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China reduces US Treasury debt holdings 3.6 percent

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  • China reduces US Treasury debt holdings 3.6 percent

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/China-...57593.html?x=0

    China reduces US Treasury debt holdings in May

    China reduces US Treasury debt holdings in May as total foreign holdings post slight increase

    Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer, On Friday July 16, 2010, 9:36 am

    WASHINGTON (AP) -- China reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury debt in May as total foreign holdings of government debt posted a slight increase.

    China's holdings fell by $32.5 billion to $867.7 billion, the Treasury reported Friday. Total foreign holdings edged up $5.8 billion to $3.96 trillion.

    The drop in China's holdings and the weak showing overall was a surprise. Analysts expected a sizable gain because they thought foreign investors would seek the safety of U.S. Treasury debt, responding to fears over the European debt crisis.

    China is the largest foreign holder of Treasury securities. The 3.6 percent drop in China's holdings in May will likely raise concerns that China could shift money away from Treasury securities. That could raise the cost of financing America's soaring budget deficits.

    Japan, the world's second-largest holder of Treasury securities, also cut its holdings in May, to $786.7 billion. That's a drop of 1.1 percent from April.

    However, the United Kingdom, the third-largest holder, posted a 9 percent increase. Its Treasury holdings rose to $350 billion.

    The Treasury reported that net purchases of long-term securities, covering U.S. government debt and the debt of U.S. companies, increased by $35.4 billion in May. That followed bigger gains of $81.5 billion in April and $141.4 billion in March.

    Foreign holdings of U.S. debt are closely watched because they can provide signals on the direction of U.S. interest rates. The financial crisis pushed U.S. interest rates down significantly after foreign investors rushed to the safety of U.S. government bonds.

    That development helped reduce the costs of financing federal budget deficits, which have soared under the impact of the government's efforts to deal with a severe recession.

    The federal deficit hit an all-time high of $1.4 trillion last year and is forecast by private economists to total $1.3 trillion this year.

  • #2
    Re: China reduces US Treasury debt holdings 3.6 percent

    Its worse than it looks: the net Treasury holdings increase in May 2010 was approximately the same as the net increase in 'Other' - microfinance write large!

    MayAprmonthlyMarFebJanDecNovOctSepAugJulJun
    Country20102010change2010201020102009200920092009200920092009
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    China, Mainland867.7900.2-32.5895.2877.5889894.8929938.3938.3936.5939.9915.8
    Japan786.7795.5-8.8784.9768.5765.4765.7754.3742.9747.9727.5720.9708.2
    United Kingdom 2/350321.228.8279233.5208.3180.3155.5108.1126.8104.397.190.8
    Oil Exporters 3/235.1239.3-4.2229.5218.8218.4207.4208.3209205.9209.8209.9211.8
    Carib Bnkng Ctrs 4/165.5153.212.3148.3144.5143.7128.4123.4114.3116.7125.2138.7135.3
    Brazil161.4164.3-2.9164.4170.8169.1169.3165.8164.9153.6146146.8148.5
    Hong Kong145.7151.8-6.1150.9152.4146.6148.7142.1137.8128120.5111.195.7
    Russia126.8113.113.7120.1120.2124.2141.8151.4145.9145.1144.9141.3143.3
    Taiwan126.2126.9-0.7124.8121.4119.6116.5115.4115.6115.1112.9114.4114
    Canada8582.12.97767.154.752.850.744.842.330.224.123
    Switzerland84.4804.478.881.884.489.789.685.382.78281.985.7
    Luxembourg76.377.6-1.384.677.979.188.480.279.587.58380.892.9
    Germany55.454.31.153.749.94947.848.747.948.850.151.248.9
    Ireland4845.72.343.338.739.243.643.142.63740.842.950.6
    Thailand46.346.9-0.643.542.133.333.329.62827.931.429.327.5
    Singapore40.642.4-1.845.542.641.339.237.536.339.443.143.441.9
    Korea, South37.838.7-0.940.139.839.740.340.243.339.939.838.737.4
    France36.438.8-2.438.732.535.930.540.429.1252817.518.9
    Mexico34.133.1136.133.934.436.831.926.527.833.233.435.2
    India29.331-1.73231.632.732.534.535.838.841.541.842.2
    Egypt2821.16.921.421.719.418.919.414.314.914.512.711.5
    Turkey27.627.9-0.328.727.327.528.129.430.328.128.527.127.3
    Poland23.424.6-1.223.422.622.322.921.921.921.521.320.920.5
    Italy20.820.30.520.520.921.321.121.621.62019.319.819.1
    Israel20.119.90.22218.916.813.815.114.516.916.215.516.6
    Belgium17.618.5-0.917.11717.417.317.416.917.217.717.817.9
    Netherlands17.619.6-219.220.420.720.42120.5222222.219.6
    Colombia15.715.7016.2161617.317.218.318.317.916.413.3
    Norway15.2150.214.613.612.312.18.57.37.67.111.311.1
    Philippines14.415-0.614.612.511.311.711.711.411.411.910.911.2
    Australia14.117.9-3.814.414.415.416.313.712.812.312.512.112.2
    Sweden13.415.3-1.916.31615.715.215.515.314.412.712.512.5
    Denmark12.89.73.19.69.88.98.57.87.77.15.35.55.3
    Chile1212011.912.312.512.412.112.412.812.913.414.2
    Spain11.613-1.413.513.413.713.713.113.112.312.811.611.1
    Malaysia10.510.9-0.41110.91111.711.811.711.711.912.512.4
    All Other150.1145.44.7140.3138.9138.5142.2146.1150.3152.2155.7158.2157.2
    Grand Total3963.63957.85.838853752.23708.63691.53674.93575.93575.335313505.73460.3
    Of which:
    For. Official2697.22721.6-24.42709.42677.12681.12706.32734.32714.52699.22689.82675.92625.5
    Treasury Bills473.4505-31.6507.3503.4508.5534.3586.6598597.7607.3606.6571.9
    T-Bonds & Notes2223.82216.67.222022173.82172.621722147.72116.52101.52082.52069.32053.6
    Russia had a significant jump - which coincides with a dollar spike vs. the ruble in that period.

    Ruble Dollar May 2010.png
    Last edited by c1ue; July 16, 2010, 09:24 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: China reduces US Treasury debt holdings 3.6 percent

      What do you make of the new series / old series stuff?

      http://www.ustreas.gov/tic/mfh.txt

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: China reduces US Treasury debt holdings 3.6 percent

        Originally posted by babbittd
        What do you make of the new series / old series stuff?
        If I were a conspiracy theorist, I'd say the 'revamping' of the counting was a way to make it seem like foreign buyers were still buying.

        For now, I'm reserving judgement.

        There are any number of ways the numbers can be manipulated: for example you could divide up the Treasury holdings of hedge funds and banks by percentage of each entity's foreign ownership.

        A nice way to spread out Fed -> TBTF -> Treasury circle trade volume.

        Ultimately this is all bulls**t. The Treasuries must pay coupons to someone - this is a clear money trail.

        To say that suddenly hundreds of billions of dollars in Treasuries (and billions in associated annual coupons) were suddenly 'discovered' to actually be owned by someone else, only an idiot would believe that.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: China reduces US Treasury debt holdings 3.6 percent

          nice Zero Hege post here with lots of fancy graphs no less:

          http://www.zerohedge.com/article/chi...nential-accumu

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: China reduces US Treasury debt holdings 3.6 percent

            http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66I05U20100719

            China should cut U.S. Treasury holdings: (chinese) economist (says)


            and buy Gold. Who could have known?

            Comment

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