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U.S. new home sales "unexpectedly" fall in Feb

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  • U.S. new home sales "unexpectedly" fall in Feb

    On Wednesday March 24, 2010, 10:04 am
    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Sales of newly built U.S. single-family homes fell for a fourth straight month to a record low in February, a government report showed on Wednesday, heightening fears of renewed weakness in the housing market.

    The Commerce Department said sales fell 2.2 percent to a 308,000 unit annual rate from an upwardly revised 315,000 units in January.

    Analysts polled by Reuters had expected new home sales to edge up to a 320,000 unit annual pace from January's previously reported 309,000 units.

    The data came on the heels of report on Tuesday showing existing home sales fell for a third straight month in February and a jump in the supply of houses on the market.

    Sales have barely responded to the extension and expansion of a popular tax credit, which boosted purchases in the second half of 2009, raising concerns over the fragile housing market's recovery just as a key pillar of support is being dismantled.

    The Federal Reserve will end purchases of mortgage-related securities next week, which had lowered the cost of home loans to record lows.

    But there were some glimmers of hope for the sector at the heart of the worst U.S. downturn since the 1930s. The median sale price for a new home rose 5.2 percent in the 12 months through February, the biggest gain since September 2007. Compared to January, prices were up 6.1 percent, the largest month-on-month rise since April.

    The number of new homes on the market last month increased 1.3 percent to 236,000 units. February's weak sales pace left the supply of homes available for sale at 9.2 months' worth, the highest since May, from 8.9 months in January.

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/US-new...&asset=&ccode=

    Is the rise in median home sales price a result of the bigger houses now being foreclosed on ? It seems to me that when somebody walks away from a $800,000 dollar house with a 1.2 million dollar mortgage, it will tend to bring up the numbers. In other words, the increase in median sales price is not an indication of home value stability... it is representative of a crash in higher-priced homes.

  • #2
    Re: U.S. new home sales "unexpectedly" fall in Feb

    I think you're right on with that. I think the Case Shiller index is a better indication of where prices are headed because "the main variable used for index calculation is the price change between two arms-length sales of the same single-family home".

    Case Shiller hasn't shown any big drops lately nationally (Dec was only down 2.5% over the prior year) but as the pricier homes are getting re-sold in places like Florida, LA and Vegas we should start to see this index get weighed down as well.

    I think the cheaper homes around the country are pretty much at bottom but it's time for the more expensive stuff to show up in the data. So yeah, this median price seems to be misleading.

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