to remove the RMB peg.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Shanghai govt bans individual real estate speculation/investment.

        Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
        The Pacific Rim arc exemplified by Sydney, Shanghai and Vancouver is the last holdout of the global real estate bubble. Came across this link to a blog with some entertaining property-porn for Sydney. There's equally entertaining stuff out there for Vancouver. These places are not going to escape what happened most everywhere else...from California to the Costa del Sol, Dublin to Dubai...

        ...
        From The Economist. Have a gander at the numbers for Australia and Hong Kong...

        Global house prices

        Floor to ceiling
        Our latest round-up shows that prices are on the rise in most markets

        Oct 21st 2010

        THIS time last year, The Economist’s survey of global house prices was a sea of negative numbers. That was then. Of the 20 markets tracked in our latest survey, only four still posted year-on-year declines and only Ireland’s property catastrophe has worsened...

        ...Asia’s price rises lead the way, as they did when the data were last published in July. Singapore, Hong Kong and Australia boast the gaudiest year-on-year price increases...

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