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WOW China oil imports ROCKET!!!!!

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  • WOW China oil imports ROCKET!!!!!

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8563985.stm

    For once i think am right to use the hyperbold!
    Mike

  • #2
    Re: WOW China oil imports ROCKET!!!!!

    Originally posted by Mega View Post
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8563985.stm

    For once i think am right to use the hyperbold!
    Mike
    "...The IEA has increased its global oil demand forecast for 2010 by 1.8% to 86.6 million barrels a day..."
    That's less than 2 million barrels per day below what the IEA recorded as the all time highest peak in demand in mid-2008.

    http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...ion#post140616

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: WOW China oil imports ROCKET!!!!!

      Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
      "...The IEA has increased its global oil demand forecast for 2010 by 1.8% to 86.6 million barrels a day..."
      That's less than 2 million barrels per day below what the IEA recorded as the all time highest peak in demand in mid-2008.

      http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthr...ion#post140616

      So it's time to go long on oil?

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: WOW China oil imports ROCKET!!!!!

        Originally posted by thriftyandboringinohio View Post
        So it's time to go long on oil?
        Peak Cheap Oil is going to be devilishly difficult to play. Back in early 1999, the last time I loaded up on oil and gas stocks, it was a no-brainer because a 20 year secular bear market was coming to an end and oil had been beaten down to well below the marginal cost of adding a new barrel. But it still took another couple of years and one more recession before oil finally "woke up"...and a lot of longs had been shaken out of the market by then and missed the run.

        Now oil is anything but "cheap" in a world that is struggling to increase aggregate demand enough to pull out of a global recession. But just like the stock market, oil seems to "want to go up more".

        Like a lot of folks, I believe the key to short term direction will be what happens in China. Is it a bubble, or not? If yes, when will it burst? If it bursts does it take down only real estate and the Shanghai stock market, or does it reveal a lot of excess capacity throughout the productive economy, thus causing a flight from the entire commodity complex...including oil? Whoever correctly figures all that out should make some coin...

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