Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

[ThePythonicCow]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

The iTulip search engine seems to have trouble with acronyms...

I don't think the problem is acronyms so much as length. It can find "USSR", but not "USA". Equally insulting to me , it can find "duck" or "goat", but not "cow".

My wager is still on the search indexing engine ignoring all three letter and shorter words.

[GRG55]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

I don't think the problem is acronyms so much as length. It can find "USSR", but not "USA". Equally insulting to me , it can find "duck" or "goat", but not "cow".

My wager is still on the search indexing engine ignoring all three letter and shorter words.

My recommendation is to add a letter by adopting Dan Quayle's spelling of the word..."cowe"...and that should fix the problem...

[neoken]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

I'm having a lot of trouble using the iTulip search engine.

For a recent example, in the Advanced Search I typed in "Y2K" and "EJ" as User Name, and it came up with nothing.

Are others have trouble with the search engine . . . or am I just doing something wrong?

I ended up using Google to search for EJ's thoughts on Y2K, and found many references. Here -- http://www.itulip.com/y2k.htm -- EJ suggests buying extra toilet paper

put this in your google:
"y2k ej site: www.itulip.com"

(still not many hits though)

I tend to use the Google site search string because most built in forum/blog searches are way too slow and cumbersome.

[ThePythonicCow]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

put this in your google:
"y2k ej site: www.itulip.com"

I doubt that Google searches the Select side of iTulip. For instance it cannot find the iTulip post Coming Global Battle for Techically Proficient. Notice that the misspelled word "Techically" makes it an unusual word, easy to search for, but Google cannot find it here.

[metalman]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

I'm having a lot of trouble using the iTulip search engine.

For a recent example, in the Advanced Search I typed in "Y2K" and "EJ" as User Name, and it came up with nothing.

Are others have trouble with the search engine . . . or am I just doing something wrong?

I ended up using Google to search for EJ's thoughts on Y2K, and found many references. Here -- http://www.itulip.com/y2k.htm -- EJ suggests buying extra toilet paper

no,he explained on August 25, 1999 exactly why y2k will turn out to be nothing...

It's hard to find anything new to say on this tortured topic. The Y2K discussion founders in a sea of redundant speculation as journalists struggle to find any evidence at all of Y2K bug symptoms that might make Y2K tangible and the discussion more animated than an RMV clerk. Alas, "significant" Y2K dates come and go and... nothing happens.

What the heck's gonna go down after Dec. 31, 1999? Do we at iTulip.com envision a world in chaos ruled by tribal warlords marauding the strife torn land in ox drawn Rolls Royces, plundering suburban America for precious caches of bottled water and canned tuna fish? Time to invest in a bomb silo apartment? Nah. After the clocks roll over into 2000, a lot of crappy software that doesn't work very well and breaks all the time will continue to be crappy and not work very well and break all the time.

A big secret known to few except hundreds of thousands of software developers worldwide who write software and hundreds of millions of sorry saps who use it is this: most software programs have lots of bugs.

No piece of code escapes human error. At some point in the life of a program, a variable gets set to an unexpected value or the execution heads off on an errant code branch. The program hangs or crashes. Generally speaking, the larger the program the greater the chances of it going haywire. Your Windows98 crashes all the time because an operating system, as an old computer science professor used to say, is a really big program full of bugs. The world runs on such big application programs written by corporate software developers who are mostly occupied with fixing bugs. They do it all day long. They do it quickly, too, so you hardly notice, otherwise you might be tempted to go to another bank or online trading company or whatever. This is unlike the bugs in Windows98 that you have to wait for months to see fixed because, what are you going to do, get another operating system? (Janet Reno's working on that one.)

If the software that runs the world is so buggy anyway, what's the big deal with Y2K bugs? The doomsayer's argument is that there are so many Y2K bugs that programmers can't fix them all. Yet Y2K remediation experts are running out bugs to fix a lot sooner than they'rerunning out of time to fix them. Why is that?

Y2K bugs have been around for decades and they've been getting fixed for decades. A program running in 1989 that calculated the 20th year principle payment on a 30 year mortgage had to do the math based on a 2009 date way back then, ten years ago. As time goes on, programs run into Y2K bugs. Not all at once on January 1, 2000 but at various times. So Y2K bugs make applications break the same way programmers are used to seeing them break -- all the time. Constantly. Thus, they get fixed constantly. The only programs that will have a problem are those that never have to deal with a 2XXX date until they are running in the year 2000. Those are the ones that are getting fixed in a hurry. Even if the bugs aren't fixed before Y2K, most bugs will get fixed as they show up, as usual.

compare to gary north...

Y2K:THE DOOMSDAY SCENARIO
In the interest of providing a total and complete picture of the opinions and scenarios surrounding the Y2K problem, below is an interview with Gary North. He is perhaps the most prolific doomsayer on the Y2K subject. As you will see in the interview, he certainly wouldn't be surprised if civilization as we know it collapses because of Y2K. We don't necessarily endorse his view. However, Gary is an extremely bright man who is certainly doing his research. If nothing else, Gary's scream of impending doom has certainly woken us up to the fact that serious problems could exist.

... & john muldeen...

Y2K recession forecast for U.S.

Y2K recession forecast for U.S. Depression in some parts of world, economist predicts

The U.S. economy is headed for a Y2K recession, and much of the world could face a depression, according to one economic expert.

John F. Mauldin, investment analyst for ProFutures Fund Management and author of a book on Y2K investment strategies, is expecting a major recession in the U.S. and a depression in many other countries. He goes so far as to predict 20 percent unemployment in the U.S. after the first of the year and a drop of 50 percent in the stock market.

who was right?

nice to know what to worry about... just as nice to know what not to worry about.

this attracted me to itulip back in those days... not a doomer site.

[raja]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

Originally Posted by raja

I ended up using Google to search for EJ's thoughts on Y2K, and found many references. Here -- http://www.itulip.com/y2k.htm -- EJ suggests buying extra toilet paper

no, he explained on August 25, 1999 exactly why y2k will turn out to be nothing...

YES, he did recommend buying extra toilet paper . . . .

A quote from the article:

3) Other than that, we here at iTulip.com plan to follow the American Red Cross Y2K preparedness guidelines. Probably a good idea to have a few extra rolls of TP around the house anyway.

metalman, did you not notice the after my post about the toilet paper?

Do you not see some humor in EJ saying it's a non-event, then recommending that people go out and buy extra toilet paper? :eek:

[Rajiv]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

Arrow was driven into bankruptcy by Daimler Financial Services. Now Hoffa Says Goldman Sachs Driving YRC Into Bankruptcy.

nternational Brotherhood of Teamsters President James Hoffa said Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is creating derivatives trades that would profit from the bankruptcy of YRC Worldwide Inc., the trucking company trying to avert failure with a debt exchange.

The most profitable securities firm in Wall Street history “is actively soliciting bond trades for clients and underwriting credit-default swaps to benefit from a failed exchange and resulting bankruptcy,” Hoffa, the union leader, wrote in a letter dated yesterday to Goldman Sachs Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein.

YRC, the biggest U.S. trucker by sales, is extending the exchange offer deadline to Dec. 23, after investors holding 75 percent of its debt initially agreed to the exchange, below the 95 percent required by bank lenders. As of 5 p.m. in New York yesterday, participation fell to 57 percent, the Overland Park, Kansas-based company said in a statement. The company said it believes some bondholders have withdrawn because they want to tender their notes only on the expiration date.

The company has faced opposition to its plan to exchange $536.8 million of notes for equity from bondholders who also own derivatives that pay out in a default, according to people familiar with the matter. The Teamsters’ pressure comes as Goldman Sachs is under fire from other labor groups over its role in the subprime mortgage crisis.

YRC, which has posted more than $1.7 billion in losses in the past five quarters, must complete the exchange offer as part of agreements with its bank lenders, the Teamsters and multi- employer pension funds, according to a Nov. 24 regulatory filing.
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Also from YRC Trucking And Why You Need To Be Concerned

IT IS OF GREAT CONCERN to pay attention to such a matter.

Trucking Bankruptcies threaten 3 major necessities:

1. Food
2. Goods/Materials (commodities necessary for everyday life [-life essentials/non-life essentials])
3. Fuel Delivery

Why the concern that I insist?..........

The U.S. Army War College warned in 2008 November warned in a monograph [click on Policypointers’ pdf link to see the report] titled “Known Unknowns: Unconventional ‘Strategic Shocks’ in Defense Strategy Development” of crash-induced unrest:

The military must be prepared, the document warned, for a “violent, strategic dislocation inside the United States,” which could be provoked by “unforeseen economic collapse,” “purposeful domestic resistance,” “pervasive public health emergencies” or “loss of functioning political and legal order.” The “widespread civil violence,” the document said, “would force the defense establishment to reorient priorities in extremis to defend basic domestic order and human security.” “An American government and defense establishment lulled into complacency by a long-secure domestic order would be forced to rapidly divest some or most external security commitments in order to address rapidly expanding human insecurity at home,” it went on. “Under the most extreme circumstances, this might include use of military force against hostile groups inside the United States. Further, DoD [the Department of Defense] would be, by necessity, an essential enabling hub for the continuity of political authority in a multi-state or nationwide civil conflict or disturbance,” the document read.

Why do you need to be concerned with YRC?......because when the trucks stop---

IT ALL STOPS.

[ggirod]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

Lacking the resources to acquire the kind of gold stash that would protect me in perpetuity, I chose, instead, to follow the more economical recommendation ...

3) Other than that, we here at iTulip.com plan to follow the American Red Cross Y2K preparedness guidelines. Probably a good idea to have a few extra rolls of TP around the house anyway.

so now I have a good stash of my favorite brand and that provides the kind of reassurance people of my advanced age need in the morning hours ( Please note the )

Lest you get too haughty and self-assured, consider that all those things that occur once in a blue moon are all going to occur on New Year's Eve .... Just like Y2K, coming back at ya ten years later. at least for about half of the globe .... Those Kiwis and Aussies get to quake in their boots for another 28 days

For those still stuck in Y2K and still awaiting the catastrophe, the coming blue moon provides a new opportunity. The next New Year's blue moon will occur in 2028 only one year before unpatched Windows 3.1 Microsoft Office fails in 2029. Sorry, nobody has made their calculations of blue moons convenient past 2029; there might or might not be a blue moon to warn us of the Unix/C clock rollover in 2038. As a result I recommend tinfoil for headwear until at least 2038. By then we can stand down for a bit until the next catastrophe makes itself apparent.

[ggirod]

Re: Just in time shipping and your family’s survival

Just for the fun of it, Y2K revisited ...

From Slashdot:

An anonymous reader writes
"It seems some systems are suffering from a Y2K16 bug. When 2009 ticked over to 2010, some Australian EFTPOS machines skipped to the year 2016. Coincidentally, some Windows Mobile users are also having issues with their new year SMSes coming from 2016. What function could cause this kind of error?"

It is reportedly in the Microsoft software .

But that's not all!!!

From the same article:

My wireless landline phones all failed 1/1/2010 (Score:5, Interesting)
by Gorobei (127755) on Sunday January 03, @09:10AM (#30631410)
No dial tone, no incoming calls.

Had to reset the internal datetimes back to 2007, then they started working again. Nice job, Panasonic.

Can't wait for 2029 and 2038

[mooncliff]

2010 tech bug hits German credit cards

January 4, 2010

Many Germans have been hit by a computer bug linked to the year 2010 that has rendered their credit cards useless, the ZKA banking commission said on Monday.

http://www.physorg.com/news181831950.html