Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

    Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

    "We have long stated that when crude oil broke $80 by at least 1 percent on a weekly close, a new major uptrend would very likely be underway. Crude oil easily accomplished that during the first week of 2010, surging to close near $83. As long as crude oil does not see a weekly close back below what should now have become support at $80 to $78, the importance of this breakout is hard to overstate. Why? - Because the price of nearly everything is heavily dependent on the cost of energy - especially crude oil. People often don't perceive this connection as there are varying lag-times (often several months to a few years) between a significant rise in oil prices and a rise in the cost of bread, industrial metals, plastics, plane tickets, and the majority of other products and services you can think of. So when the inevitable rise in the cost of living comes, it is easy for the governments and central banks of the world to say that no one could have foreseen the price increases, and if anyone is to blame it is the evil speculators who drove up the cost of copper, steel, wheat, corn, rice, etc. (as it could not possibly have anything to do with central banks increasing the money supply many times faster than any increase in the amount of goods and services produced)."

    http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1263193380.php
    41
    Below $80 (U.S.) - Happy Days are here to stay
    12.20%
    5
    Between $80 and $100 - Painful
    39.02%
    16
    Between $100 and $150 - Excruciating
    41.46%
    17
    Above $150 - Please Kill Me Now
    7.32%
    3

    The poll is expired.


  • #2
    Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

    Anyone planning to buy on a pullback to near $80?

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

      I'm tempted to get into OIH on pullbacks, but I've been getting more wary thinking the market has potentially topped. If it hasn't and oil continues to rise, I could see another 2008 of high prices followed by a collapse -- exactly following the iTulip prediction of successive rises and peaks.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

        I agree. I've voted below 80 because I think that until December there is time enough to go above 100 and then crash to 50-60.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

          Since when Crude at $80 are considered "happy days"? ;)

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

            Unless there's a restructuring of Mexican Oil industry, I'm sure whatever the price, we won't see any improving benefit from it down here.
            sigpic
            Attention: Electronics Engineer Learning Economics.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

              Originally posted by LargoWinch View Post
              Since when Crude at $80 are considered "happy days"? ;)
              - since Bernanke was appointed (and re-appointed) chairman of the Fed.

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

                How are you seeing things now with oil hitting 78?
                Am tempted, but it seems risky, equities topping, yields falling, dollar heading higher ecc. (Prechter being very scary, too )
                Personally I took profits in everything except natgas.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

                  Originally posted by xela View Post
                  How are you seeing things now with oil hitting 78?
                  Am tempted, but it seems risky, equities topping, yields falling, dollar heading higher ecc. (Prechter being very scary, too )
                  Personally I took profits in everything except natgas.

                  Will consider the breakout as likely having failed only if oil sees a weekly close more than one percent below $78. Unless that happens, the sharp pullback is considered to most likely be a test to scare recent oil bulls out of their positions. Crude oil is one of the hardest and most violent markets to trade. Gold is a Sunday picnic in comparison.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

                    We will hit $70.. .bounce back to $80, then back down to $70. It will continue like this until it does not. The powers that be want it to remain in this range.

                    Oil producers like this price.
                    U.S. likes it (no more deflation)
                    Environmentalists like it (alt energy is feasible)
                    Population likes it (OK, no.. but if gas stays below 3 dollars, no pitchforks)
                    China likes it (cuz their $US dollars can still buy stuff)

                    It is a win-win-win price range that will be defended at great cost. Right now: The Fed loans money to banks at 1%. They loan it to the Treasury at 3%. They use the profits to "trade", with the understanding that they are in charge of keeping oil at its magical price.

                    Everybody (that matters) is happy!

                    --------------

                    I believe something bad will have to happen for prices to break out of this range.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

                      short canadian dollar crosses

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

                        Originally posted by aaron View Post
                        We will hit $70.. .bounce back to $80, then back down to $70. It will continue like this until it does not. The powers that be want it to remain in this range.

                        Oil producers like this price.
                        U.S. likes it (no more deflation)
                        Environmentalists like it (alt energy is feasible)
                        Population likes it (OK, no.. but if gas stays below 3 dollars, no pitchforks)
                        China likes it (cuz their $US dollars can still buy stuff)

                        It is a win-win-win price range that will be defended at great cost. Right now: The Fed loans money to banks at 1%. They loan it to the Treasury at 3%. They use the profits to "trade", with the understanding that they are in charge of keeping oil at its magical price.

                        Everybody (that matters) is happy!

                        --------------

                        I believe something bad will have to happen for prices to break out of this range.

                        So you state this as a matter of fact as if you really know? Amusing.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

                          Originally posted by Dr.No View Post
                          So you state this as a matter of fact as if you really know? Amusing.
                          Of course it is just an idea, and it was meant to amuse. If I knew these things to be facts, I'd have my own web site and super-hedge fund.

                          NOTE TO EVERYBODY - I do not know what the Premier of China is really thinking, nor do I hang out with banksters.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

                            Originally posted by aaron View Post
                            Of course it is just an idea, and it was meant to amuse. If I knew these things to be facts, I'd have my own web site and super-hedge fund.

                            NOTE TO EVERYBODY - I do not know what the Premier of China is really thinking, nor do I hang out with banksters.

                            x2. Assume I can prove nothing.
                            Last edited by flintlock; January 18, 2010, 10:53 AM.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: Crude Oil Celebrates the New Year with a Massive Breakout During First Week of 2010

                              My guess is that $70-$80 is the floor for oil, and the top is $90+. So, we will have more of the same market but with a gradual move higher.

                              We kind of see this firm trading in the gold market too: $1050-$1150 for gold, but with gold eventually moving higher.

                              The only shock ahead could be the removal of Bernanke from the Fed. That shock could be coming soon.

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X