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Con of the Decade (Part I)

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  • Con of the Decade (Part I)

    http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com...de-part-i.html

    Nice summary, but I am afraid that most will still not get it or care until they are living the Bernanke dream.

    I've laid out the in outline form:


    1. Enable trillions of dollars in mortgages guaranteed to default by packaging unlimited quantities of them into mortgage-backed securities (MBS), creating umlimited demand for fraudulently originated loans.


    2. Sell these MBS as "safe" to credulous investors, institutions, town councils in Norway, etc., i.e. "the bezzle" on a global scale.


    3. Make huge "side bets" against these doomed mortgages so when they default then the short-side bets generate billions in profits.


    4. Leverage each $1 of actual capital into $100 of high-risk bets.


    5. Hide the utterly fraudulent bets offshore and/or off-balance sheet (not that the regulators you had muzzled would have noticed anyway).


    6. When the longside bets go bad, transfer hundreds of billions of dollars in Federal guarantees, bailouts and backstops into the private hands which made the risky bets, either via direct payments or via proxies like AIG. Enable these private Power Elites to borrow hundreds of billions more from the Treasury/Fed at zero interest.


    7. Deposit these funds at the Federal Reserve, where they earn 3-4%. Reap billions in guaranteed income by borrowing Federal money for free and getting paid interest by the Fed.


    8. As profits pile up, start buying boatloads of short-term U.S. Treasuries. Now the taxpayers who absorbed the trillions in private losses and who transferred trillions in subsidies, backstops, guarantees, bailouts and loans to private banks and corporations, are now paying interest on the Treasuries their own money purchased for the banks/corporations.


    9. Slowly acquire trillions of dollars in Treasuries--not difficult to do as the Federal government is borrowing $1.5 trillion a year.


    10. Stop buying Treasuries and dump a boatload onto the market, forcing interest rates to rise as supply of new T-Bills exceeds demand (at least temporarily). Repeat as necessary to double and then triple interest rates paid on Treasuries.


    11. Buy hundreds of billions in long-term Treasuries at high rates of interest. As interest rates rise, interest payments dwarf all other Federal spending, forcing extreme cuts in all other government spending.


    12. Enjoy the hundreds of billions of dollars in interest payments being paid by taxpayers on Treasuries that were purchased with their money but which are safely in private hands.


    Since the Federal government could potentially inflate away these trillions in Treasuries, buy enough elected officials to force austerity so inflation remains tame. In essence, these private banks and corporations now own the revenue stream of the Federal government and its taxpayers. Neat con, and the marks will never understand how "saving our financial system" led to their servitude to the very interests they bailed out.


    The circle is now complete: in "saving our financial system," the public borrowed trillions and transferred the money to private Power Elites, who then buy the public debt with the money swindled out of the taxpayer. Then the taxpayers transfer more wealth every year to the Power Elites/Plutocracy in the form of interest on the Treasury debt. The Power Elites will own the debt that was taken on to bail them out of bad private bets: this is the culmination of privatized gains, socialized risk.


    In effect, it's a Third World/colonial scam on a gigantic scale: plunder the public treasury, then buy the debt which was borrowed and transferred to your pockets. You are buying the country with money you borrowed from its taxpayers. No despot could do better.



    http://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com...de-part-i.html

  • #2
    Re: Con of the Decade (Part I)

    looks like Gnosis beat you to it:

    http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...06-The-Big-Con

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    • #3
      Re: Con of the Decade (Part I)

      Yeah, saw that after I posted. DAMN IT!

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Con of the Decade (Part I)

        I like Charles a lot. Very sensible guy for a "common working man".

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Con of the Decade (Part I)

          10. Stop buying Treasuries and dump a boatload onto the market, forcing interest rates to rise as supply of new T-Bills exceeds demand (at least temporarily). Repeat as necessary to double and then triple interest rates paid on Treasuries.


          11. Buy hundreds of billions in long-term Treasuries at high rates of interest. As interest rates rise, interest payments dwarf all other Federal spending, forcing extreme cuts in all other government spending.
          Ooo aah nice - this forecasts something quite different than high inflation and possible dollar collapse, perhaps to gold or perhaps to SDR's.

          Rather this forecasts another bout of jacked up interest rates on long bonds, at a time when only the Banksters have the cash or T-Bills to purchase boatloads of them, followed by another period (like the decades after Volcker spiked interest rates) of tolerably stable dollar, whose slow decline is offset by the rising value of the long bonds (their slowly falling rates.)

          This seems like a rather plausible scenario, taking elements from past U.S. economic history as well as the austerity measures so "popular" elsewhere, in which a nations income streams are substantially diverted to the bankers for debt payments.

          As before in the early 1980's, once the peak interest rates start to subside and it becomes clear that the dollar will hold as a major currency (though I suppose perhaps not the single dominant reserve currency), then wouldn't gold start to come back down off its peaks?

          If this happens, then would not a good strategy be to remain in T-Bills and gold until rates on the long bond peak, then put everything in long bonds. That would have worked in the early 1980's. Will it work again?
          Most folks are good; a few aren't.

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          • #6
            Re: Con of the Decade (Part I)

            nothing new here. move along and keep yelling it from the rooftops

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Con of the Decade (Part I)

              The Con of the Decade Part II pointed out by Sandwind here

              The con of the decade (Part II) involves sheltering the Power Elites' income while raising taxes on the debt-serfs to pay the interest owed the Power Elites.

              The Con of the Decade (Part II) meshes neatly with the first Con of the Decade. Yesterday I described how the financial Plutocracy can transfer ownership of the Federal government's income stream via using the taxpayer's money to buy the debt that the taxpayers borrowed to bail out the Plutocracy.

              In order for the con to work, however, the Power Elites and their politico toadies in Congress, the Treasury and the Fed must convince the peasantry that low tax rates on unearned income are not just "free market capitalism at its best" but that they are also "what the country needs to get moving again."
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