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After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

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  • After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

    After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

    If jobs don't come back, prepare for more layoffs and business bankruptcies -- Also watch for more business consolidation, and trend to increasing monopolies and duopolies

    Judgment day is at hand for American retailers.



    On Thursday, many chains reported the worst holiday shopping season in decades, and the stores are entering the new year so weakened that some might not survive. A wave of corporate failures that has already taken out stores like Sharper Image and Linens ’n Things is expected to grow substantially worse in coming months, sending some of the well-known names of American retailing into bankruptcy.

    Thursday’s numbers were, in themselves, no surprise. The weak economy, rising unemployment, winter storms and a dearth of compelling fashions hurt all kinds of retailers in December. On Thursday, many reported double-digit sales declines at stores open at least a year, a measure known as same-store sales and a barometer of retail health.

    Industry sales fell 2.2 percent for the holiday shopping season, the biggest decline since at least 1970, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers. December sales dropped 1.7 percent on top of even-weaker November sales, when chains posted a 2.7 percent decline, the council said.

    Those numbers would be worse except for some huge categories, like food and beverages, on which consumers were less likely to cut back.

    While November and December were tough, people at least had a reason to shop in those months. Retailing analysts say the next couple of months may prove to be even more difficult.
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  • #2
    Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

    Who could have known?

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

      And its not like 2008 was a banner year.:eek:

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

        Originally posted by Chomsky View Post
        Who could have known?
        yeh... imagine our surprise...

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

          funny thing, the media has portrayed this season as an UPBEAT one...only from iTulip do we learn the (obvious) truth.

          http://www.latimes.com/business/la-f...,2137454.story

          Retailers get their holiday wish with modest rise in December sales

          Last-minute shoppers help retailers post a 2.9% sales increase compared with the same month in 2008, easily beating expectations for a 2% gain, according to Thomson Reuters' tally of 30 major chains.

          Comment


          • #6
            Check your sources

            Sorry - just noticed this was already posted.... My bad.


            LA Times says that things are coming up roses!

            http://www.latimes.com/business/la-f...,2137454.story




            Originally posted by Rajiv View Post
            After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

            If jobs don't come back, prepare for more layoffs and business bankruptcies -- Also watch for more business consolidation, and trend to increasing monopolies and duopolies

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

              Originally posted by grapejelly View Post
              funny thing, the media has portrayed this season as an UPBEAT one...only from iTulip do we learn the (obvious) truth.

              http://www.latimes.com/business/la-f...,2137454.story

              [/b]

              Agree. The Limited Brands are a local company, and local radio touted this as wonderful news today:


              "Sales and merchandise margin rates for the fourth quarter to date are above the company's initial expectations. As a result, the company is raising its fourth quarter 2009 earnings guidance to $0.92 to $0.97 per share, versus its previous guidance of $0.71 to $0.86 per share," Limited Brands said in a press release.

              Limited, the operator of Victoria's Secret and Bath and Body Works, reported a 2 percent drop in sales at stores opened at least a year, sharper than analysts had expected. Analysts had expected a 1.5 percent decline.
              At Abercrombie & Fitch, another central Ohio-based retailer, December comparable store sales decreased 19 percent, the company said in a statement this morning.
              Seems to support EJ's inflation-by-supply-destruction thesis. And The Limited may find that when things get a little tougher, people can do without over-priced underwear and perfumed soap.

              Full AP article http://www.dispatch.com/live/content...ted-sales.html

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

                This article was from Jan 09. Very long time reader, but had to point that out.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

                  Originally posted by cosrl View Post
                  This article was from Jan 09. Very long time reader, but had to point that out.
                  Ha. You are right! Nice catch.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

                    Originally posted by cosrl View Post
                    This article was from Jan 09. Very long time reader, but had to point that out.
                    Good catch,

                    here is the 2010 article from NYT link

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

                      Originally posted by cosrl View Post
                      This article was from Jan 09. Very long time reader, but had to point that out.
                      The AP story and Limited Brands statements were yesterday (yes, I double-checked just now), basic point still holds.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

                        Originally posted by thriftyandboringinohio View Post
                        The AP story and Limited Brands statements were yesterday (yes, I double-checked just now), basic point still holds.
                        I wasn't trying to discount your post, as I was just trying to reconcile the egregious lies by the MSM. I mean I know the MSM lies and omits, but for a moment there, I thought it was 1984 or something. Then I realized the date on the article.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

                          From our follow-up article in process to our Dec, 2008 retail forecast, here's the damage report for 2009 as of Dec. 14, 2009: 255 retailers closed a total of 16,232 retail outlets.

                          Number
                          Stores---Retailer

                          2,639 General Motors
                          960 Blockbuster
                          789 Chrysler
                          567 Circuit City
                          461 KB Toys
                          450 Movie Gallery (Game Crazy, Hollywood Video)
                          365 Ritz Camera
                          273 Starbucks
                          287 Goody's
                          265 Jones Apparel Group (2009 & 2010)
                          240 Waldenbooks
                          224 Foot Locker
                          191 Zale Corporation
                          175 Van Heusen
                          163 Ann Taylor (by 2010)
                          162 Charming Shoppes
                          161 InkStop
                          160 Family Dollar
                          150 Popeye's (AFC Enterprises)
                          135 S&K Famous Brands Inc.
                          130 Advance America
                          129 Boater's World
                          125 F.Y.E. (Trans World Entertainment)
                          121 Eddie Bauer
                          118 Office Depot
                          117 Rite Aid
                          104 Finlay Enterprises
                          102 Payless Shoes
                          100 Albertsons
                          100 Gap, Inc.
                          98 Club Libby Lu (Saks)
                          85 NextCen Brands (Great American Cookies, MagieMoo's, Marble Slab Creamery, Pretzelmaker)
                          84 Payless Shoes
                          84 Samsonite
                          81 Saab Dealerships
                          77 Game Stop
                          75 J. Jill
                          75 Signet Jewelers
                          70 Famous Footwear (Brown Shoe Co.)
                          60 Arby's
                          60 Collective Brands
                          60 Dominos
                          59 Advance Auto Parts
                          59 Ruby Tuesday
                          58 Gottschalks
                          56 Smith & Hawken
                          53 Rex Appliance & Electronics
                          50 B Dalton
                          50 Pacific Sunwear
                          50 Select Comfort
                          50 Supervalu
                          50 New York & Co. (over the next five years)
                          48 Home Depot (Expo, YardBIRDS, Design Center, HDBath)
                          48 Ultra
                          46 Anchor Blue
                          45 Cato
                          44 Check 'n Go
                          43 Destination Maternity
                          40 Justice
                          40 Kirkland's
                          40 Tween Brands (Limited Two, Justince)
                          38 Bruno's
                          34 Bachrach
                          32 Big 10 Tires
                          31 Pier One
                          30 Big Lots
                          30 Jo-Ann Stores
                          29 Basha's Supermarket
                          29 Ruehl (Abercrombie & Fitch)
                          28 Kmart
                          28 Yankee Candle
                          26 Cost Plus
                          25 Chico's FAS
                          25 Dress Barn
                          25 Finish Line
                          25 Fred's
                          25 Luby's
                          24 Blue Tulip Gift Shops
                          24 Cashland
                          24 Sears
                          23 Sportsman's Warehouse
                          22 AFC Enterprises
                          21 Papa John's
                          21 ZGallerie
                          20 Baja Fresh Mexican Grill
                          20 Man Alive (Finish Line)
                          20 Oneida Ltd.
                          20 Pumpkin Patch
                          20 Wendy's
                          20 Wet Seal
                          19 Snyder's Drug Stores, Inc.
                          18 Black Angus
                          18 O'Reilly Automotive
                          16 Filene's Basement
                          16 Iridesse (Tiffany & Co.)
                          16 Men's Wearhouse
                          16 Shoe Carnival
                          16 Talbot's
                          16 Williams-Sonoma
                          15 Tim Horton's
                          15 West Marine
                          14 Whataburger
                          13 OfficeMax
                          13 Stein Mart
                          12 Bealls
                          12 Kira Plastinina
                          11 99 Cent Only Stores
                          11 Better Bedding Shops, Inc.
                          11 Jimmy'Z (Aeropostale)
                          11 Macy's
                          11 Pamida
                          10 Casual Male
                          10 Holcomb's Education Resource
                          10 Bassett Home Furnishings
                          10 Dollar General
                          10 E&J's Shoes
                          10 P.F. Chang's Pei Wei Restaurants
                          10 U.S. Cellular
                          9 American Eagle
                          9 California Herbal Relief Center
                          9 Rally's
                          8 Active Ride Shop
                          8 Dillard's
                          7 Auto Nation
                          7 Damon's
                          7 Flying J's
                          8 MarineMax
                          7 Penn Traffic (P&C Foods, BiLO)
                          7 Plunkett Furniture
                          7 Sweetbay Supermarkets
                          6 Denny's
                          6 Destination Maternity
                          6 Music City Record Distributors
                          6 Pulix
                          6 Whole Foods
                          6 Winn Dixie
                          5 Borders
                          5 Krispy Kreme
                          5 Mark Shale
                          5 Stock Building Supply
                          5 Target
                          4 Albertson's
                          4 Applebees
                          4 Coach
                          4 Girl Scout Stores
                          4 Red Robin Gourmet Burgers
                          4 Harry W. Schwartz Bookshops
                          4 Jagmania
                          4 Jennifer Convertibles
                          4 Lucky Grocery Stores
                          4 Sacino & Sons
                          3 Blockbuster
                          3 Bulgari
                          3 Dollar Tree
                          3 Food World
                          3 Good's Furniture & Flooring
                          3 Guess
                          3 Hawaiian Telecom
                          3 High Point Coffee
                          3 Jamba Juice
                          3 Lane Bryant
                          3 P&C Food Markets
                          3 Virgin Records
                          2 A.C. Moore
                          2 Bailey Banks & Biddle
                          2 Belk
                          2 Bob Evans
                          2 Checker Auto Parts
                          2 Costco Home Stores
                          2 Dunkin Donuts
                          2 Hacketts
                          2 Homer's Music and Gifts
                          2 Hypnoses
                          2 Jewel-Osco
                          2 Kragen Auto Parts
                          2 L'Oreal Paris
                          2 MarBeck Appliance Parts
                          2 Morton's
                          2 Natuzzi Americas
                          2 Piggly Wiggly
                          2 Plan 9 Music
                          2 Pop Tunes
                          2 Rees Jewelers
                          2 Robinson Luggage
                          2 Rooms Express
                          2 Ruth's Chris
                          2 Salvation Army Thrift Stores
                          2 Sears Essentials
                          2 Shaw's
                          2 Sheetz
                          2 SK Restaurant Group
                          2 Spicy Pickle
                          2 Storables
                          2 Thomasville Home Furnishings
                          1 Ace Hardware
                          1 Andersons General Store
                          1 Atlanta Bread Company
                          1 AutoZone
                          1 Badcock Home Furniture & More
                          1 Beverly Hall
                          1 Bon-Ton
                          1 Bigham’s
                          1 Bulgari
                          1 Cici's
                          1 Congress
                          1 Crabtree & Evelyn
                          1 Cub Foods
                          1 D'Amica Cucina
                          1 Disney Store
                          1 E&J's Designer Shoe Outlet
                          1 El Paso Bar-B-Que
                          1 Fleeger's Hardware
                          1 Fresh City
                          1 Fresh Market
                          1 Giant Market
                          1 Goldberg's
                          1 Hershey's Gifts (online store)
                          1 IGA
                          1 KC Masterpiece
                          1 Lord & Taylor
                          1 Lowe's
                          1 Max Mara
                          1 McCormick & Schmick's
                          1 Mel's Diner
                          1 Midtown Foods
                          1 Monroe IGA
                          1 Nike
                          1 Powell's
                          1 Record Theatre
                          1 RJ Gator's
                          1 Roy's Hawaiian Fusion
                          1 Safeway
                          1 Sam's Wine & Spirits
                          1 Schneiderman's Furniture
                          1 Scrambler Marie's
                          1 Smith's Food & Drug
                          1 Sony PlayStation Store
                          1 Sony Style Store
                          1 Southern Family Markets
                          1 Spartan Stores
                          1 Staples
                          1 Stax Omega Restaurant
                          1 Trader Vic's
                          1 Ukrop's
                          1 Uno Chicago Grill
                          1 Urban Fresh (Supervalu)
                          1 Victoria's Secret
                          1 Vons
                          1 West Elm (Williams Sonoma)
                          1 White's Fresh Foods
                          1 Wilson Farms Store
                          1 Winchell's Donut House
                          1 World Market
                          1 Wal-Mart
                          Last edited by FRED; January 08, 2010, 08:13 PM.
                          Ed.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

                            Originally posted by FRED View Post


                            1 Wal-Mart
                            :eek::confused::eek:

                            They closed a Wal-Mart?
                            Does gravity still work?
                            Last edited by thriftyandboringinohio; January 08, 2010, 02:31 PM.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: After Weak Holiday Sales, Retailers Prepare for Even Worse

                              Trader Vic's
                              Lots of potential comedy here.

                              Comment

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