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The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

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  • The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

    Introduction:

    Asian capitalism, notably China and South Korea are competing with the US for global power. Asian global power is driven by dynamic economic growth, while the US pursues a strategy of military-driven empire building.

    One Day's Read of the Financial Times

    Even a cursory read of a single issue of the Financial Times (December 28, 2009) illustrates the divergent strategies toward empire building. On page one, the lead article on the US is on its expanding military conflicts and its ‘war on terror', entitled “Obama Demands Review of Terror List”. In contrast, there are two page-one articles on China, which describe China's launching of the world's fastest long-distance passenger train service and China's decision to maintain its currency pegged to the US dollar as a mechanism to promote its robust export sector. While Obama turns the US focus on a fourth battle front (Yemen) in the ‘war on terror' (after Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan), the Financial Times reports on the same page that a South Korean consortium has won a $20.4 billion dollar contract to develop civilian nuclear power plants for the United Arab Emirates, beating its US and European competitors.

    On page two of the FT there is a longer article elaborating on the new Chinese rail system, highlighting its superiority over the US rail service: The Chinese ultra-modern train takes passengers between two major cities, 1,100 kilometers, in less than 3 hours whereas the US Amtrack ‘Express' takes 3 ½ hours to cover 300 kilometers between Boston and New York. While the US passenger rail system deteriorates from lack of investment and maintenance, China has spent $17 billion dollars constructing its express line. China plans to construct 18,000 kilometers of new track for its ultra-modern system by 2012, while the US will spend an equivalent amount in financing its ‘military surge' in Afghanistan and Pakistan, as well as opening a new war front in Yemen.

    China builds a transport system linking producers and labor markets from the interior provinces with the manufacturing centers and ports on the coast, while on page 4 the Financial Times describes how the US is welded to its policy of confronting the ‘Islamist threat' with an endless ‘war on terror'. The decades-long wars and occupations of Moslem countries have diverted hundreds of billions of dollars of public funds to a militarist policy with no benefit to the US, while China modernizes its civilian economy. While the White House and Congress subsidize and pander to the militarist-colonial state of Israel with its insignificant resource base and market, alienating 1.5 billion Moslems (Financial Times – page 7), China's gross domestic product (GDP) grew 10 fold over the past 26 years (FT – page 9). While the US allocated over $1.4 trillion dollars to Wall Street and the military, increasing the fiscal and current account deficits, doubling unemployment and perpetuating the recession (FT – page 12), the Chinese government releases a stimulus package directed at its domestic manufacturing and construction sectors, leading to an 8% growth in GDP, a significant reduction of unemployment and ‘re-igniting linked economies' in Asia, Latin America and Africa (also on page 12).

    While the US was spending time, resources and personnel in running ‘elections' for its corrupt clients in Afghanistan and Iraq, and participating in pointless mediations between its intransigent Israeli partner and its impotent Palestinian client, the South Korean government backed a consortium headed by the Korea Electric Power Corporation in its successful bid on the $20.4 billion dollar nuclear power deal, opening the way for other billion-dollar contracts in the region (FT – page 13).

    While the US was spending over $60 billion dollars on internal policing and multiplying the number and size of its ‘homeland' security agencies in pursuit of potential ‘terrorists', China was investing $25 billion dollars in ‘cementing its energy trading relations' with Russia (FT – page 3).

    The story told by the articles and headlines in a single day's issue of the Financial Times reflects a deeper reality, one that illustrates the great divide in the world today. The Asian countries, led by China, are reaching world power status on the basis of their massive domestic and foreign investments in manufacturing, transportation, technology and mining and mineral processing. In contrast, the US is a declining world power with a deteriorating society resulting from its military-driven empire building and its financial-speculative centered economy:

    1. Washington pursues minor military clients in Asia; while China expands its trading and investment agreements with major economic partners – Russia, Japan, South Korea and elsewhere.
    2. Washington drains the domestic economy to finance overseas wars. China extracts minerals and energy resources to create its domestic job market in manufacturing.
    3. The US invests in military technology to target local insurgents challenging US client regimes; China invests in civilian technology to create competitive exports.
    4. China begins to restructure its economy toward developing the country's interior and allocates greater social spending to redress its gross imbalances and inequalities while the US rescues and reinforces the parasitical financial sector, which plundered industries (strips assets via mergers and acquisitions) and speculates on financial objectives with no impact on employment, productivity or competitiveness.
    5. The US multiplies wars and troop build-ups in the Middle East, South Asia, the Horn of Africa and Caribbean; China provides investments and loans of over $25 billion dollars in building infrastructure, mineral extraction, energy production and assembly plants in Africa.
    6. China signs multi-billion dollar trade and investment agreements with Iran, Venezuela, Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Peru and Bolivia, securing access to strategic energy, mineral and agricultural resources; Washington provides $6 billion in military aid to Colombia, secures seven military bases from President Uribe (to threaten Venezuela), backs a military coup in tiny Honduras and denounces Brazil and Bolivia for diversifying its economic ties with Iran.
    7. China increases economic relations with dynamic Latin American economies, incorporating over 80% of the continent's population; the US partners with the failed state of Mexico, which has the worst economic performance in the hemisphere and where powerful drug cartels control wide regions and penetrate deep into the state apparatus.

    Conclusion

    China is not an exceptional capitalist country. Under Chinese capitalism, labor is exploited; inequalities in wealth and access to services are rampant; peasant-farmers are displaced by mega-dam projects and Chinese companies recklessly extract minerals and other natural resources in the Third World. However, China has created scores of millions of manufacturing jobs, reduced poverty faster and for more people in the shortest time span in history. Its banks mostly finance production. China doesn't bomb, invade or ravage other countries. In contrast, US capitalism has been harnessed to a monstrous global military machine that drains the domestic economy and lowers the domestic standard of living in order to fund its never-ending foreign wars. Finance, real estate and commercial capital undermine the manufacturing sector, drawing profits from speculation and cheap imports.
    China invests in petroleum-rich countries; the US attacks them. China sells plates and bowls for Afghan wedding feasts; US drone aircraft bomb the celebrations. China invests in extractive industries, but, unlike European colonialists, it builds railroads, ports, airfields and provides easy credit. China does not finance and arm ethnic wars and ‘color rebellions' like the US CIA. China self-finances its own growth, trade and transportation system; the US sinks under a multi trillion dollar debt to finance its endless wars, bail out its Wall Street banks and prop up other non-productive sectors while many millions remain without jobs.
    China will grow and exercise power through the market; the US will engage in endless wars on its road to bankruptcy and internal decay. China's diversified growth is linked to dynamic economic partners; US militarism has tied itself to narco-states, warlord regimes, the overseers of banana republics and the last and worst bona fide racist colonial regime, Israel.
    China entices the world's consumers. US global wars provoke terrorists here and abroad.
    China may encounter crises and even workers rebellions, but it has the economic resources to accommodate them. The US is in crisis and may face domestic rebellion, but it has depleted its credit and its factories are all abroad and its overseas bases and military installations are liabilities, not assets. There are fewer factories in the US to re-employ its desperate workers: A social upheaval could see the American workers occupying the empty shells of its former factories.
    To become a ‘normal state' we have to start all over: Close all investment banks and military bases abroad and return to America. We have to begin the long march toward rebuilding industry to serve our domestic needs, to living within our own natural environment and forsake empire building in favor of constructing a democratic socialist republic.
    When will we pick up the Financial Times or any other daily and read about our own high-speed rail line carrying American passengers from New York to Boston in less than one hour? When will our own factories supply our hardware stores? When will we build wind, solar and ocean-based energy generators? When will we abandon our military bases and let the world's warlords, drug traffickers and terrorists face the justice of their own people?
    Will we ever read about these in the Financial Times?
    In China, it all started with a revolution...


    http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.p...t=va&aid=16754

  • #2
    Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

    China along with the export driven economic paradigm are about hit the skids on the next leg down in the global economic crisis. China in particular is in very much the same boat as Japan was two decade ago: spending accumulated savings and foreign reserves on bridges to nowhere and other useless investments in an effort to keep their economy afloat. China's "growth" in the last year has been due solely to an extremely aggressive money printing and lending stimulus equal to 25% of GDP or almost a trillion dollars US. Unfortunately, much of this cheap money has been funneled into speculative real estate and commodities investments. Comparatively, the US stimulus has been in the neighborhood of 12% of GDP. China and much of the rest of Asia has become the factory floor of the world with extreme overcapacity in many sectors. When Peak Oil finally rears it's ugly head, expect "made locally" to strike back with a vengeance as manufacturing capacity is brought home to Europe and North America due to the prohibitively high cost of shipping goods halfway around the world. India is likely the only one who will ride out the current and increasingly dark storm due to being a hub for outsourced business services (and hence having less of a reliance on manufacturing).

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

      Originally posted by bcassill View Post
      China and much of the rest of Asia has become the factory floor of the world with extreme overcapacity in many sectors. When Peak Oil finally rears it's ugly head, expect "made locally" to strike back with a vengeance as manufacturing capacity is brought home to Europe and North America due to the prohibitively high cost of shipping goods halfway around the world. India is likely the only one who will ride out the current and increasingly dark storm due to being a hub for outsourced business services (and hence having less of a reliance on manufacturing).

      I'm not sure if you understood what the article above meant.

      China provides the capital, labor, and expertise to develop resource rich countries that in turn supply China with cheap commodities. Note that there is no need for dollar and Euro exchange in this relationship.

      This in itself is enough to keep China busy for another 20 years, but is by no means easy work - this is not some new york bank party where the Fed throws in money for everyone to grab. There is real work to be done, the Chinese are providing laborers, managers, technicians, engineers, and contractors, and got to deliver the goods.
      Last edited by touchring; January 06, 2010, 08:21 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

        Originally posted by touchring View Post
        I'm not sure if you understood what the article above meant.

        China provides the capital, labor, and expertise to develop resource rich countries that in turn supply China with cheap commodities. Note that there is no need for dollar and Euro exchange in this relationship.

        This in itself is enough to keep China busy for another 20 years, but is by no means easy work - this is not some new york bank party where the Fed throws in money for everyone to grab. There is real work to be done, the Chinese are providing laborers, managers, technicians, engineers, and contractors, and got to deliver the goods.

        I got the article, and I understand the commodities grab they have been doing of late. The entire mercantilist edifice of export your way to prosperity is dead for Asia. Growth for the region (Asia) has depended on net exports to the rest of the world in the form of manufactured goods. This will not work anymore because no one is buying (i.e. due to deflating McMansions). I point out China because it is the biggest example, but all of the Asian economies save India and Hong Kong are in the same boat. China is stimulating demand internally with tons of easy credit via state owned banks and construction projects. But with cheap money going into speculative investments, the Chinese are basically repeating the U.S. recipe of inflate your way to prosperity with empty houses and vacant shopping malls. It is the only thing left to keep the restless masses employed. It didn't work here, and I don't think it will work there either.

        No one is going to ride the storm out in peace. No one. There will be lots of dislocation for everyone while trade imbalances adjust and the bad credit is purged from the system. That is going to take years.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

          Originally posted by bcassill View Post
          I got the article, and I understand the commodities grab they have been doing of late. The entire mercantilist edifice of export your way to prosperity is dead for Asia. Growth for the region (Asia) has depended on net exports to the rest of the world in the form of manufactured goods. This will not work anymore because no one is buying (i.e. due to deflating McMansions). I point out China because it is the biggest example, but all of the Asian economies save India and Hong Kong are in the same boat. China is stimulating demand internally with tons of easy credit via state owned banks and construction projects. But with cheap money going into speculative investments, the Chinese are basically repeating the U.S. recipe of inflate your way to prosperity with empty houses and vacant shopping malls. It is the only thing left to keep the restless masses employed. It didn't work here, and I don't think it will work there either.

          No one is going to ride the storm out in peace. No one. There will be lots of dislocation for everyone while trade imbalances adjust and the bad credit is purged from the system. That is going to take years.
          I think all may benefit from this article http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China_B.../LA06Cb01.html

          from my favorite author Henry CK Liu. At the least -it will give you the proper definition of mercantilism.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

            Originally posted by bcassill View Post
            I point out China because it is the biggest example, but all of the Asian economies save India and Hong Kong are in the same boat. China is stimulating demand internally with tons of easy credit via state owned banks and construction projects. But with cheap money going into speculative investments, the Chinese are basically repeating the U.S. recipe of inflate your way to prosperity with empty houses and vacant shopping malls. It is the only thing left to keep the restless masses employed. It didn't work here, and I don't think it will work there either.

            China is at a very different stage of economic development as compared to the US or Japan, so an apple to apple comparison is not possible.

            Most of the empty houses and vacant malls of China can be filled up within a few years. Faster if prices collapse and middle class people can move into luxury homes they can't afford previously. The issue is not oversupply, but over price.

            This report says that the average floor space per capita in China cities is 26.11 square meters at the end of 2005. That's 280 sq ft per person. What is the average home floor space per person in the USA?

            http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P1-125986629.html
            Last edited by touchring; January 06, 2010, 12:11 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

              Originally posted by touchring View Post
              I'm not sure if you understood what the article above meant.

              China provides the capital, labor, and expertise to develop resource rich countries that in turn supply China with cheap commodities. Note that there is no need for dollar and Euro exchange in this relationship.

              This in itself is enough to keep China busy for another 20 years, but is by no means easy work - this is not some new york bank party where the Fed throws in money for everyone to grab. There is real work to be done, the Chinese are providing laborers, managers, technicians, engineers, and contractors, and got to deliver the goods.
              In the nineteenth and twentieth centuries this used to be called colonialism...now it's called the "Chinese advantage"...:rolleyes:

              Call it whatever, it's the same thing...

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

                Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
                In the nineteenth and twentieth centuries this used to be called colonialism...now it's called the "Chinese advantage"...:rolleyes:

                Call it whatever, it's the same thing...
                China provides the capital, labor, and expertise to develop resource rich countries that in turn supply China with cheap commodities.

                isn't colonialism when the colonialists provide the capital & expertise & the colony provides the labor at a deep discount? :confused:

                the usa provides the expertise... china the capital... rest of world the resources & labor.

                marriage made in heaven?

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

                  Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
                  In the nineteenth and twentieth centuries this used to be called colonialism...now it's called the "Chinese advantage"...:rolleyes:

                  Call it whatever, it's the same thing...
                  Right, except instead of Mexican silver they get paper. That saves the step of taking back the silver with opium. So much less fuss that way and makes the "advantage" more immediate.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

                    Originally posted by metalman View Post
                    China provides the capital, labor, and expertise to develop resource rich countries that in turn supply China with cheap commodities.

                    isn't colonialism when the colonialists provide the capital & expertise & the colony provides the labor at a deep discount? :confused:

                    the usa provides the expertise... china the capital... rest of world the resources & labor.

                    marriage made in heaven?
                    We are also experts at the Wii and the drive through speakerphone. Don't mess.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

                      Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
                      In the nineteenth and twentieth centuries this used to be called colonialism...now it's called the "Chinese advantage"...:rolleyes:

                      Call it whatever, it's the same thing...

                      Looks and feel similar but the outcome is different. One is being exploited at gun point while the other is being developed in return for resources.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

                        Originally posted by touchring View Post
                        Looks and feel similar but the outcome is different. One is being exploited at gun point while the other is being developed in return for resources.
                        Seems to me it's just a variation on the same theme. In this modern version the exploitation by guns [and gunships] is merely replaced with exploitation by money...generous payments that end up in the Swiss bank accounts of the kleptocrats running these countries, and very little for the poverty stricken locals...not even jobs [although to be fair in some jurisdictions I'm not sure even the Chinese could get the locals to work].

                        Go to Africa or Central Asia and see what's going on...I have.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

                          Originally posted by GRG55 View Post
                          Seems to me it's just a variation on the same theme. In this modern version the exploitation by guns [and gunships] is merely replaced with exploitation by money...generous payments that end up in the Swiss bank accounts of the kleptocrats running these countries, and very little for the poverty stricken locals...not even jobs [although to be fair in some jurisdictions I'm not sure even the Chinese could get the locals to work].

                          Go to Africa or Central Asia and see what's going on...I have.

                          There are a lot more kleptocracies around than we think. It's not just the "third world" countries and many of them are supported by the US.

                          But I still think that exploitation by money and politics is the lesser evil than exploitation by guns - ask the Iraqis and the Afghans.
                          Last edited by touchring; January 08, 2010, 11:10 AM.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: The US and China: One Side is Losing, the Other is Winning

                            Originally posted by touchring View Post
                            China is at a very different stage of economic development as compared to the US or Japan, so an apple to apple comparison is not possible.

                            Most of the empty houses and vacant malls of China can be filled up within a few years. Faster if prices collapse and middle class people can move into luxury homes they can't afford previously. The issue is not oversupply, but over price.

                            This report says that the average floor space per capita in China cities is 26.11 square meters at the end of 2005. That's 280 sq ft per person. What is the average home floor space per person in the USA?

                            http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P1-125986629.html
                            Living in a 400-square foot apartment in Manhattan myself. At least I'm doing better than the Chinese!

                            Comment

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