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First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

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  • First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/idUKN1...BrandChannel=0

    By Jon Hurdle
    PHILADELPHIA, Feb 14 (Reuters) - Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, moved a step closer to defaulting on a bond payment when its city council passed a 2010 budget that does not include $68 million in debt repayments on an incinerator.
    Without the debt provision in the $65 million budget, the state capital may miss a March 1 payment of $2.072 million, a rarity for a municipal bond issuer.
    Joyce Davis, a spokeswoman for Mayor Linda Thompson, confirmed the council's decision -- taken at a special session on Saturday -- and said the mayor is not commenting for now on the implications of exclusion of the debt payments from the budget.
    The council also defeated a plan to sell city assets to help pay down the debt which is guaranteed by the city on behalf of the Harrisburg Authority, a separate municipal entity that owns the incinerator. Council members also rejected Thompson's plan to raise property taxes and water rates.
    The $2.072 million payment is the latest installment on a $300 million bond owed on the construction of the incinerator. An additional $637,000 is due on April 1.
    City Controller Dan Miller said last year's payments on the incinerator were made from a debt service reserve fund that is now depleted.
    Debt payments on the incinerator total $68 million in 2010, or more than the city's general fund budget of about $60 million, Miller said.
    Miller said on Feb. 9 he would "not be surprised" if Harrisburg fails to meet the March 1 payment.
    Asked whether the city may file Chapter 9 bankruptcy as a way to get its debts under control, Miller said that was a "possibility."
    The tax-exempt municipal bond market, which states, cities and municipalities use to raise the funds to build roads, schools and hospitals, is viewed as very safe with a far lower default rate than the corporate bond market.
    Just 54 municipal bond issuers rated by Moody's Investors Service defaulted on their debt between 1970 and 2009, the agency said on Thursday. The average five-year historical cumulative default rate for investment-grade municipal debt was 0.03 percent in the period, compared with 0.97 percent for corporate issuers.
    The recession has raised concerns of an increase in defaults as states, cities and towns struggle to balance budgets as required by law in all states except Vermont.
    So far, however, those fears have not been realized and ratings agencies have played down the likelihood of a spike in defaults.
    Fitch Ratings in January cautioned cities against using the threat of bankruptcy as a weapon to win concessions from labor unions. Even talk of bankruptcy can become self-fulfilling and undermines investor confidence in the market, it said.

  • #2
    Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

    The good news: Harrisburg didn't default on March 1

    The bad news: Now April payment is due

    http://www.pennlive.com/editorials/i...ow_its_we.html

    Let’s be clear: Harrisburg remains on the financial brink.

    The city might have staved off default March 1, but no one should be breathing a sigh of relief. The March payment was made only because the Harrisburg Authority suddenly “found” $2 million in a rabbit-out-of-the-hat kind of maneuver.

    It’s yet another antic from the Harrisburg Authority that inspires little confidence in its leadership. Why wasn’t this amount included in its 2010 budget?

    On Monday, Thomson Municipal Market Monitor, a specialty bond publication, reported that the Harrisburg Authority has $4.6 million in debt reserves. Again, where has this money been hiding?

    City Council should bring the authority board in for questioning. Time and again, the authority has been a source of mysterious funding for projects in the city. Council also has the power to appoint two more members to the authority board. Two posts have expired and they could be replaced with competent and respected business experts.

    Given the gravity of the city’s financial problems, the time has come to reveal all rabbits in the authority’s hat.

    Harrisburg’s debt problems have not gone away — $3.8 million is due April 1.

    City controller Dan Miller believes tax revenues are coming in sufficiently to cover those payments, but that tides the city over only one more month.

    The city awaits a plan to address the bulk of its debt, including a $35 million payment due in December. That amount is more than all the city’s property tax revenues.

    In an interview with WHTM-TV, Mayor Thompson said she would have something ready by June, but there are more debt payments due before then. Waiting until June would leave Council, let alone the public, with little time to consider the plan before the bulk of the debt payments are due in the second half of the year.

    The mayor’s veto of the budget City Council passed in February means that former Mayor Stephen R. Reed’s December budget has become the 2010 budget. It specifies that $67 million will be raised to pay off the debt by selling assets. In typical Reed fashion, the details were thin. It’s not a real plan.

    City Council should be included in any meetings about selling assets or re-negotiating debt. It is the check and balance in the system, and its vote is necessary to authorize sales of city assets.

    Council also must take a stand on the management of the Harrisburg Authority. Even if the city sells property to cover the debt, there is little faith that the authority is on the right track and has reformed its dealings.

    The city has bought a little more time on its pressing financial problems, but make no mistake: The threat of default this year remains.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

      IMO, there will be no "real bankrputcies" any longer for either large corps, municipalities or states. There may of course be plenty of "prepackaged bankruptcies", where cronies get preferred treatment and bloated workforces and pensions get a pass.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

        OK, someone has to get the haircut right? Who is it?
        Does the fed gvt swoop in with a truck load of cash to make everyone whole? Even on a pre-package, either the bond holders will have to take less than face value, take less interest, or have a delayed payout.

        The pre-package avoids the circus show trial, and also perhaps the legal bankruptcy pro-rationing of the hair cut. Maybe insider contractor who is owed gets payed out before, GO bond holders.

        On my drive home I listen to news radio. There have been advertisements for people to buy muni-bonds. Is this TPTBP trying to dump theirs?

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

          We're about to find out:

          Harrisburg Will Not Pay Covanta

          City Council member Patty Kim said a representative from Convanta, operators of the Harrisburg incinerator, was told by Harrisburg officials that the city will not pay the $600,000 debt payment due in April.

          Kim said that interim business administrator Michael Casey told Paul Stauder, Senior Vice President of Domestic Business Management at Covanta Energy, about its refusal to pay during a meeting with Covanta on Friday.

          Stauder spoke Friday with Kim and City Council President Gloria Martin-Roberts, relaying concern that the city was going to default on the April 1 payment on debt related to the $20 million loan Covanta made for the upgrade of the incinerator.

          "I think Covanta headquarters is nervous. The debt wasn't backed by anything. They said they understand the situation but they don't see a plan. They said they don't deserve this treatment. We fixed the plant. It's running and making money,'' Kim said.

          City Council members are said to be largely out of the loop about any plans Mayor Linda Thompson might be making to deal with the city's financial crunch. The city and Dauphin County are guarantors of large parts of the Harrisburg Authority's $288 million debt.

          The city faces $68 million in debt service guarantees, although the Harrisburg Authority has come up with $1.7 million earlier this year and is said to have an additional $4.6 million on hand. Dauphin County, which was forced to make debt payments in 2009, has filed a lawsuit against the city seeking to reclaim those payments.

          Last week, state Rep. Ron Buxton, Dauphin County Commissioner George Hartwick, county financial advisor Jay Wenger, Harrisburg lawyer Bill Cluck and a Harrisburg lobbyist Bruce Hironimus attended a meeting with a New Jersey financial firm that specializes in private-public deals surrounding solid waste management facilities.

          "I think in the absence of any plans, I think leaders outside the city like Buxton and Hartwick are very nervous. They're trying to do something and find some way to help since there is a non-existent plan,'' Kim said.

          In addition, Kim said she is aware of talks between Thompson and Jacob Frydman, the financier whose plan to lease the city parking garages in 2008 failed. Kim said there is no agreement, but that Frydman has proposed making the same or similar deal now, with a closing for June 1.

          "We rejected it but times are different. We're desperate, so we may look at it from a different angle,'' Kim said.

          However, other City Council members appear adamant that no city assets will be sold until certain conditions are met, including a full audit of the Harrisburg Authority. The council is preparing to hold confirmation hearings on new members for the Authority, which will have three openings once the resignation of James Ellison is made official.

          Those hearings are scheduled for April 6 at 6 p.m., when Eric Davidson, Wendell Hoover, Neil Grover and Bill Cluck will address the council.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

            The parking garages might be a good place to start. With a prolonged recession I'm sure the revenue is going to be down. sell them to some sucker who thinks everything is going to be just like before.

            Another note vanugard muni market fund yield keeps ticking up. Hit a low of .1% in January, now it's at .16% vs. .01% for prime and .01% for treas money mkt.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

              Crisis delayed:

              Harrisburg nears deal for reprieve on debt payment

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

                Originally posted by bpr
                Good link.

                I especially like this line:

                Harrisburg, in a worst-case scenario, is on the hook for $67.8 million in debt service this year because of the incinerator’s inability to generate enough revenue to cover years of borrowing.

                That amount is slightly more than the city’s 2010 general fund budget for day-to-day operations.

                If the city were forced to make monthly payments ranging up to $5.3 million over the next three months, there would have been the potential for program cuts and unpaid vendors as it tried to make the payments, or fresh court action if the debt payments were missed.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

                  Hmm if I'm a vendor, should I hedge with CDS?

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

                    FYI, Bankruptcy talk started heating up earlier this month in the Harrisburg papers:

                    Bankruptcy: What is the real aftermath for a city?

                    Controller Dan Miller: Bankruptcy is city's best option

                    Pros and cons of Chapter 9 bankruptcy

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

                      thanks to all for these updates. i think there will be a lot of state and local bankruptcies, and it's worth tracking how they unfold.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

                        It's almost disappointing to see them not default while we're all waiting for it to happen. I guess that's part of the game.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

                          Originally posted by Anon21456 View Post
                          It's almost disappointing to see them not default while we're all waiting for it to happen. I guess that's part of the game.
                          I think two of EJ's ideas are a propos here:

                          1. This is a process, not an event.
                          2. Eventually, they will do the right thing, but only after extinguishing every other possibility.

                          What's interesting is the number of pieces (mostly editorials) that explain the process, including past examples of municipal defaults, and the different effects of default. Just getting the public to understand bankruptcy (and its effects) is itself a process:
                          Harrisburg needs a plan before it cries 'bankruptcy'

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

                            Kick the can continues:

                            Gov. Rendell announces state aid package to help Harrisburg avoid default

                            Gov. Ed Rendell today released a package of $4.2 million in grants, loans and expedited payment of state funds to help cash-strapped Harrisburg stave off a much-discussed default on its municipal bonds.
                            There is still $288 million outstanding, and a $34 million payment is due in December.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: First sacrificial cow in the muni market? Harrisburg, PA (state capitol) in danger of default

                              AKA A California Stop.

                              First heard of this term from my uncle in upstate NY. It meant slow down, then go, at stop signs.

                              Comment

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