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Commodity Bull: Death Rumours Greatly Exaggerated

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  • #16
    Re: Commodity Bull: Death Rumours Greatly Exaggerated

    Originally posted by grapejelly View Post
    Does anyone track the rate of change and direction of the premia between spot and different months of a given commodity?

    That would be very interesting...
    I will share one of mine. This shows gold and is static ()it won't update daily as my original does).

    It should be rather educational, especially in the additional context of roll.

    This is normally a private chart so needs some explanation. The note at the top indicates when the roll was done and how much dollar adjustment was made when the roll occurred. The "-20", -60", "-100" etc, are constants used to adjust the actual differences between contract months simply so they would fit in a relatively small scale.

    One of the most "interesting" (in the sense of the old Chinese curse ;-)) areas is how much futures bounce around when compared to spot.





    ... and yes Finster (and others), there are too many lines for the preference of most, but it is the way I work. It's easy to see daily motions at the far right.
    Last edited by bart; June 19, 2007, 01:07 PM.
    http://www.NowAndTheFuture.com

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    • #17
      Re: Commodity Bull: Death Rumours Greatly Exaggerated

      buy lots of beano?

      This is the worst possible combination, BTW: the grains give you lots of gas and the proteins make the gas smelly (the smelliest compounds to human smell receptors contain sulfur and nitrogen - which proteins contain lots of).


      Originally posted by grapejelly View Post
      I am a bull on grains and proteins. How do I speculate on those without investing in futures?
      Last edited by Spartacus; June 19, 2007, 04:48 PM. Reason: add a 2nd but informative joke

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