No "QE2" till 2011?

[Chomsky]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

You have not answered my query. Or if you think you have, your reply was utterly incomprehensible to me, so much so that I could not even tell to what you were replying.

Let's make this simpler. What is the specific meaning of the "0.54" and of the "0.22", in the first line of your table? Perhaps they are the diameter of Sarah Palin's waist and thigh, in fathoms, as of January 2010?

I also have no idea, except that it seems this manifesto is flow5's stock response all over the place:

[ThePythonicCow]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

I also have no idea, except that it seems this manifesto is flow5's stock response all over the place:

Good find - thanks.

[flow5]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

The theoretical underpinnings were given to me by Dr. Leland James Pritchard, Ph.D Economics, Chicago 1933. He was surprised & skeptical with my observations, (but encouraged me to keep at it).

I now use a surrogate figure as the G.6 release was discontinued. But bank debits represented our means-of-payment money X's its transactions rate of turnover, i.e., aggregate monetary demand. Bank debits demonstrate fixed lags & mirror the rates-of-change in gross domestic product.

One large problem in economics is that the data collected & reported is not always representative. The government statisticians don't try to maintain consistent & conforming data.

Milton Friedman published research showing that money lags were "long & variable". This is not true. Monetary lags are always exactly the same length which permits you to make accurate forecasts.

As I said, It is a scientific fact that economic forecats are mathematically infallible, i.e., when you use bank debits. There are some theoretical problems with my present data. But the real-time application accurately mirrors the equation of exchange, not Friedman's MV=PQ, but Pritchard's PT=MV

[flow5]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

Jan 2011 is the bottom. It may also be the largest down month.

[flow5]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

The FED can't forecast. They will be surprised by the depth & acceleration of the downswing.

[flow5]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

I learned from Granville in Sept. 1981 that when your subscribers & followers know enough to front-run your signals, that the market is able to completely discount your information.

[flow5]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

I was proven right again. Everyone wants something for free.

[dummass]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

How was Flow5 able to change the font on rest of the thread? After his post, everything on this thread is in some weird italics.

[dummass]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

I learned from Granville in Sept. 1981 that when your subscribers & followers know enough to front-run your signals, that the market is able to completely discount your information.

I know what you mean; it happens to me all the time. NOT!

[flow5]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

What would Wild Bill say about pirates, theives & naysayers?

One often hears it said that one should ignore criticism. I do not agree that it is always wise to ignore criticism of oneself and one’s endeavors, even when the criticism is ill-natured, exhibitionistic, and predictable. For even when that is the character of the criticism, there is sometimes something to be learned from it not only about oneself and one’s critics, but about the world we live in.
William F. Buckley Jr., Aug. 1, 1956, National Review

[sishya]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

Jan 2011 is the bottom. It may also be the largest down month.

Sorry, I don't think so. Jan 2011 will be the top. I know you are knowledgeable but lets see. I will wait till
September end and if it turns I turn my 401k from stocks to money market.

[sishya]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

Also, how do you see a concurrent dollar and equity crash? Generally in the present sort of circumstances they are inversely correlated.

Austerity by Republicans cause stock crash. The increase in taxation starting Jan 2011 causes inability to run for companies and individuals and then QE2 causing capital flow reversal and rise in interest rates make debt payments unmanageable. I am not 100% sure but that is my line of thinking.

[dummass]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

Sorry, I don't believe so. Jan 2011 will be the top. I know you are knowledgeable but lets see. I will wait till September end and if it turns I turn my 401k from stocks to money market.

Money will disappear even faster in the money market then stocks.

[sishya]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

Money will disappear even faster in the money market then stocks.

That is interesting since MM are invested in Treasuries. If they are short term treasuries I can escape. But there is no other escape
since all exits are blocked. I converted half of 401K to IRA and put that to Agri(DBA, next time it will be MOO) and Gold/Silver(CEF/GTU) but I don't know how to do a hardship withdrawal from 401K because I do not have hardship now.

[dummass]

Re: No "QE2" till 2011?

That is interesting since MM are invested in Treasuries. If they are short term treasuries I can escape.

http://www.nber.org/digest/aug08/w13943.html